Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
SWK price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedSWK is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $88.57
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $62.12–$104.00
- Market cap
- $13.4B
- From 52-week high
- -14.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 151M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #44 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. manufactures and sells tools, storage, outdoor equipment, and industrial fastening systems for both professional and consumer markets. The company operates globally, with significant business activities across North America, Europe, Asia Pacific, and Latin America.
SWK currently ranks #44 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $13.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 17x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.2B
- Net margin
- 4.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.21
- Gross margin
- 33.0%
- Debt / equity
- 0.53
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 0.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 151M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 59 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $94.01
- 200-day average
- $84.61
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.33 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.76%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 14
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-08
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-22
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+30.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+35.6%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+10.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+20.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+157.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+13.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+17.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+16.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 4 buy · 11 hold · 0 sell (15 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $100
- Target vs last price
- +12.9%
What our data shows for SWK
- Our model validated 15 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SWK, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $62.12–$104.00.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SWK
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent SWK news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SWK is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- SWK Maintained by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $90 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's reduction of SWK's price target to $90 warrants attention in light of TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is fairly valued, as analyst price target changes can signal shifts in the market's perception of intrinsic value within the Industrials sector. A lowered price target may suggest that Wells Fargo sees limited upside from current levels, which aligns with a fairly valued designation and implies the stock may lack significant margin of safety for new investors. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether other analysts follow with similar target reductions or if SWK's fundamentals shift in ways that could challenge the fairly valued consensus. - SWK Maintained by Mizuho -- Price Target Lowered to $105.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Mizuho's reduction of SWK's price target to $105 reflects analyst reassessment of the company's near-term prospects within the Industrials sector. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that SWK is fairly valued, the revised target suggests analyst expectations may be moderating toward alignment with intrinsic value, making fundamental operational performance and margin trends key metrics for investors to monitor going forward. The maintained rating paired with a lower price target indicates confidence in the company's business model while signaling tempered enthusiasm about near-term upside potential. - Stanley Black & Decker Stock: Macro Headwinds Are Getting Stronger Stronger (NYSE:SWK) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: Stanley Black & Decker operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued by TickrTrends. Given the headline's focus on intensifying macro headwinds, investors monitoring valuation should observe whether the company's earnings and cash flow metrics deteriorate in ways that could challenge the fairly valued positioning. A sustained period of macroeconomic pressure could shift the valuation outlook if operational performance weakens relative to current market pricing.
More SWK news
- Stanley Black & Decker Targets Margin Gains as DEWALT Takes Share (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-20)
- Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) Presents at Morgan Stanley's 14th Annual Laguna Conference Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-17)
What people are saying
Follow the SWK conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — SWK's quality grade declined from D to F this week, indicating a deterioration in the underlying fundamentals tracked by TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock remains fairly valued according to current valuation metrics despite this downgrade in quality assessment.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — SWK's relative strength index moved from oversold territory into neutral range this week, suggesting reduced downward momentum in the stock. The company remains in the Industrials sector and maintains a fairly valued status according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SWK stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SWK is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SWK's TickrTrends verdict?
SWK's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SWK compare to other Industrials stocks?
SWK ranks #44 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SWK overbought or oversold?
SWK's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does SWK pay a dividend?
Yes. SWK paid $3.33 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.76% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 14 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-08.
When does SWK report earnings next?
SWK's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does SWK usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SWK beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SWK?
Of 15 analysts covering SWK, 4 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $100 (+12.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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