TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
TDG price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedTDG is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $1,107.99
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $1,076.01–$1,450.00
- Market cap
- $61.2B
- From 52-week high
- -23.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 55.3M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #19 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
TransDigm Group Incorporated is an aerospace and defense company that designs, produces, and supplies aircraft components and systems for both commercial and military applications. The company operates globally with manufacturing and distribution facilities across North America, Europe, and Asia.
TDG currently ranks #19 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $61.2B
- P/E (trailing)
- 29x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $10B
- Net margin
- 21.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $38.87
- Gross margin
- 59.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 16.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 55.3M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 68 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $1,147.73
- 200-day average
- $1,238.26
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2025-09-02)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-11
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+4.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+4.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+2.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+7.7%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-3.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+1.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+1.2%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.9%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 12 buy · 11 hold · 0 sell (23 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $1410
- Target vs last price
- +27.3%
What our data shows for TDG
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TDG, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $1,076.01–$1,450.00.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 68.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TDG
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TDG news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TDG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- TransDigm (TDG) Has Negative Book Value of almost $168 a Share. Is That a Problem? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: TransDigm carries a substantial negative book value position of almost 168 dollars per share, which reflects significant accumulated shareholder distributions and financial restructuring rather than operational weakness. TickrTrends currently rates the stock as undervalued despite this balance sheet characteristic, suggesting the market may be overlooking the company's cash generation capabilities and earnings power within the industrials sector. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the company's operating performance and free cash flow justify the undervalued assessment, particularly given how negative book value can obscure a business's true economic value. - TransDigm (TDG): Strong Growth Meets a Tougher M&A and Valuation Debate (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-29)
TickrTrends take: TransDigm operates in the Industrials sector and currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends considers undervalued relative to its fundamentals. The company's strong growth trajectory presents a potential opportunity for value-oriented investors, though the headline indicates that heightened debate around mergers and acquisitions activity and valuation multiples suggests the market is reassessing what premium investors should pay for that growth. Observers monitoring TDG's valuation should track how the company's M&A strategy and execution impact its cost structure and whether growth acceleration can justify multiple expansion from current levels. - TransDigm Group (TDG) Plans $2.5 Billion Senior Secured Notes Offering to Refinance 2028 Debt (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-14)
TickrTrends take: TransDigm Group's plan to refinance its 2028 debt through a senior secured notes offering reflects the company's proactive debt management approach. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that TDG is undervalued, this refinancing activity provides an opportunity for investors to monitor how the company's capital structure evolves and whether improved debt terms could enhance shareholder value going forward. The industrials sector company's ability to execute favorable refinancing in the current environment may support its valuation thesis by reducing near-term refinancing risk.
What people are saying
Follow the TDG conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TDG showed movement this week as the relative strength index transitioned from oversold to neutral territory, suggesting reduced downward momentum. The stock's sector discount ranking improved to #19 from #24, indicating TDG is trading at a less steep discount relative to other industrials companies. The current valuation assessment indicates the stock is undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TDG show a shift this week as the RSI zone moved from neutral to oversold territory. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict according to the current analysis.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TDG stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TDG is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TDG's TickrTrends verdict?
TDG's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TDG compare to other Industrials stocks?
TDG ranks #19 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TDG overbought or oversold?
TDG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does TDG pay a dividend?
TDG has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2025-09-02.
When does TDG report earnings next?
TDG's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-11, per the published earnings calendar.
Does TDG usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TDG beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TDG?
Of 23 analysts covering TDG, 12 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $1410 (+27.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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