Textron Inc. (TXT) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
TXT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedTXT is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $74.16
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $73.03–$100.77
- Market cap
- $12.9B
- From 52-week high
- -26.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 174M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #23 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Textron Inc. manufactures and sells aircraft, helicopters, business jets, and defense systems, along with industrial products including specialized vehicles and components. The company operates manufacturing facilities and sales operations across the United States and maintains a global presence serving commercial and government customers worldwide.
TXT currently ranks #23 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $12.9B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.3B
- Net margin
- 6.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $6.35
- Gross margin
- 18.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.47
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 4.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 174M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 41 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $80.26
- 200-day average
- $88.89
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.08 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.11%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-11
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+6.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+11.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+1.8%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+6.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+6.9%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+12.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.2%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-6.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 7 buy · 9 hold · 0 sell (16 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $99.5
- Target vs last price
- +34.2%
What our data shows for TXT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TXT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $73.03–$100.77.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 41.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TXT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TXT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TXT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Textron Aviation Launches Cessna Citation CJ4 Gen3, Boosting Innovation in Light Jets (TXT) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Textron's launch of the Cessna Citation CJ4 Gen3 represents a product refresh cycle that could support revenue growth in its aviation segment, which aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment of the overall company. Given the capital intensity of aircraft development and the cyclical nature of the industrials sector, investors should monitor whether this new model drives sufficient order flow and pricing power to justify current valuation levels. The success of this generational update will be critical to watch as it may influence near-term earnings trajectory and capital allocation decisions for the conglomerate. - TXT Maintained by Morgan Stanley -- Price Target Lowered to $86 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Morgan Stanley's reduction of its price target for TXT to $86 occurs within a context where TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as undervalued, suggesting the analyst's adjustment may not fully align with the broader valuation metrics driving that assessment. For investors focused on valuation, this development highlights a potential divergence between traditional analyst price targets and the quantitative signals that indicate undervaluation in the Industrials sector company. Monitoring whether other analysts follow Morgan Stanley's lead or maintain higher conviction could provide important clues about the sustainability of TXT's undervalued status. - Textron: Balanced Aerospace And Defense Growth (NYSE:TXT) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-07)
TickrTrends take: Textron operates across diversified industrial segments including aerospace and defense, sectors that have demonstrated resilience in recent market cycles. Given the current TickrTrends undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's growth trajectory in these capital-intensive segments justifies expansion of its current valuation multiples. The balance between aerospace and defense revenues presents both diversification benefits and exposure concentration risks that merit ongoing scrutiny relative to peer performance and industry fundamentals.
More TXT news
- Cessna Skyhawk Veris Virtual Reality Flight Training Device to Make Show Debut at NBAA-BACE in Las Vegas (financialpost.com, 2026-10-05)
- ETFs Are Net Sellers of Textron (TXT) on Sept. 30 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the TXT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TXT showed movement this week as the RSI zone shifted from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict. This shift suggests reduced selling pressure compared to the previous week's condition.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TXT showed a shift in momentum this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral territory into oversold conditions. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued, suggesting the stock trades below its assessed fundamental value.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TXT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TXT is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TXT's TickrTrends verdict?
TXT's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TXT compare to other Industrials stocks?
TXT ranks #23 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TXT overbought or oversold?
TXT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does TXT pay a dividend?
Yes. TXT paid $0.08 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.11% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-11.
When does TXT report earnings next?
TXT's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does TXT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TXT beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TXT?
Of 16 analysts covering TXT, 7 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $99.5 (+34.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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