VSE Corporation (VSEC) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

VSE Corporation is an industrial company that provides products and services to the U.S. federal government, including vehicle maintenance and supply chain solutions. The company operates primarily in the United States, serving defense and civilian government agencies.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, VSEC is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

VSEC currently ranks #93 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $207.11
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $166.00–$228.64

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for VSEC

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for VSEC, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $166.00–$228.64.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for VSEC
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent VSEC news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for VSEC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

A Record Quarter Raises The Stakes For VSE Corp. (VSEC) (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: VSE Corp achieved record results in its latest quarter, which typically supports higher equity valuations, yet TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued within the Industrials sector. A valuation-focused investor should monitor whether the company can sustain this record performance level, as the current overvalued assessment suggests the market may have already priced in significant expectations for future growth. The tension between strong operational results and an elevated valuation multiple means that any quarterly disappointment or slower growth trajectory could create meaningful downside pressure.
VSE Corporation: Transition To Pure Aviation MRO More Than Pays Off (NASDAQ:VSEC) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: VSE Corporation's strategic shift toward aviation maintenance, repair, and overhaul services represents a significant operational transformation for the industrials company. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that VSEC is overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this business transition generates sufficient margin expansion and revenue growth to justify the stock's current price level. The success of this pivot will be critical in determining whether the company can support its existing valuation or if market expectations have outpaced the actual financial benefits of the repositioning.
VSEC Looks 31.6% Overvalued on GF Value™ Amid Acquisition and Mixed Signals (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-31)
TickrTrends take: VSEC is trading at levels that multiple valuation frameworks consider excessive relative to its fundamental metrics, particularly following its recent acquisition activity. The company operates in the Industrials sector where acquisition-driven growth strategies can create near-term valuation pressures as markets digest integration risks and synergy realization timelines. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should track whether VSEC's post-acquisition performance narrows the gap between its current trading price and intrinsic value estimates, as mixed signals suggest heightened uncertainty around fair value in the near term.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is VSEC stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), VSEC is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is VSEC's TickrTrends verdict?

VSEC's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does VSEC compare to other Industrials stocks?

VSEC ranks #93 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is VSEC overbought or oversold?

VSEC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

VSEC vs BLBD · VSEC vs BLDR · VSEC vs HTLD · VSEC vs HWM · VSEC vs JCI