VSE Corporation (VSEC) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
VSEC price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedVSEC is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $164.08
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $158.65–$243.48
- Market cap
- $4.6B
- From 52-week high
- -32.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 28.1M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #57 of 106
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
VSE Corporation is an industrial company that provides products and services to the U.S. federal government, including vehicle maintenance and supply chain solutions. The company operates primarily in the United States, serving defense and civilian government agencies.
VSEC currently ranks #57 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 5 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.6B
- P/E (trailing)
- 32x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.36B
- Net margin
- 5.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.07
- Gross margin
- 17.0%
- Debt / equity
- 0.35
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 31.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 28.1M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 43 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $194.84
- 200-day average
- $198.17
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.40 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.24%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-15
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-29
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+88.2%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+31.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+29.7%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+17.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+38.6%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-13.1%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+25.0%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+18.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 9 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (11 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $257
- Target vs last price
- +56.6%
What our data shows for VSEC
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for VSEC, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $158.65–$243.48.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 43.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for VSEC
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent VSEC news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for VSEC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- VSEC Initiated Coverage by Guggenheim -- Rating Set to Neutral (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-15)
TickrTrends take: Guggenheim's initiation of coverage with a Neutral rating comes as TickrTrends currently derives an Overvalued verdict for VSEC within the Industrials sector. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the analyst's Neutral stance reflects confidence in current price levels or signals caution about further upside in the stock. The convergence or divergence between Guggenheim's assessment and the Overvalued designation may indicate where institutional research and valuation metrics disagree on VSEC's fair value. - A Record Quarter Raises The Stakes For VSE Corp. (VSEC) (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: VSE Corp achieved record results in its latest quarter, which typically supports higher equity valuations, yet TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued within the Industrials sector. A valuation-focused investor should monitor whether the company can sustain this record performance level, as the current overvalued assessment suggests the market may have already priced in significant expectations for future growth. The tension between strong operational results and an elevated valuation multiple means that any quarterly disappointment or slower growth trajectory could create meaningful downside pressure. - VSE Corporation: Transition To Pure Aviation MRO More Than Pays Off (NASDAQ:VSEC) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: VSE Corporation's strategic shift toward aviation maintenance, repair, and overhaul services represents a significant operational transformation for the industrials company. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that VSEC is overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this business transition generates sufficient margin expansion and revenue growth to justify the stock's current price level. The success of this pivot will be critical in determining whether the company can support its existing valuation or if market expectations have outpaced the actual financial benefits of the repositioning.
What people are saying
Follow the VSEC conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for VSEC showed mixed signals this week. The 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to downtrend, while the sector discount rank improved from number 70 to number 63. The stock maintains a fairly valued status according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for VSEC showed notable shifts this week. The quality grade declined from C to D, while the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-05 — VSEC's position within the Industrials sector has strengthened this week, with its sector discount rank improving from number 84 to number 67. The valuation verdict has shifted from Overvalued to Fairly valued, indicating that the stock's price has moved closer to its fundamental value relative to other sector peers. These changes suggest VSEC is becoming more competitively priced within the Industrials sector landscape.
- 2026-09-28 — VSEC's sector discount rank improved this week, moving from #93 to #83, indicating the stock has become relatively less expensive compared to other industrials companies. Despite this improvement in valuation ranking, the current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-09-21 — # VSEC Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for VSEC showed a shift this week as the RSI zone moved from neutral to oversold territory. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict based on current analysis. This transition to oversold conditions may suggest the recent downward price movement has been substantial relative to historical trading patterns.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is VSEC stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), VSEC is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is VSEC's TickrTrends verdict?
VSEC's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does VSEC compare to other Industrials stocks?
VSEC ranks #57 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is VSEC overbought or oversold?
VSEC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does VSEC pay a dividend?
Yes. VSEC paid $0.40 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.24% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-15.
When does VSEC report earnings next?
VSEC's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does VSEC usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters VSEC beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about VSEC?
Of 11 analysts covering VSEC, 9 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $257 (+56.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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