AAON, Inc. (AAON) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

AAON, Inc. manufactures heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems primarily for commercial and industrial applications. The company operates in the United States and serves customers across North America through its manufacturing and distribution facilities.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, AAON is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

AAON currently ranks #16 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $92.56
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $79.03–$138.56

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Strong
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Downtrend
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range

What our data shows for AAON

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AAON, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $79.03–$138.56.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 39.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AAON
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent AAON news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AAON is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

A Look at AAON Inc (AAON) After 4.5% Gain -- GF Value $143.44 vs Price $77.98 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: AAON has experienced recent upward price movement while trading significantly below its GF Value estimate, which aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment. The gap between the estimated fair value and the current market price suggests the stock may offer value for investors focused on valuation metrics, though readers should monitor whether this discount persists or narrows over time. Given the company's position in the industrials sector, tracking earnings performance and operational metrics will be important for understanding whether the valuation gap reflects genuine opportunity or market concerns about future growth.
AAON, Inc. (AAON) -- HVAC Solutions with Strong Demand | Spyglass Growth Strategy Q2 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: AAON operates in the Industrials sector where strong demand for HVAC solutions typically supports revenue growth, a factor relevant to assessing whether current valuations fairly reflect the company's earnings power. TickrTrends currently identifies AAON as undervalued, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's growth prospects in its served markets. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether AAON's financial results continue to validate the gap between current trading levels and intrinsic value estimates.
AAON Inc (AAON) Executive Vice President Matthew Shaub Buys 457 Shares (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: AAON operates in the Industrials sector and TickrTrends currently rates the stock as undervalued. An executive purchase of shares by Matthew Shaub, the company's Executive Vice President, may be viewed as a confidence signal regarding the company's prospects at current price levels. For investors focused on valuation metrics, insider buying activity can provide context for assessing whether the undervalued designation reflects genuine opportunity or market inefficiency.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — AAON's 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to downtrend this week, indicating that shorter-term price momentum has weakened relative to the longer-term trajectory. Despite this technical deterioration, the stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. The downtrend development suggests investors should monitor the industrials company's price action closely in the coming periods.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is AAON stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), AAON is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is AAON's TickrTrends verdict?

AAON's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does AAON compare to other Industrials stocks?

AAON ranks #16 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is AAON overbought or oversold?

AAON's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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