Waste Management, Inc. (WM) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
WM price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedWM is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $208.83
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $196.77–$246.51
- Market cap
- $83.5B
- From 52-week high
- -15.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 400M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #30 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Waste Management, Inc. is a company that provides waste collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services to residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company operates throughout the United States and Canada.
WM currently ranks #30 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $83.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 27x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $25.7B
- Net margin
- 11.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $7.74
- Gross margin
- 40.8%
- Debt / equity
- 2.35
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 400M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 72 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $216.26
- 200-day average
- $224.50
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.66 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.75%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 16
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-11
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-25
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+1.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+4.0%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-1.0%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-1.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+1.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+5.0%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-5.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+4.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 19 buy · 9 hold · 0 sell (28 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $254
- Target vs last price
- +21.6%
What our data shows for WM
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for WM, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $196.77–$246.51.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 72.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for WM
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent WM news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for WM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Onterris (ONT) Completes PFAS Prototype at Former Naval Base, Showcasing Innovative Environmental Tech (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: WM operates in waste management and environmental services, a sector benefiting from increasing regulatory scrutiny around contamination remediation, including PFAS treatment. Competitors and service providers developing specialized environmental technologies like PFAS removal may create new market opportunities or cost pressures that could affect WM's operational margins and service pricing power. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, investors should monitor whether WM's exposure to emerging environmental cleanup standards and potential demand for specialized remediation services represents a tailwind to future revenue growth. - Waste Management (WM) Has a Long Runway. Is the Stock Worth Buying? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-18)
TickrTrends take: TickrTrends currently assesses Waste Management as undervalued within the Industrials sector, suggesting that market pricing may not fully reflect the company's operational prospects or cash generation potential. An analyst perspective indicating a long runway for growth aligns with the undervalued designation, though valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the company's earnings growth trajectory and capital efficiency metrics support sustained margin expansion. Key metrics to track include revenue growth rates, free cash flow generation, and how the company's valuation multiples compare to historical averages and sector peers as the business executes on its growth strategy. - Waste Management (WM) vs. Republic Services (RSG): Which Trash Giant Is the Better Buy? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Waste Management operates in a competitive landscape where direct comparisons to peers like Republic Services are common among investors seeking value. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that WM is undervalued, a valuation-focused reader should monitor how the company's fundamentals stack up against its closest competitor in the Industrials sector, particularly tracking whether WM's valuation advantage persists or narrows. The competitive dynamics between these two major players can influence market pricing, so understanding WM's relative valuation position remains important for investors evaluating whether current market pricing truly reflects the company's worth.
More WM news
- Jim Cramer Explains How He Would Approach Waste Management (WM) Here (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-09)
- What is Waste Management’s (WM) Economic Moat, and is it Widening or Narrowing? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-07)
What people are saying
Follow the WM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — WM's Relative Strength Index moved into overbought territory this week, shifting from a neutral zone. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict despite the momentum indicator's movement into overbought levels.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — WM's quality grade declined from C to D this week, while its RSI indicator moved from oversold to neutral territory. The stock currently maintains an undervalued valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — WM's RSI moved into oversold territory this week, shifting from a neutral zone reading. The stock remains classified as undervalued according to current valuation metrics within the Industrials sector.
- 2026-09-21 — WM's RSI has moved from oversold territory into neutral zone this week, suggesting the stock's recent selling pressure has eased. The company remains trading at undervalued levels according to TickrTrends' derived indicators, though the shift in momentum reflects changing near-term price dynamics within the Industrials sector.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is WM stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), WM is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is WM's TickrTrends verdict?
WM's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does WM compare to other Industrials stocks?
WM ranks #30 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is WM overbought or oversold?
WM's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does WM pay a dividend?
Yes. WM paid $3.66 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.75% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 16 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-11.
When does WM report earnings next?
WM's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does WM usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters WM beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about WM?
Of 28 analysts covering WM, 19 rate it a buy, 9 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $254 (+21.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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