Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Union Pacific Corporation is one of the largest railroad operators in the United States, providing freight transportation services for goods including chemicals, agricultural products, automotive components, and intermodal containers. The company operates an extensive rail network spanning across the western two-thirds of the United States, connecting major ports, metropolitan areas, and industrial centers from the Pacific Coast to the Gulf of Mexico and the Mississippi River.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, UNP is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

UNP currently ranks #74 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 2 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $289.62
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $218.82–$292.13

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for UNP

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for UNP, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $218.82–$292.13.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for UNP
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent UNP news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for UNP is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) Discusses State of the Railroad and Progress on UPO Southern Merger - Slideshow (NYSE:UNP) 2026-09-02 (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Union Pacific's discussion of railroad operations and merger progress provides context for evaluating whether the fairly valued assessment reflects the company's strategic positioning and execution capability. Investors monitoring UNP's valuation should track how the UPO Southern merger integration unfolds, as successful completion and synergy realization could materially affect the company's operational efficiency and competitive standing within the Industrials sector. The timing and financial impact of this merger will be key data points for reassessing whether current valuations remain appropriate for a railroad operator undertaking significant structural changes.
UNP Looks 13.3% Overvalued on GF Value™ Amid Dividend Sustainability Concerns (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Union Pacific trades at a valuation premium according to GuidelineValue's analysis, which contrasts with TickrTrends' assessment of fair value. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the divergence between these two analytical approaches suggests monitoring UNP's dividend coverage and cash generation closely, as sustainability concerns could pressure the stock if earnings deteriorate. The industrial transport sector can be cyclically sensitive, making dividend reliability a critical factor to track alongside any shifts in UNP's operational efficiency and capital allocation decisions.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — UNP's valuation verdict shifted from Overvalued to Fairly valued this week according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. This improvement in the valuation assessment reflects a narrowing of the gap between the company's current market price and its estimated intrinsic value within the Industrials sector.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is UNP stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), UNP is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is UNP's TickrTrends verdict?

UNP's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does UNP compare to other Industrials stocks?

UNP ranks #74 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is UNP overbought or oversold?

UNP's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

UNP vs APOG · UNP vs EMR · UNP vs FDX · UNP vs GWW · UNP vs JBHT