United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

United Parcel Service, Inc. is a package delivery and logistics company that provides shipping, freight, and supply chain management services to customers worldwide. The company operates an extensive network of distribution centers, delivery vehicles, and sorting facilities across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions globally.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, UPS is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

UPS currently ranks #35 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $102.29
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $92.48–$114.42

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The lower-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for UPS

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for UPS, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $92.48–$114.42.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 39.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for UPS
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent UPS news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for UPS is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

This Under-the-Radar Dividend Stock Yields 6.2%. Is It a Buy? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: UPS currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends identifies as undervalued within the Industrials sector, which creates a relevant backdrop for evaluating its dividend yield profile. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's current pricing reflects both its dividend-paying capacity and underlying operational fundamentals, as dividend sustainability depends on earnings quality and free cash flow generation. For those considering this stock from a value perspective, the key consideration is whether the yield adequately compensates for sector-specific risks while the undervaluation assessment holds.
UPS Looks 13.4% Undervalued on GF Value™ as Dividend Sustainability Faces Scrutiny (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-31)
TickrTrends take: UPS is trading at a discount to its calculated intrinsic value according to GF Value metrics, which aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued designation for the stock. The sustainability questions surrounding the company's dividend warrant attention from investors focused on valuation, as the reliability of future payouts directly impacts the total return potential at current price levels. For valuation-conscious investors tracking this Industrials sector name, monitoring management's capital allocation decisions and cash flow generation will be critical to determining whether the current discount fairly reflects underlying business fundamentals or represents a genuine opportunity.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is UPS stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), UPS is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is UPS's TickrTrends verdict?

UPS's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does UPS compare to other Industrials stocks?

UPS ranks #35 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is UPS overbought or oversold?

UPS's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

UPS vs AEIS · UPS vs AOS · UPS vs ASTE · UPS vs CARR · UPS vs FAST