United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
UAL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedUAL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $107.45
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $85.21–$136.11
- Market cap
- $34.9B
- From 52-week high
- -21.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 325M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #67 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
United Airlines Holdings, Inc. operates as a major full-service airline carrier providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. The company serves destinations across North America, Europe, Asia, and the Pacific region through its network of routes and hub operations.
UAL currently ranks #67 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $34.9B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $62.9B
- Net margin
- 5.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $9.06
- Gross margin
- 67.7%
- Debt / equity
- 2.02
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 7.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 325M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 35 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $111.88
- 200-day average
- $108.72
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2008-01-07)
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+10.2%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+3.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+1.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+23.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 23 buy · 2 hold · 0 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $152
- Target vs last price
- +41.5%
What our data shows for UAL
- Our model validated 11 trailing price-to-earnings windows for UAL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $85.21–$136.11.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 35.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for UAL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent UAL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for UAL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) Stock Up 4.0% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 83/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: United Airlines Holdings Inc trades in the Industrials sector where capital intensity and operational efficiency significantly influence valuation assessments. The stock's recent 4 percent gain contrasts with GF Value's overvalued signal, while TickrTrends currently derives a fairly valued assessment, indicating disagreement among valuation frameworks about UAL's current price relative to intrinsic worth. Investors focused on valuation should monitor which framework proves more accurate as the airline's operational metrics and cost structure evolve, since the divergence between fairly valued and overvalued ratings suggests the stock is near a critical valuation inflection point. - United Airlines CEO Advocates for National Wealth Tax and High Inheritance Tax (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: United Airlines' CEO has publicly advocated for increased taxation on wealth and inheritances, positioning the company's leadership within a broader national policy debate. Given TickrTrends' assessment of UAL as fairly valued, investors should monitor whether such policy positions influence regulatory relationships or investor sentiment toward the airline industry, which operates with significant capital requirements and margin pressures. The Industrials sector context suggests that tax policy commentary from major company leaders may warrant attention as a potential factor affecting future valuations, particularly if advocacy efforts gain traction in legislative discussions. - United Airlines (UAL) Prepares to Report Q3 Earnings Amid Fair Valuation and Mixed Insider Signals (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: United Airlines operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends, suggesting that the market price appears aligned with fundamental metrics. The upcoming Q3 earnings report will be an important data point for investors to evaluate whether the company's operational performance justifies its current valuation or signals a need for reassessment. Mixed insider signals add uncertainty to the earnings narrative, meaning shareholders should focus on actual financial results and guidance rather than relying on insider trading patterns to determine if fair value is still appropriate.
More UAL news
- United Airlines CEO calls for national wealth tax, inheritance taxes approaching 100% (foxbusiness.com, 2026-10-19)
- United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) Shares Fall 5.1% -- What GF Score of 83 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- UAL Maintained by UBS -- Price Target Lowered to $139 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- United Airlines (UAL) Looks Cheap. Can Its Cash Flow Justify the Risk? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-13)
- ETFs Are Net Sellers of United Airlines (UAL) on Oct. 9 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- United Airlines (UAL) Raises Domestic Fares by $10 on Over 2 Million Tickets (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- UAL Maintained by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $160 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
- UAL Looks 17.4% Overvalued on GF Value™ as Nor'easter Disrupts Northeast Flights (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
What people are saying
Follow the UAL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for UAL show that the airline moved to a weaker position in sector valuation rankings this week. The stock's sector discount rank declined from 60th to 75th place among Industrials companies, indicating it now trades at a relatively less attractive valuation discount compared to its peer group. The current valuation verdict remains Fairly valued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for UAL show a decline in sector positioning this week. The stock's sector discount rank moved from 52 to 58, indicating a relative weakening in its valuation standing within the Industrials sector. At its current valuation verdict of Fairly valued, UAL remains appropriately priced relative to its fundamentals.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is UAL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), UAL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is UAL's TickrTrends verdict?
UAL's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does UAL compare to other Industrials stocks?
UAL ranks #67 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is UAL overbought or oversold?
UAL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does UAL pay a dividend?
UAL has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2008-01-07.
Does UAL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters UAL beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about UAL?
Of 25 analysts covering UAL, 23 rate it a buy, 2 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $152 (+41.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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