United Airlines Holdings, Inc. (UAL) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. operates as a major full-service airline carrier providing scheduled air transportation for passengers and cargo. The company serves destinations across North America, Europe, Asia, and the Pacific region through its network of routes and hub operations.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, UAL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

UAL currently ranks #50 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $111.38
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $92.52–$128.39

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for UAL

Our model validated 11 trailing price-to-earnings windows for UAL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $92.52–$128.39.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 34.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for UAL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent UAL news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for UAL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

United Airlines (UAL)’s Kirby Wants Back into JFK and is Already Bracing for What AI Does to the Industry (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-06)
TickrTrends take: United Airlines operates in the Industrials sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends metrics. CEO Kirby's strategic focus on expanding operations at competitive hubs like JFK, combined with the company's proactive positioning around artificial intelligence's impact on the airline industry, represents management's commitment to maintaining competitive positioning and operational efficiency. Given the fairly valued assessment, investors should monitor whether these strategic initiatives translate into margin expansion or competitive advantages that could shift the valuation outlook going forward.
United Airlines (UAL) is Sitting on Hundreds of Premium Seats for a Plane that Still Hasn’t Arrived (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-06)
TickrTrends take: United Airlines faces operational constraints from aircraft delivery delays that could affect its near-term revenue capacity, particularly in premium cabin segments where margins tend to be higher. Given the Fairly valued assessment, investors monitoring UAL should track whether delayed aircraft deliveries impact the company's ability to grow revenue and profitability in line with current valuation expectations. The timing of when these aircraft arrive and enter service will be a key factor to observe for understanding whether the current valuation appropriately reflects the company's growth trajectory in the competitive airline industry.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for UAL showed a shift this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from fairly valued to undervalued, while the current valuation verdict remains at fairly valued. This change suggests that the discounted cash flow analysis is identifying potential value at current price levels, even as the overall valuation assessment has not yet moved to reflect a full undervalued classification. UAL operates in the Industrials sector.
2026-09-06 — United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) saw mixed movement in its derived indicators this week. Momentum support disappeared from the indicator set, while the stock's sector discount ranking weakened from number 42 to number 50 within the Industrials sector. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is UAL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), UAL is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is UAL's TickrTrends verdict?

UAL's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does UAL compare to other Industrials stocks?

UAL ranks #50 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is UAL overbought or oversold?

UAL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

UAL vs CHRW · UAL vs DOV · UAL vs GE · UAL vs IEX · UAL vs ITW