RTX Corporation (RTX) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
RTX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedRTX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $185.97
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $168.02–$225.49
- Market cap
- $251B
- From 52-week high
- -17.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.35B
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #80 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
RTX Corporation is an aerospace and defense company that designs, manufactures, and services aircraft engines, avionics systems, missiles, and related defense technologies. The company operates globally with significant operations in the United States and maintains a presence across Europe, Asia, and other regions internationally.
RTX currently ranks #80 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $251B
- P/E (trailing)
- 27x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $93.5B
- Net margin
- 8.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $6.92
- Gross margin
- 20.8%
- Debt / equity
- 0.59
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 27.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.35B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 57 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $200.14
- 200-day average
- $195.04
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.82 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.52%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 4
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-14
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-03
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+13.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+17.1%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+20.6%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+9.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+7.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+11.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+8.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 16 buy · 7 hold · 0 sell (23 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $228
- Target vs last price
- +22.6%
What our data shows for RTX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for RTX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $168.02–$225.49.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 57.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for RTX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent RTX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for RTX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Raytheon Technologies (RTX) Secures $3 Billion Contract Extension for Radar Systems (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: RTX secured a $3 billion contract extension for radar systems, which provides revenue visibility and supports the company's defense and aerospace operations. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this contract extension translates into margin expansion or merely sustains revenue at current levels. The industrials sector context suggests that capital allocation efficiency and return on invested capital will be key metrics to evaluate if the company can justify its present valuation through this work. - U.S. Army Awards $215M Contract to RTX for Upgraded Javelin Launch Units (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: RTX has received a 215 million dollar contract from the U.S. Army for upgraded Javelin launch units, representing continued defense spending momentum in its core business. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that RTX trades at an overvalued level, investors monitoring the stock should track whether such contract wins can justify the current valuation multiple or if they merely sustain near-term revenue without closing any valuation gap. The industrials sector defense contractor remains reliant on government procurement cycles, making the sustainability and margin contribution of individual contracts relevant to any reassessment of its current price relative to fundamentals. - ClearBridge Dividend Strategy Shifts Away from RTX Amid Valuation Concerns (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: ClearBridge's reduction of RTX holdings reflects broader concerns about the aerospace and defense company's current pricing relative to its fundamentals, which aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is overvalued. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether RTX's stock price adjusts downward or if the company's earnings growth accelerates enough to justify current levels. The divergence between dividend-focused strategies abandoning the position and the stock's overall market reception may indicate a widening gap between fundamental value and market price that could eventually compress.
More RTX news
- Raytheon (RTX) Secures $8 Billion U.S. Air Force Contract for Strategic Communications Modernization (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- Raytheon Technologies Advances Naval Radar and Drone Defense, Ticker RTX (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Raytheon Technologies (RTX) Secures $24.4B Missile Production Contract (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-01)
- Raytheon Technologies (RTX) Secures $20.7 Billion AMRAAM Contract Extending Through 2033 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-28)
What people are saying
Follow the RTX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — # RTX Weekly Indicator Summary RTX moved out of oversold territory this week, with its Relative Strength Index shifting from the oversold zone into neutral range. The stock maintains an overvalued assessment based on current valuation metrics. This combination of improved momentum alongside elevated valuation levels suggests mixed technical positioning for the industrials sector holding.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is RTX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), RTX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is RTX's TickrTrends verdict?
RTX's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does RTX compare to other Industrials stocks?
RTX ranks #80 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is RTX overbought or oversold?
RTX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does RTX pay a dividend?
Yes. RTX paid $2.82 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.52% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 4 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-14.
Does RTX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters RTX beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about RTX?
Of 23 analysts covering RTX, 16 rate it a buy, 7 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $228 (+22.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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