Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
SMCI price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedSMCI is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $41.85
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $20.53–$52.69
- Market cap
- $27.5B
- From 52-week high
- -20.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 657M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #5 of 181
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Super Micro Computer, Inc. manufactures and sells high-performance computing systems, storage solutions, and software designed for data center, cloud computing, and artificial intelligence applications. The company operates globally with manufacturing facilities and sales operations across multiple continents including North America, Europe, and Asia.
SMCI currently ranks #5 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $27.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $39.1B
- Net margin
- 5.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $3.50
- Gross margin
- 17.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.46
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 141.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 657M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 28 · oversold
- 50-day average
- $38.67
- 200-day average
- $32.47
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+189.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+35.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+40.8%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-10.3%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-6.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+3.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+1.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 5 buy · 11 hold · 3 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $42.3
- Target vs last price
- +1.1%
What our data shows for SMCI
- Our model validated 11 trailing price-to-earnings windows for SMCI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $20.53–$52.69.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 28.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for SMCI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent SMCI news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for SMCI is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Supermicro Introduces the NVIDIA Vera CPU Rack, a 256 CPU, 100% Liquid-Cooled Rack-Scale Solution, Complementing the NVIDIA Vera Rubin Platform, for Agentic AI at Scale (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Supermicro's introduction of a specialized liquid-cooled rack solution for NVIDIA's Vera CPU platform demonstrates the company's ability to capture infrastructure demand within the rapidly expanding agentic AI segment. TickrTrends currently rates SMCI as undervalued within the Technology sector, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the revenue potential from this type of advanced data center infrastructure as enterprises scale AI deployments. Investors monitoring this valuation should track whether this product offering translates into meaningful order flow and margin expansion in coming quarters. - SpaceX’s profit helps lift AI stocks and Wall Street (jamaica-gleaner.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: SpaceX's profitability gains are contributing to broader momentum in AI-related equities, which could influence investor sentiment toward technology infrastructure providers like Super Micro Computer. With TickrTrends currently assessing SMCI as undervalued, developments that elevate confidence in AI sector economics may warrant monitoring to see whether the market reassesses valuations for companies positioned in AI hardware and infrastructure. Valuation-focused investors should observe whether positive sentiment from successful AI ventures translates into re-rating opportunities for currently undervalued technology plays. - Pre-market action: Here's the trade setup for today's session (economictimes.indiatimes.com, 2026-10-22)
TickrTrends take: Super Micro Computer operates in the Technology sector where valuation metrics significantly influence investor positioning during volatile trading sessions. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for SMCI, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's fundamental value relative to its current share price. Pre-market trading activity can amplify price movements in technology stocks, particularly those trading below intrinsic value estimates, making today's session relevant for investors monitoring valuation-driven opportunities.
More SMCI news
- Alberta Votes to Remain in Canada Amid Secession Discussions (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
- Netflix Restructures Leadership Amid Content Strategy Overhaul (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
- OpenAI Engineer Abdulrahman Alfozan Faces Charges Amid Saudi Government Links (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
- India Halts Ethanol Purchases from Sugarcane to Manage Sugar Prices (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-18)
- Nscale Faces Setback as Microsoft Exits Data Center Deal (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-18)
- Ledger Investigates Security Breach Affecting Crypto Wallets (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-18)
- ECB May Raise Rates Again, Says Joachim Nagel (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- IMF Urges Global Fiscal Resilience Amid Rising Debt and Economic Challenges (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- G7 Finance Leaders Plan AI Cyberattack Simulations (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Philadelphia Semiconductor Index Faces $1 Trillion Decline Amid Rising Rate Concerns (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- US Inflation Rises to 3.7% in September, Impacting Economic Sentiment (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- US CPI Data Fuels Market Concerns as Stocks Decline (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC Trims Wintergreen Acquisition Corp (WTG) Stake by 68.08% (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC Slashes Newbury Street II Acquisition Corp (NTWO) Stake by 98.60% (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- WOLVERINE ASSET MANAGEMENT LLC Adds 180,000 Shares of Maywood Acquisition Corp 2 (MYX) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
What people are saying
Follow the SMCI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — SMCI's relative strength index has shifted into oversold territory this week, moving from a neutral zone. The stock remains positioned as undervalued according to current valuation metrics within the technology sector. This technical shift suggests the stock may have experienced recent selling pressure despite its undervalued fundamental standing.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — SMCI's quality grade declined from D to F this week, reflecting a deterioration in the company's fundamental metrics as tracked by TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock maintains an undervalued designation within the Technology sector, though investors should monitor whether the declining quality grade signals emerging concerns about the company's operational or financial performance.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is SMCI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), SMCI is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is SMCI's TickrTrends verdict?
SMCI's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does SMCI compare to other Technology stocks?
SMCI ranks #5 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is SMCI overbought or oversold?
SMCI's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
When does SMCI report earnings next?
SMCI's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03, per the published earnings calendar.
Does SMCI usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters SMCI beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about SMCI?
Of 19 analysts covering SMCI, 5 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 3 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $42.3 (+1.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
Other share classes
Also trades as SMCIP, another share class of Super Micro Computer, Inc.. Our ranked lists show the company once, under SMCI, its most liquid class.
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