T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
TMUS price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedTMUS is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $148.58
- Sector
- Communication Services
- 12-month range
- $148.58–$221.98
- Market cap
- $159B
- From 52-week high
- -33.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.07B
- Rank in Communication Services by discount to fair value
- #5 of 29
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
T-Mobile US, Inc. is a wireless communications provider that offers mobile phone services, broadband internet, and related telecommunications products to customers across the United States. The company operates as the third-largest wireless carrier in the country, serving residential and business customers through its nationwide network infrastructure.
TMUS currently ranks #5 of 29 Communication Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $159B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $92.2B
- Net margin
- 11.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $10.05
- Gross margin
- 64.8%
- Debt / equity
- 2.06
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.07B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Fairly Valued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 45 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $172.83
- 200-day average
- $189.25
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $5.16 per share (5 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.47%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 2
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-25
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-28 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+25.7%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+15.1%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-8.7%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+7.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+6.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+8.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+7.9%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 23 buy · 5 hold · 0 sell (28 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $237
- Target vs last price
- +59.5%
What our data shows for TMUS
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TMUS, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $148.58–$221.98.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 45.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TMUS
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TMUS news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TMUS is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- T-Mobile (TMUS): Can Fiber Grow Without Consuming Too Much Shareholder Cash? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: T-Mobile's fiber expansion strategy raises questions about capital allocation efficiency that directly impact shareholder returns, particularly relevant given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment of the stock. Investors focused on valuation should monitor how management balances fiber infrastructure investments against free cash flow generation and dividend sustainability, as excessive capital consumption could affect the company's ability to return value to shareholders. The fiber growth trajectory will be a key metric to watch in determining whether the current undervalued positioning remains justified or if capital intensity shifts the fundamental value equation. - T-Mobile (TMUS) Faces a SpaceX Selloff. What Is Its Cash Flow Worth? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: T-Mobile operates in the competitive Communication Services sector where cash flow generation is a key metric for determining intrinsic value, particularly when major shareholders like SpaceX adjust their positions. The headline raises questions about how the market will assess TMUS's ability to convert revenues into free cash flow, which is critical for supporting dividends and debt reduction. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued designation, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether any stock pressure from the SpaceX selloff creates a wider gap between TMUS's intrinsic cash generation capacity and its market price. - Wall Street finishes its record-setting week with gains (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-10)
TickrTrends take: T-Mobile's undervalued status according to TickrTrends comes into focus as broader market momentum continues, with Wall Street experiencing a record-setting week that could either validate or pressure the Communication Services sector's pricing. Investors focusing on valuation metrics should monitor whether TMUS maintains its discount to sector peers during periods of broad market strength, as strong rallies can sometimes compress valuations across entire industries. The interaction between TMUS's current undervaluation and overall market enthusiasm will be relevant to watch for signs of whether the stock's relative bargain status persists or normalizes with broader gains.
More TMUS news
- US stocks: US market posts weekly gains with earnings, inflation data on tap (economictimes.indiatimes.com, 2026-10-09)
- SPCX Stock at $160.57: Starlink 800 MHz Hits Verizon and AT&T (financefeeds.com, 2026-10-09)
What people are saying
Follow the TMUS conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TMUS has experienced shifts in its technical and valuation indicators this week. The DCF cross-check band has moved from an undervalued assessment to fairly valued, while the RSI zone has transitioned from oversold to neutral territory. Despite these indicator changes suggesting less extreme conditions, the overall current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — # TMUS Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for TMUS shifted this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from a fairly valued assessment to an undervalued position. The stock remains in the Communication Services sector and carries a current valuation verdict of undervalued. This change reflects an adjustment in the fundamental valuation framework used to assess the company's intrinsic value relative to its current market price.
- 2026-10-10 — TMUS moved into oversold territory this week as its Relative Strength Index entered the oversold zone from neutral, according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock maintains an undervalued designation within the Communication Services sector. This technical shift suggests the stock's recent price movement may have extended beyond typical trading ranges.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TMUS's momentum indicator downgraded this week from a B rating to none, indicating a loss of positive directional movement in the stock. The Communication Services sector stock remains classified as undervalued according to TickrTrends' current valuation assessment. This shift in momentum warrants attention from investors monitoring the company's near-term price dynamics.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TMUS stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TMUS is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TMUS's TickrTrends verdict?
TMUS's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TMUS compare to other Communication Services stocks?
TMUS ranks #5 of 29 Communication Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TMUS overbought or oversold?
TMUS's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does TMUS pay a dividend?
Yes. TMUS paid $5.16 per share over the last twelve months (5 payments), a 3.47% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 2 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-25.
When does TMUS report earnings next?
TMUS's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-28 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does TMUS usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TMUS beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TMUS?
Of 28 analysts covering TMUS, 23 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $237 (+59.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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