Tower Semiconductor Ltd. (TSEM) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
TSEM price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedTSEM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $195.58
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $75.77–$316.85
- Market cap
- $22.1B
- From 52-week high
- -38.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 113M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #145 of 181
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Tower Semiconductor Ltd. is a semiconductor foundry that manufactures integrated circuits for various applications including automotive, industrial, and consumer electronics. The company operates fabrication facilities in Israel and the United States.
TSEM currently ranks #145 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $22.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 71x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.71B
- Net margin
- 16.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.77
- Gross margin
- 29.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.05
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 113M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 40 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $225.91
- 200-day average
- $202.08
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-02 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+14.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+18.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+14.7%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+1.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+11.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+18.4%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+11.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+7.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (9 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $313
- Target vs last price
- +60.0%
What our data shows for TSEM
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for TSEM, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $75.77–$316.85.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for TSEM
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent TSEM news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for TSEM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Is Tower Semiconductor Ltd (TSEM) Overvalued After 3.1% Rally? GF Value Says Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Tower Semiconductor trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued, which aligns with the recent market movement that has pushed the stock higher. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the gap between current market price and intrinsic value estimates represents a key monitoring point, particularly as the semiconductor industry experiences cyclical pressures. Tracking whether TSEM can improve operational performance or if the valuation premium compresses back toward fair value would be critical factors for reassessment. - Wed: Mega Or stands out on flat TASE (en.globes.co.il, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: TSEM trades at a valuation marked as overvalued according to TickrTrends analysis within the Technology sector. Given this overvaluation assessment, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's operational performance can justify its current pricing or whether market conditions may create pressure for repricing. The flat trading environment referenced in the broader market context underscores the importance of distinguishing between companies trading on momentum versus those supported by fundamental value metrics. - Tower Semiconductor Ltd (TSEM) Shares Fall 8.2% -- GF Value Says Still Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Tower Semiconductor's recent share decline occurs within the context of TickrTrends' assessment that the stock remains overvalued relative to its fundamentals. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the selloff does not appear to have brought the stock into alignment with intrinsic value estimates according to the analysis framework. The continued overvaluation designation suggests that any further price adjustments may be needed before the Technology sector stock reaches fair value levels.
More TSEM news
- Mon: TASE slips as Elbit bucks market (en.globes.co.il, 2026-10-19)
- A Look at Tower Semiconductor Ltd (TSEM) After 6.8% Decline -- GF Value $58.87 vs Price $195.58 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Tower Semiconductor Announces Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results and Conference Call (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-13)
- A Look at Tower Semiconductor Ltd (TSEM) After 5.3% Decline -- GF Value $58.70 vs Price $216.50 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Astera Labs (ALAB) vs Tower Semiconductor (TSEM): Which is a Better Stock to Buy? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-09)
What people are saying
Follow the TSEM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TSEM in the Technology sector show a shift in momentum this week. The 50/200-day trend state moved from an uptrend to a mixed trend, reflecting reduced directional conviction in the near term relative to the longer-term average. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for TSEM in the Technology sector shifted this week, with the quality grade improving from D to B. The sector discount rank moved from 191 to 186, representing a modest improvement in relative valuation positioning within the sector. Despite these positive changes in the underlying indicators, the current valuation verdict remains Overvalued.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TSEM's 50/200-day trend state has shifted from mixed to uptrend this week. The technology sector stock remains categorized as overvalued according to TickrTrends' current valuation assessment. This upward momentum in the intermediate-term trend represents a technical development distinct from the existing overvaluation status.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is TSEM stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), TSEM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is TSEM's TickrTrends verdict?
TSEM's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does TSEM compare to other Technology stocks?
TSEM ranks #145 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is TSEM overbought or oversold?
TSEM's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does TSEM report earnings next?
TSEM's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-02 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does TSEM usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters TSEM beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about TSEM?
Of 9 analysts covering TSEM, 8 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $313 (+60.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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