The Allstate Corporation (ALL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
ALL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedALL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $229.43
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $190.00–$275.11
- Market cap
- $58B
- From 52-week high
- -16.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 253M
- Rank in Financial Services by discount to fair value
- #25 of 167
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Allstate Corporation is an insurance company that provides auto, home, life, and other insurance products to consumers and businesses. The company operates primarily in the United States through various distribution channels including its own agents and exclusive representatives.
ALL currently ranks #25 of 167 Financial Services stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $58B
- P/E (trailing)
- 5x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $69.2B
- Net margin
- 19.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $45.12
- Gross margin
- 34.7%
- Debt / equity
- 0.22
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 253M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 54 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $246.92
- 200-day average
- $225.96
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.24 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.85%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 15
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-31
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+56.1%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+47.1%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+49.1%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+36.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+100.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+39.5%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+15.0%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+127.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 10 buy · 10 hold · 5 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $269
- Target vs last price
- +17.2%
What our data shows for ALL
- Our model validated 10 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ALL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $190.00–$275.11.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 54.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ALL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ALL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ALL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Insurance Innovation Reporter (iireporter.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: I appreciate the request, but I cannot write the requested analysis because the headline "Insurance Innovation Reporter" does not provide specific factual information about ALL that I can relate to its valuation context. Without concrete facts about what ALL announced, did, or achieved, I cannot write factually about how this news connects to its undervalued status in the Financial Services sector. To provide accurate analysis, I would need details about the specific developments, changes, or events the headline references. - Fitch raises Allstate’s ratings following improvements in capital and underwriting performance (reinsurancene.ws, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Fitch's rating upgrade reflects operational improvements at Allstate that strengthen the company's financial foundation, which is relevant context for evaluating whether current market pricing adequately reflects the company's enhanced credit profile and risk management. TickrTrends currently categorizes ALL as undervalued, suggesting the market may not yet be fully pricing in the positive implications of improved capital positions and underwriting discipline within the Financial Services sector. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this rating action leads to broader recognition of Allstate's financial stability improvements. - Allstate (ALL) Reports Lower September Catastrophe Losses, Shares Rise 3.1% (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Allstate's report of lower catastrophe losses in September provides concrete evidence of improved underwriting conditions that could support the company's profitability metrics going forward. Given TickrTrends' current Undervalued assessment, this development reinforces why the market may be underappreciating the company's earnings potential as catastrophe exposure normalizes. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether subsequent quarters continue this trend of moderated losses, as sustained improvements could narrow the gap between ALL's current price and its intrinsic value.
More ALL news
- Financial Firms Kick Off Q3 Earnings with Allstate Corp (ALL) Leading Profitability (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
- The Allstate Corporation (ALL) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It (zacks.com, 2026-10-08)
- Arity Launches Carrier-Controlled Lead Platform (iireporter.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the ALL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for the Financial Services sector showed improvement this week. The quality grade advanced from C to B, while the Relative Strength Index moved out of oversold territory into the neutral zone. The sector maintains an undervalued current valuation verdict.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for the Financial Services sector moved into oversold territory this week, with the Relative Strength Index transitioning from neutral into the oversold zone. The sector maintains an undervalued current valuation verdict based on the available metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ALL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ALL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ALL's TickrTrends verdict?
ALL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ALL compare to other Financial Services stocks?
ALL ranks #25 of 167 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ALL overbought or oversold?
ALL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ALL pay a dividend?
Yes. ALL paid $4.24 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.85% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 15 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-31.
When does ALL report earnings next?
ALL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does ALL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ALL beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ALL?
Of 25 analysts covering ALL, 10 rate it a buy, 10 a hold and 5 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $269 (+17.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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