AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

AMERISAFE, Inc. is a specialty insurance company that provides workers' compensation insurance products primarily to small to mid-sized employers in the United States. The company operates across all 50 states and focuses on serving specific industries including construction, energy, and other high-risk occupational sectors.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, AMSF is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

AMSF currently ranks #77 of 165 Financial Services stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $30.18
Sector: Financial Services
12-month range: $29.79–$40.68

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Oversold
50/200-day trend: Downtrend
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range

What our data shows for AMSF

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AMSF, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $29.79–$40.68.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 26.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AMSF
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent AMSF news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AMSF is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

AMERISAFE, Inc. (AMSF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-22)
TickrTrends take: AMSF operates in the Financial Services sector and currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends assesses as fairly valued. With the company having reported Q2 2026 results, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether management commentary on underwriting performance, claims trends, and premium growth provides evidence supporting the current fair value assessment. Any significant changes to loss ratios, expense management, or competitive positioning disclosed during the earnings discussion could warrant reassessment of the current valuation standing.
AMERISAFE, Inc. Q2 2026 Earnings Call Summary (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-07-22)
TickrTrends take: AMERISAFE operates in the Financial Services sector and carries a Fairly valued designation from TickrTrends, suggesting the market has already priced in reasonable expectations for the company's prospects. For valuation-focused readers monitoring Q2 2026 results, the key consideration is whether earnings performance and forward guidance will sustain this fair value assessment or signal a need for valuation recalibration. Any material changes to underwriting profitability, investment returns, or loss reserve adequacy could shift how the market prices the company relative to its intrinsic value.

What people are saying

Follow the AMSF conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — AMSF's relative strength index moved into oversold territory this week, shifting from a neutral zone. The stock in the Financial Services sector maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is AMSF stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), AMSF is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is AMSF's TickrTrends verdict?

AMSF's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does AMSF compare to other Financial Services stocks?

AMSF ranks #77 of 165 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is AMSF overbought or oversold?

AMSF's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Financial Services fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

AMSF vs ATLC · AMSF vs HIG · AMSF vs HOPE · AMSF vs IVZ · AMSF vs MET