APA Corporation (APA) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
APA price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedAPA is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $45.88
- Sector
- Energy
- 12-month range
- $21.66–$49.15
- Market cap
- $16.1B
- From 52-week high
- -6.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 350M
- Rank in Energy by discount to fair value
- #19 of 24
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
APA Corporation is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company that discovers, develops, and produces crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids from properties located onshore and offshore. The company operates primarily in the United States, Egypt, and the North Sea region.
APA currently ranks #19 of 24 Energy stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $16.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 9x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.83B
- Net margin
- 19.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.11
- Gross margin
- 1.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.55
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 350M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 64 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $43.61
- 200-day average
- $36.43
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.00 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.18%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-22
- Last payment date
- 2026-11-23
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+158.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+42.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+25.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+81.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+29.2%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-16.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+1.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 10 buy · 14 hold · 3 sell (27 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $47.7
- Target vs last price
- +4.0%
What our data shows for APA
- Our model validated 13 trailing price-to-earnings windows for APA, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $21.66–$49.15.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 64.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for APA
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent APA news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for APA is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Apache Corporation Announces 2026-2027 Tree Grant Program Recipients (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: Apache Corporation's announcement of recipients for its 2026-2027 tree grant program reflects ongoing environmental and community engagement activities, which represent operational costs that factor into the company's overall expense structure. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that APA is overvalued, investors should monitor how such discretionary spending initiatives affect the company's capital allocation priorities and free cash flow generation in the Energy sector. The timing and scale of these commitments may be relevant to evaluating whether the company's current valuation appropriately reflects the full scope of its operational and strategic expenditures. - APA Corp.: Expect Short-Term Volatility, Long-Term Profitability (Downgrade) (NASDAQ:APA) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-18)
TickrTrends take: APA Corp. has been downgraded with expectations of near-term volatility, which aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock is overvalued relative to its fundamentals. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should track whether near-term price fluctuations present opportunities to reassess the company's long-term profitability potential against current market pricing in the Energy sector. The downgrade suggests that current market expectations may not adequately reflect the execution risks ahead despite the company's longer-term earnings prospects.
What people are saying
Follow the APA conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is APA stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), APA is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is APA's TickrTrends verdict?
APA's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does APA compare to other Energy stocks?
APA ranks #19 of 24 Energy stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is APA overbought or oversold?
APA's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does APA pay a dividend?
Yes. APA paid $1.00 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.18% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-22.
When does APA report earnings next?
APA's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does APA usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters APA beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about APA?
Of 27 analysts covering APA, 10 rate it a buy, 14 a hold and 3 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $47.7 (+4.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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