Chevron Corporation (CVX) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
CVX price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedCVX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $211.98
- Sector
- Energy
- 12-month range
- $146.75–$224.99
- Market cap
- $416B
- From 52-week high
- -5.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.96B
- Rank in Energy by discount to fair value
- #14 of 24
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Chevron Corporation is an integrated energy company engaged in the exploration, production, and distribution of crude oil and natural gas, as well as the production and sale of petroleum products and chemicals. The company operates facilities and conducts business across multiple continents including North America, South America, Africa, Asia, and Europe.
CVX currently ranks #14 of 24 Energy stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $416B
- P/E (trailing)
- 20x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $209B
- Net margin
- 9.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $10.84
- Gross margin
- 45.5%
- Debt / equity
- 0.20
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.96B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Fairly Valued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 67 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $207.13
- 200-day average
- $189.87
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $7.05 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.33%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 20
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-19
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-10
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-30 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+4.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+45.4%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+5.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+8.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+1.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+1.4%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-2.4%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+3.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 20 buy · 4 hold · 1 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $228
- Target vs last price
- +7.6%
What our data shows for CVX
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CVX, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $146.75–$224.99.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 67.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CVX
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent CVX news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CVX is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Trump and Famous Billionaires Were Buying This Oil Stock (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Chevron trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued, which means the stock price appears elevated relative to fundamental metrics. News of high-profile buying interest may reflect confidence in energy sector prospects, but valuation-focused investors should monitor whether such demand will narrow the gap between current market price and underlying asset value. The overvalued designation suggests caution until the stock's price adjusts downward or earnings growth accelerates sufficiently to justify its current level. - Chevron Corporation (CVX) -- Strong Earnings from Higher Oil Prices | Ariel Focus Fund Q3 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-17)
TickrTrends take: Chevron's strong earnings driven by higher oil prices represent a temporary benefit that may not sustain if energy prices normalize, which is relevant given TickrTrends' current assessment that CVX is overvalued. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company's current earnings power can be maintained absent elevated commodity prices, as the Energy sector is inherently cyclical and vulnerable to price fluctuations. The disconnect between strong near-term results and the overvaluation verdict suggests the market may be pricing in oil prices remaining elevated, a risk factor for those evaluating the stock's fair value. - What Makes Chevron Corporation (CVX) an Investment Bet? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Chevron operates in the Energy sector at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued. Given this valuation context, investors focused on price relative to fundamental value should monitor whether near-term developments in oil markets or company operations narrow the gap between current pricing and intrinsic value. The overvalued designation suggests caution for value-oriented investors until a more favorable entry point materializes.
More CVX news
- BP (BP) Resumes Gulf Oil Production Post-Hurricane Isaias Disruptions (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- CVX Maintained by TD Cowen -- Price Target Raised to $225 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Jim Cramer Draws a Line Between Texas Pacific Land (TPL) and Chevron (CVX) (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-08)
What people are saying
Follow the CVX conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — # CVX Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for CVX showed a shift in momentum this week as the Relative Strength Index moved from overbought territory into neutral zone. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict according to current analysis metrics. This transition suggests a moderation in the intensity of recent price movements within the energy sector.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is CVX stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CVX is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is CVX's TickrTrends verdict?
CVX's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does CVX compare to other Energy stocks?
CVX ranks #14 of 24 Energy stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is CVX overbought or oversold?
CVX's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does CVX pay a dividend?
Yes. CVX paid $7.05 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 3.33% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 20 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-19.
When does CVX report earnings next?
CVX's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-30 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does CVX usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters CVX beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about CVX?
Of 25 analysts covering CVX, 20 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $228 (+7.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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