Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
EXE price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedEXE is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $88.22
- Sector
- Energy
- 12-month range
- $84.09–$122.89
- Market cap
- $20.4B
- From 52-week high
- -28.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 232M
- Rank in Energy by discount to fair value
- #1 of 24
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Expand Energy Corporation is a Nasdaq-listed energy company that develops and operates energy infrastructure projects. The company focuses on liquefied natural gas and related energy solutions across North America.
EXE currently ranks #1 of 24 Energy stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $20.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 11x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $13.4B
- Net margin
- 20.8%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.13
- Gross margin
- 78.6%
- Debt / equity
- 0.19
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 31.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 232M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 64 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $92.55
- 200-day average
- $97.42
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.30 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.61%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-13
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-03
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+9.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+5.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+11.7%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+14.1%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-4.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+8.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+27.9%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+366.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 23 buy · 5 hold · 0 sell (28 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $122
- Target vs last price
- +38.3%
What our data shows for EXE
- Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EXE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $84.09–$122.89.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 64.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EXE
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the EXE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EXE showed movement in the relative strength index this week, with the RSI zone shifting from oversold to neutral territory. The current valuation verdict for the Energy sector holding remains Undervalued.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EXE show a shift toward weaker technical positioning this week. The 50/200-day trend state moved from mixed to downtrend, while momentum declined from a C rating to none. Despite these technical deteriorations, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EXE showed a shift in the Relative Strength Index this week, moving from neutral territory into oversold conditions. The stock maintains an undervalued assessment based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is EXE stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), EXE is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is EXE's TickrTrends verdict?
EXE's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does EXE compare to other Energy stocks?
EXE ranks #1 of 24 Energy stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is EXE overbought or oversold?
EXE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does EXE pay a dividend?
Yes. EXE paid $2.30 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.61% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-13.
When does EXE report earnings next?
EXE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does EXE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters EXE beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about EXE?
Of 28 analysts covering EXE, 23 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $122 (+38.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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