Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
ASO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedASO is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $58.63
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $41.73–$61.19
- Market cap
- $3.61B
- From 52-week high
- -4.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 61.6M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #52 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. is a retailer that sells sporting goods, outdoor equipment, and apparel through both physical stores and online channels. The company operates primarily in the United States.
ASO currently ranks #52 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 4 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $3.61B
- P/E (trailing)
- 9x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $6.19B
- Net margin
- 6.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $6.23
- Gross margin
- 40.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.90
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 61.6M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 79 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $49.02
- 200-day average
- $52.55
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.58 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.99%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 3
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-16
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-14
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-12-08
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+7.4%)
2026-04 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
2026-01 ▼ miss (-3.9%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+7.5%)
2025-07 ▼ miss (-8.9%)
2025-04 ▼ miss (-14.6%)
2025-01 ▲ beat (+7.7%)
2024-10 ▼ miss (-22.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 9 buy · 11 hold · 0 sell (20 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $59.5
- Target vs last price
- +1.5%
What our data shows for ASO
- Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ASO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $41.73–$61.19.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 79.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ASO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ASO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ASO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- ASO Maintained by Evercore ISI Group -- Price Target Raised to $60 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Evercore ISI Group's maintained rating alongside a price target increase to $60 reflects analyst confidence in ASO's fundamentals within the Consumer Cyclical sector. Given TickrTrends' current assessment of the stock as fairly valued, investors monitoring valuation metrics should observe whether ASO trades toward or away from this $60 target level, as such movement could signal shifts in the market's pricing of the company relative to its intrinsic worth. The gap between current levels and the analyst target may indicate where consensus expectations are positioned relative to TickrTrends' valuation assessment. - Academy Sports: HOKA Adds Excitement, But We Have To Read The Signal (NASDAQ:ASO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-09)
TickrTrends take: Academy Sports operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and is currently assessed as fairly valued according to TickrTrends metrics. The addition of HOKA to the company's product offerings represents a potential growth catalyst, though valuation-focused investors should monitor whether this brand partnership translates into measurable improvements in comparable store sales and gross margin expansion. Given the fairly valued designation, any meaningful upside from HOKA's performance would need to demonstrate itself in financial results before justifying a premium valuation. - A Look at Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc (ASO) After 6.7% Gain -- GF Value $59.99 vs Price $51.98 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
TickrTrends take: Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc trades at a price below its GF Value estimate, which aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued designation for the Consumer Cyclical sector stock. The valuation gap suggests the market is pricing ASO with a discount relative to its estimated intrinsic value, giving fundamental investors a potential margin of safety. Observers of valuation metrics should monitor whether this gap persists or narrows, as sustained undervaluation in cyclical consumer stocks can shift quickly with economic conditions and company performance.
More ASO news
- HOKA Footwear Launches at Academy Sports (ASO), Shares Dip Amid Growth Prospects (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
What people are saying
Follow the ASO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — ASO moved into overbought territory this week as its RSI zone shifted from neutral, while its sector discount rank declined from number 55 to number 64, indicating the stock is now ranked lower among Consumer Cyclical peers in terms of valuation discount. Despite these technical shifts, ASO maintains a fairly valued assessment according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — ASO's valuation metrics shifted this week as its sector discount rank declined from 47th to 58th position, indicating reduced relative valuation advantage within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The stock's valuation verdict changed from Undervalued to Fairly valued, reflecting the adjustment in TickrTrends' derived indicators over the period.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — ASO has experienced notable shifts in its technical positioning over the past week. The stock's 50/200-day trend state transitioned from a downtrend to a mixed condition, suggesting reduced momentum to the downside, while its sector discount rank declined from 34th to 44th position, indicating a widening valuation gap relative to other Consumer Cyclical peers. Despite these technical adjustments, the stock maintains an undervalued designation based on current valuation metrics.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ASO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ASO is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ASO's TickrTrends verdict?
ASO's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ASO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
ASO ranks #52 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ASO overbought or oversold?
ASO's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does ASO pay a dividend?
Yes. ASO paid $0.58 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.99% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 3 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-16.
When does ASO report earnings next?
ASO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-12-08, per the published earnings calendar.
Does ASO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ASO beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ASO?
Of 20 analysts covering ASO, 9 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $59.5 (+1.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Cyclical
Head-to-head comparisons
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