Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. (ASO) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. is a retailer that sells sporting goods, outdoor equipment, and apparel through both physical stores and online channels. The company operates primarily in the United States.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ASO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

ASO currently ranks #38 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $48.56
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $46.77–$59.87

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Fairly Valued

What our data shows for ASO

Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ASO, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $46.77–$59.87.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 46.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ASO
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ASO news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ASO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

ASO Maintains Rating by Telsey Advisory Group -- Price Target Lowered to $60 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-02)
TickrTrends take: Telsey Advisory Group's decision to lower its price target for ASO to $60 while maintaining its rating suggests the analyst sees near-term headwinds despite retaining conviction in the company's fundamental outlook. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that ASO is undervalued, the gap between the new price target and current market pricing may represent an area of disagreement worth monitoring, particularly as consumer cyclical stocks often face sensitivity to economic conditions. Investors focused on valuation should track whether ASO's fundamentals deteriorate further or whether the market eventually reconciles its valuation toward analyst expectations.
Is Academy Sports and Outdoors Inc (ASO) a Bargain After 5.8% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-26)
TickrTrends take: Academy Sports and Outdoors trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where valuation metrics carry particular weight given the sensitivity of discretionary spending to economic conditions. The stock's recent decline aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, suggesting the market may be pricing in concerns that exceed fundamental value. Investors monitoring ASO should track whether the current valuation discount persists or narrows as economic data and consumer spending patterns evolve.
Academy Sports And Outdoors Stock Falls On Announcement Of Partnership With Ariat International (rttnews.com, 2026-08-25)
TickrTrends take: Academy Sports and Outdoors announced a partnership with Ariat International, which prompted a stock price decline despite the company operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector where strategic partnerships typically aim to drive growth and market expansion. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued designation for ASO, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this partnership agreement translates into revenue synergies and margin improvements that could justify the current market pricing. The market's initial negative reaction may present an opportunity to reassess the partnership's long-term strategic value relative to the company's fundamental valuation standing.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ASO stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ASO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ASO's TickrTrends verdict?

ASO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ASO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

ASO ranks #38 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ASO overbought or oversold?

ASO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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