AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
AZO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedAZO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $2,939.85
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $2,792.03–$3,967.95
- Market cap
- $47.5B
- From 52-week high
- -25.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 16.2M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #28 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
AutoZone, Inc. is an American retailer of aftermarket automotive parts and accessories, as well as a provider of automotive diagnostic and repair services. The company operates stores across the United States, Mexico, and Brazil.
AZO currently ranks #28 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $47.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 18x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $20.3B
- Net margin
- 12.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $163.23
- Gross margin
- 53.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 19.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 16.2M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 69 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $2,939.98
- 200-day average
- $3,271.98
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
- Momentum score
- 80 · grade B
- Positive weeks (of 12)
- 3
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-12-08
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 3 beat, 5 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-08 ▲ beat (+2.8%)
2026-05 ▲ beat (+5.3%)
2026-02 ▲ beat (+5.3%)
2025-11 ▼ miss (-4.7%)
2025-08 ▼ miss (-4.0%)
2025-05 ▼ miss (-4.7%)
2025-02 ▼ miss (-5.1%)
2024-11 ▼ miss (-3.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 24 buy · 4 hold · 0 sell (28 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $3720
- Target vs last price
- +26.5%
What our data shows for AZO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AZO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $2,792.03–$3,967.95.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 69.
- 3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AZO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent AZO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AZO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- AutoZone: Consumer Weakness Won't Stop This Long-Term Story (NYSE:AZO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: AutoZone operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which typically experiences pressure during periods of economic slowdown or reduced consumer spending. TickrTrends currently rates AZO as undervalued, suggesting the market may be pricing in more pessimism about consumer demand than fundamentals warrant. For valuation-focused investors, monitoring whether consumer weakness materializes as cyclical headwind or proves temporary will be critical to validating whether the undervalued assessment holds or requires reassessment. - Is AZO Overvalued? DCF Says Worth $2258 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: AutoZone currently trades in a context where TickrTrends identifies it as undervalued, which contrasts with the DCF analysis suggesting a fair value around $2258. For valuation-focused investors, the gap between the current market price and this DCF estimate represents a key metric to monitor, particularly given AZO's cyclical exposure to consumer spending patterns. The divergence between different valuation methodologies underscores the importance of tracking how the company's fundamentals evolve relative to both intrinsic value estimates and market pricing. - Is It Too Late to Buy AutoZone Inc (AZO) After 5.1% Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: AutoZone has experienced a recent rally that might prompt investors to reassess their entry points, yet TickrTrends currently derives an undervalued verdict for the stock. This assessment aligns with valuation-focused analysis suggesting the stock may still offer opportunity despite its recent gains. For investors monitoring the Consumer Cyclical sector, the persistence of an undervalued designation even after recent appreciation warrants attention to whether fundamental value remains ahead of current price levels.
More AZO news
- Is Trending Stock AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) a Buy Now? (zacks.com, 2026-10-12)
- AZO Initiated Coverage by Bernstein -- Outperform Rating with $3698 PT (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
- Is Most-Watched Stock AutoZone, Inc. (AZO) Worth Betting on Now? (zacks.com, 2026-09-29)
What people are saying
Follow the AZO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for AZO show a shift in momentum from none to B this week, suggesting improved upward price movement. The stock maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict based on current analysis. This change in momentum represents a notable development in the technical positioning of the Consumer Cyclical sector stock.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — AutoZone's quality grade improved from D to C this week, while its revenue growth band shifted from declining to strong, indicating accelerating top-line performance. The company's gross-margin trend stabilized after a period of contraction, and its sector discount rank improved to number 31 from number 37, suggesting it is trading at a more attractive relative valuation within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is AZO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), AZO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is AZO's TickrTrends verdict?
AZO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does AZO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
AZO ranks #28 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is AZO overbought or oversold?
AZO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does AZO report earnings next?
AZO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-12-08, per the published earnings calendar.
Does AZO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters AZO beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 5 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about AZO?
Of 28 analysts covering AZO, 24 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $3720 (+26.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Cyclical
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