BorgWarner Inc. (BWA) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
BWA price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedBWA is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $60.38
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $40.96–$77.03
- Market cap
- $12.5B
- From 52-week high
- -21.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 207M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #68 of 85
Last price is the 2026-10-01 month-start close, the freshest stored price; the chart runs through 2026-09-11.
BorgWarner Inc. is a global automotive supplier that designs and manufactures powertrain components and systems for vehicles, including transmission systems, turbochargers, and hybrid and electric vehicle technology. The company operates manufacturing facilities and sales offices across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide.
BWA currently ranks #68 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 10 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $12.5B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $14.3B
- Net margin
- 2.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.25
- Gross margin
- 19.8%
- Debt / equity
- 0.72
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 0.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 207M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 48 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $65.22
- 200-day average
- $58.08
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
What our data shows for BWA
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BWA, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $40.96–$77.03.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 48.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BWA
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent BWA news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BWA is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- BWA Upgraded by B of A Securities -- Price Target Raised to $85 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Bank of America Securities' upgrade and price target increase to $85 for BWA reflects analyst confidence in the company's prospects, though TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector. For valuation-focused investors, this divergence between the analyst upgrade and the overvalued designation warrants attention to whether the market reprices the stock toward the new target or whether the current valuation already reflects these positives. The sustainability of any near-term gains will likely depend on whether BWA's fundamentals actually close the gap that TickrTrends' analysis suggests exists between current price and intrinsic value. - BorgWarner Inc (BWA) Shares Fall 3.4% -- GF Value Says Still Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: BWA shares declined recently, yet TickrTrends maintains an Overvalued assessment of the company, suggesting the price reduction has not closed the valuation gap sufficiently to alter the verdict. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the stock would need to move substantially lower to reach fair value territory, given that the Consumer Cyclical sector can experience significant volatility. Monitoring whether further price adjustments occur or if fundamental factors change would be relevant for those tracking BWA's path toward a more balanced valuation. - ETFs Are Net Sellers of BorgWarner (BWA) on Oct. 9 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: BWA is currently rated as overvalued by TickrTrends, and the recent net selling pressure from ETFs adds a bearish technical signal that may reinforce concerns about the valuation disconnect. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the combination of an overvalued assessment in the Consumer Cyclical sector alongside institutional ETF outflows warrants monitoring whether the stock's price begins to align with its fundamental metrics. The selling activity from a typically significant investor class suggests the market may be beginning to recognize valuation concerns that valuation-focused investors should track closely.
More BWA news
- Morgan Stanley Upgrades BorgWarner (BWA) to Overweight, Boosts Price Target to $95 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
- Phinia (PHIN) Completes Acquisition of stoba Group, Expanding Industrial Footprint (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-01)
What people are saying
Follow the BWA conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for BWA showed a significant shift this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from fairly valued to none, reflecting reduced confidence in the company's valuation assessment through discounted cash flow analysis. Despite this change in the DCF indicator, the overall valuation verdict remains overvalued, suggesting that other valuation metrics continue to support the assessment that the stock is trading above its intrinsic value. The removal of the DCF cross-check band indicates that current market conditions or company fundamentals may have created uncertainty in traditional cash flow-based valuation models.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is BWA stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), BWA is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is BWA's TickrTrends verdict?
BWA's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does BWA compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
BWA ranks #68 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is BWA overbought or oversold?
BWA's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
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