Casey's General Stores, Inc. (CASY) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Casey's General Stores, Inc. is a convenience store operator that sells gasoline, diesel fuel, and merchandise such as food, beverages, and other retail items. The company operates stores across the central and western United States.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, CASY is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

CASY currently ranks #86 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $860.37
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $512.44–$860.37

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for CASY

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CASY, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $512.44–$860.37.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 35.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CASY
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent CASY news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CASY is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.

Casey's General Stores' Q1: Good Quarter, Tough Expectations (NASDAQ:CASY) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: Casey's General Stores reported a strong first quarter, yet the market has priced in high expectations for the convenience store operator. Given TickrTrends' assessment that CASY is overvalued, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company can sustain momentum or whether current share prices reflect growth prospects that prove difficult to achieve. For a consumer cyclical business, sensitivity to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns adds another layer of risk to consider when evaluating whether valuations justify entry points.
Market Stabilizes as Investors Await Key Inflation Data and Tech Earnings (thestockmarketwatch.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: CASY operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which tends to be sensitive to inflation expectations and broader market sentiment shifts. As investors await inflation data that could influence interest rates and consumer spending patterns, valuations in cyclical stocks like CASY warrant close monitoring given TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock is overvalued. A valuation-focused reader should observe whether incoming economic data prompts market reassessment of consumer discretionary spending capacity, which could impact how sustainable current pricing levels are for cyclical retailers.
Casey's General Stores GAAP EPS of $7.37 beats by $0.55, revenue of $5.69B beats by $140M (NASDAQ:CASY) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-08)

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CASY shifted this week as the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued. These changes reflect movements in the technical positioning of this Consumer Cyclical sector stock compared to the prior week's assessment.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is CASY stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), CASY is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CASY's TickrTrends verdict?

CASY's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CASY compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

CASY ranks #86 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is CASY overbought or oversold?

CASY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

CASY vs CAKE · CASY vs DOO · CASY vs EBAY · CASY vs GIII · CASY vs GTX