Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
CVCO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedCVCO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $521.96
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $455.76–$697.76
- Market cap
- $4.01B
- From 52-week high
- -25.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 7.69M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #55 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Cavco Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells manufactured homes and modular buildings, along with related products and services for the housing industry. The company operates primarily in the United States, with manufacturing facilities and operations across multiple regions to serve residential and commercial markets.
CVCO currently ranks #55 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.01B
- P/E (trailing)
- 23x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.3B
- Net margin
- 7.9%
- EPS (TTM)
- $22.98
- Gross margin
- 22.1%
- Debt / equity
- 0.04
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 11.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 7.69M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 46 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $559.96
- 200-day average
- $554.97
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-2.2%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.3%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-7.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+8.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+20.9%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+12.5%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+49.7%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+8.9%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 3 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (3 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $665
- Target vs last price
- +27.4%
What our data shows for CVCO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CVCO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $455.76–$697.76.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 46.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CVCO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent CVCO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CVCO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Is Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) a Bargain After 4.2% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: While the headline suggests Cavco Industries may present value at current prices, TickrTrends' analysis indicates the stock remains overvalued in the Consumer Cyclical sector. The divergence between this recent price decline and TickrTrends' overvaluation assessment suggests investors focused on valuation metrics should examine the underlying fundamentals rather than rely solely on recent price movements. Monitoring how the company's financial performance evolves relative to sector peers will be important for determining whether any valuation gap narrows in coming periods. - Cavco Industries Inc (CVCO) Stock Up 3.0% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 97/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
TickrTrends take: Cavco Industries stock has gained 3 percent, yet TickrTrends currently derives an overvalued verdict for the company, creating a divergence between recent price movement and valuation assessment. In the Consumer Cyclical sector, where economic sensitivity can drive significant valuation swings, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the stock's recent gains represent a temporary correction or signal a shift in underlying fundamentals. The disconnect between positive momentum and an overvalued designation suggests watching for either price consolidation or fundamental developments that might reconcile the valuation outlook. - CVCO Initiated Coverage by Oppenheimer -- Rating Outperform, PT $720 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
TickrTrends take: Oppenheimer's initiation of coverage with an Outperform rating and price target of $720 suggests analyst confidence in the company's prospects, though this stands in contrast to TickrTrends' current assessment that CVCO trades at overvalued levels. For valuation-focused investors, the gap between the analyst's price target and TickrTrends' overvaluation verdict highlights a key tension that warrants monitoring of upcoming earnings reports and margin trends, particularly given the cyclical nature of the Consumer Cyclical sector where CVCO operates. The initiation may attract buying interest that could further test whether current valuations are justified by fundamental performance.
What people are saying
Follow the CVCO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — CVCO's derived indicators showed mixed movement this week. The 50/200-day trend state shifted from uptrend to mixed, while the quality grade improved from B to A. The sector discount rank moved from number 79 to number 71, indicating a stronger relative valuation position within the Consumer Cyclical sector, though the stock remains at an overvalued valuation verdict.
- 2026-10-05 — # CVCO Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for CVCO reflect a shift toward stronger momentum this week, with the 50/200-day trend state improving from mixed to uptrend status. The company remains in the Consumer Cyclical sector and currently carries an overvalued valuation verdict according to the analysis framework.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CVCO showed two notable shifts this week. The relative strength index moved from oversold territory into neutral zone, while the stock's sector discount rank declined from 72 to 77. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is CVCO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CVCO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is CVCO's TickrTrends verdict?
CVCO's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does CVCO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
CVCO ranks #55 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is CVCO overbought or oversold?
CVCO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does CVCO report earnings next?
CVCO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29, per the published earnings calendar.
Does CVCO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters CVCO beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about CVCO?
Of 3 analysts covering CVCO, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $665 (+27.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Cyclical
Head-to-head comparisons
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