Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Cavco Industries, Inc. manufactures and sells manufactured homes and modular buildings, along with related products and services for the housing industry. The company operates primarily in the United States, with manufacturing facilities and operations across multiple regions to serve residential and commercial markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, CVCO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.

CVCO currently ranks #69 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $545.64
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $465.80–$601.89

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for CVCO

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CVCO, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $465.80–$601.89.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 44.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CVCO
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent CVCO news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CVCO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Cavco Industries: Manufactured Housing's Edge Endures (NASDAQ:CVCO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-05)
TickrTrends take: Cavco Industries operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where economic sensitivity can create valuation swings as interest rates and consumer spending patterns shift. TickrTrends currently identifies CVCO as overvalued, suggesting the market may be pricing in sustained competitive advantages without sufficient discount for cyclical risks inherent to manufactured housing demand. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether housing starts, financing availability, and consumer confidence provide support for current price levels or indicate mean reversion potential.
Cavco Industries, Inc. (CVCO) Q1 2027 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-31)
TickrTrends take: Cavco Industries reported Q1 2027 results through its earnings call, providing updated financial metrics for the manufactured housing and modular building company operating in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that CVCO is overvalued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the company's revenue growth, margin trends, and capital allocation justify current market pricing relative to historical averages for the sector. The earnings call transcript offers insight into management commentary on demand conditions, cost pressures, and competitive positioning that may explain the valuation disconnect between market price and fundamental value.
AM Revises Outlook to Positive for Texas’ Standard Casualty (insurancejournal.com, 2026-07-28)
TickrTrends take: Cavalry Mortgage Company operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where business performance is sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns. According to TickrTrends' current analysis, CVCO is considered overvalued at present valuations. A positive outlook revision on a casualty insurance subsidiary could indicate improving operational conditions, but valuation-focused readers should monitor whether such developments are already reflected in the current market price or represent genuine upside to the overvaluation assessment.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is CVCO stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), CVCO is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CVCO's TickrTrends verdict?

CVCO's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CVCO compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

CVCO ranks #69 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is CVCO overbought or oversold?

CVCO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

CVCO vs BBWI · CVCO vs BBY · CVCO vs BLMN · CVCO vs GT · CVCO vs LEGH