Domino's Pizza, Inc. (DPZ) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
DPZ price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedDPZ is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $309.36
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $283.03–$438.42
- Market cap
- $10.2B
- From 52-week high
- -29.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 32.9M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #12 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Domino's Pizza, Inc. operates as a pizza delivery and carryout restaurant company that franchises and operates pizzerias under the Domino's brand. The company has a presence across the United States and internationally in numerous countries around the world.
DPZ currently ranks #12 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $10.2B
- P/E (trailing)
- 17x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.07B
- Net margin
- 12.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $18.15
- Gross margin
- 40.2%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -5.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 32.9M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 58 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $320.89
- 200-day average
- $347.55
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $7.71 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.49%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 12
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-12-15
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-30
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 3 beat, 5 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-09 ▲ beat (+6.2%)
2026-06 ▼ miss (-1.0%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-3.3%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-0.7%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+3.0%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-3.5%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+6.4%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-0.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 15 buy · 14 hold · 1 sell (30 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $356
- Target vs last price
- +15.1%
What our data shows for DPZ
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for DPZ, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $283.03–$438.42.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 58.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for DPZ
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent DPZ news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for DPZ is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- DPZ Maintained by Citigroup -- Price Target Lowered to $308 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Citigroup's price target reduction to $308 for Domino's Pizza suggests analyst caution about near-term momentum, yet TickrTrends currently classifies the stock as undervalued based on its broader valuation metrics. For investors focused on valuation fundamentals, this analyst action presents a data point to weigh against the current undervalued assessment, particularly relevant given the Consumer Cyclical sector's sensitivity to economic conditions. The gap between the maintained rating and lowered target warrants attention to whether market pricing will converge toward either the analyst's revised price target or TickrTrends' valuation positioning. - DPZ Maintained by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $320 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's decision to lower its price target for Domino's Pizza to 320 dollars while maintaining its rating suggests the analyst sees limited upside from current levels, even as the stock remains rated positively. TickrTrends' undervalued designation indicates that despite Wells Fargo's more cautious stance on near-term price appreciation, the market may still be underpricing the company relative to its fundamentals within the Consumer Cyclical sector. Valuation-focused investors should monitor whether other analysts follow with similar target reductions or if the gap between consensus expectations and TickrTrends' assessment narrows over coming quarters. - DPZ Maintained by Baird -- Price Target Lowered to $320 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Domino's Pizza maintains analyst support from Baird despite a reduced price target of $320, which aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades below its intrinsic value. For valuation-focused investors, this combination of maintained coverage alongside a lower target suggests the market may be pricing in near-term headwinds while the underlying business fundamentals remain sound enough to warrant continued analyst engagement. The undervalued designation indicates potential upside if operational performance stabilizes relative to current market expectations.
More DPZ news
- Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Solid Order Growth and Global Store Expansion Amid Margin Pressure (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- DPZ Maintained by RBC Capital -- Price Target Lowered to $325 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
- A Look at Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ) After 3.3% Gain -- GF Value $491.07 vs Price $301.81 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
What people are saying
Follow the DPZ conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DPZ showed notable deterioration this week. The quality grade declined from A to C, while the revenue growth band moved from modest to declining, reflecting weakening operational metrics. Despite these unfavorable changes in fundamentals, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DPZ showed a significant shift this week as the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory, suggesting a change in the stock's momentum dynamics. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued, indicating that the stock may offer value at present price levels.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is DPZ stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), DPZ is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is DPZ's TickrTrends verdict?
DPZ's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does DPZ compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
DPZ ranks #12 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is DPZ overbought or oversold?
DPZ's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does DPZ pay a dividend?
Yes. DPZ paid $7.71 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.49% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 12 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-12-15.
Does DPZ usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters DPZ beat the consensus estimate 3 times and missed 5 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about DPZ?
Of 30 analysts covering DPZ, 15 rate it a buy, 14 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $356 (+15.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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