Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Etsy, Inc. is an e-commerce platform that enables individual sellers and small businesses to buy and sell handmade items, vintage goods, craft supplies, and other unique products to a global customer base. The company operates its marketplace internationally, connecting millions of buyers and sellers across numerous countries.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, ETSY is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

ETSY currently ranks #13 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $53.91
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $49.97–$83.17

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: A
Leverage: Low
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Fairly Valued

What our data shows for ETSY

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ETSY, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $49.97–$83.17.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 35.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ETSY
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent ETSY news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ETSY is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Etsy Inc (ETSY) Stock Down 6.7% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 78/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: Etsy's recent stock decline presents a disconnect with TickrTrends' assessment that the company remains undervalued, suggesting the market may be overreacting to short-term price movements. The GF Score of 78 out of 100 indicates solid fundamental quality, which typically supports valuations in the Consumer Cyclical sector where economic sensitivity can create temporary disconnects between price and intrinsic value. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this price weakness creates a genuine opportunity or if the stock's recent decline signals emerging fundamental concerns that TickrTrends' current undervalued rating has not yet reflected.
Shopify Falls 4% as Profit Taking Follows 18% Monthly Run, eBay and Etsy Slip (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-31)
TickrTrends take: Etsy's slip alongside broader competitor weakness comes as TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as undervalued, suggesting the market may be overlooking its fundamentals despite near-term sector headwinds. As a Consumer Cyclical company, Etsy faces typical sensitivity to profit-taking cycles and investor sentiment shifts, which can create disconnects between short-term price action and underlying valuation metrics. Valuation-focused investors should monitor whether this weakness reflects genuine business deterioration or represents an opportunity within the current undervalued assessment.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — ETSY's valuation assessment improved this week as TickrTrends' DCF cross-check band shifted from overvalued to fairly valued, while the current valuation verdict remains undervalued. This divergence between the two indicators suggests mixed signals about the stock's pricing relative to intrinsic value estimates. The movement in the DCF cross-check band toward fair value represents a narrowing of the overvaluation concern that existed in the previous week.
2026-09-06 — # ETSY Weekly Indicator Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for ETSY showed a notable shift this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from no previous classification to an overvalued status. This change contrasts with the current overall valuation verdict that classifies the stock as undervalued, indicating divergent signals between the DCF methodology and other valuation approaches. Investors monitoring ETSY within the Consumer Cyclical sector may wish to track whether this discrepancy resolves in coming weeks as additional data accumulates.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is ETSY stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), ETSY is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is ETSY's TickrTrends verdict?

ETSY's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does ETSY compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

ETSY ranks #13 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is ETSY overbought or oversold?

ETSY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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