Etsy, Inc. (ETSY) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
ETSY price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedETSY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $72.84
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $44.05–$87.03
- Market cap
- $8.74B
- From 52-week high
- -16.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 120M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #33 of 85
Last price is the 2026-10-01 month-start close, the freshest stored price; the chart runs through 2026-09-11.
Etsy, Inc. is an e-commerce platform that enables individual sellers and small businesses to buy and sell handmade items, vintage goods, craft supplies, and other unique products to a global customer base. The company operates its marketplace internationally, connecting millions of buyers and sellers across numerous countries.
ETSY currently ranks #33 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $8.74B
- P/E (trailing)
- 21x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.86B
- Net margin
- 7.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $3.52
- Gross margin
- 72.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 120M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 38 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $80.94
- 200-day average
- $64.31
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
What our data shows for ETSY
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ETSY, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $44.05–$87.03.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 38.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ETSY
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ETSY news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ETSY is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- California Dreamin' Or A Tax Nightmare? (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: Etsy operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which is sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns, and TickrTrends currently rates the stock as undervalued. The headline's reference to California tax considerations introduces potential operational or cost pressures that could impact profitability and margins for the e-commerce platform. Valuation-focused investors should monitor whether any tax-related developments affect Etsy's earnings power or cash flows, as these factors would be relevant to assessing whether the current undervalued designation remains appropriate. - Etsy Inc (ETSY) Shares Fall 4.5% -- GF Value Says Still Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-17)
TickrTrends take: Etsy's share price decline presents a valuation inflection point that contrasts with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, suggesting the market may be pricing in concerns that differ from longer-term fundamental value metrics. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether the sell-off brings Etsy closer to intrinsic value benchmarks or if it reflects deteriorating Consumer Cyclical sector conditions that warrant reassessment. The divergence between TickrTrends' undervalued stance and the GF Value overvalued signal indicates investors should track upcoming earnings and guidance to determine which valuation framework better reflects the company's true worth. - A Look at Etsy Inc (ETSY) After 3.0% Gain -- GF Value $77.23 vs Price $79.28 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Etsy's recent stock movement comes as the company trades marginally above its GuruFocus derived valuation estimate, suggesting limited upside cushion from current levels. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, the narrow gap between the $79 price point and the $77 valuation target indicates the market may be pricing in expectations that warrant monitoring against actual business performance. For valuation-conscious investors in the Consumer Cyclical sector, tracking whether Etsy can sustain its current premium to the derived fair value or revert closer to the estimated baseline will be critical to validating the undervalued positioning.
More ETSY news
- Etsy Inc (ETSY) Stock Up 3.2% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 83/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
- A Look at Etsy Inc (ETSY) After 6.4% Decline -- GF Value $75.57 vs Price $68.98 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-24)
What people are saying
Follow the ETSY conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — ETSY's quality grade improved from C to B this week, reflecting positive movement in TickrTrends' derived indicators. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict within the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — # ETSY TickrTrends' derived indicators for ETSY showed a notable shift this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from an overvalued status to none. The stock maintains a current valuation verdict of fairly valued despite this change in the DCF metric. This adjustment reflects an update in TickrTrends' analytical framework for the Consumer Cyclical sector company.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ETSY stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ETSY is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ETSY's TickrTrends verdict?
ETSY's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ETSY compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
ETSY ranks #33 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ETSY overbought or oversold?
ETSY's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
More in Consumer Cyclical
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