Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
EXPE price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedEXPE is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $274.22
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $188.51–$339.12
- Market cap
- $31.4B
- From 52-week high
- -19.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 114M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #35 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Expedia Group, Inc. operates online travel platforms that enable customers to book flights, hotels, rental cars, and vacation packages. The company serves customers across multiple continents through various brands and websites that facilitate travel booking and related services worldwide.
EXPE currently ranks #35 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $31.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15.7B
- Net margin
- 13.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $18.32
- Gross margin
- 90.7%
- Debt / equity
- 4.70
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 3.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 114M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 56 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $293.19
- 200-day average
- $259.35
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.84 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.67%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-27
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-17
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+4.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+42.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+12.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+8.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+2.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+11.1%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+13.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+0.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 17 buy · 21 hold · 1 sell (39 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $336
- Target vs last price
- +22.5%
What our data shows for EXPE
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EXPE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $188.51–$339.12.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 56.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EXPE
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent EXPE news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for EXPE is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Expedia Group Inc (EXPE) Shares Fall 5.0% -- What GF Score of 85 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Expedia Group shares declined 5 percent according to the reported headline, which contrasts with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades at an undervalued level. The GF Score of 85 suggests relatively strong fundamental quality, a metric that valuation-focused investors typically weigh against price movements in cyclical sectors like consumer discretionary. Given the stock's classification as undervalued by TickrTrends, investors monitoring this Consumer Cyclical company should consider whether the recent share decline represents a temporary market reaction or a shift in the underlying valuation thesis. - Expedia Group Inc (EXPE) Stock Up 3.1% but GF Value Says Overvalued -- GF Score: 85/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Expedia's recent stock price movement of up 3 percent stands in contrast to TickrTrends' assessment that the stock remains undervalued, creating a divergence between near-term price action and fundamental valuation metrics. As a Consumer Cyclical company, EXPE's valuation may be particularly sensitive to economic conditions and consumer spending patterns, which a valuation-focused investor should monitor alongside earnings performance. The stock's GF Score of 85 out of 100 suggests operational quality, but understanding the gap between current price levels and intrinsic value estimates will be key to assessing entry and exit points for value-oriented positions. - Expedia Group (EXPE) Launches Autonomous Onboarding to Accelerate Property Integration (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Expedia Group's launch of autonomous onboarding technology could reduce operational friction in property integration, potentially improving margins and capital efficiency over time. For a Consumer Cyclical company currently trading at an undervalued level according to TickrTrends, efficiency gains in backend operations may help the company capture more value from its existing platform without proportional cost increases. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether this automation translates into improved metrics such as property acquisition velocity or cost per listing in upcoming earnings reports.
More EXPE news
- Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) Trades Below Its Old Earnings Multiple. Is AI a Real Threat to Growth? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-20)
- Expedia: More Upside Than The Market Suggests (NASDAQ:EXPE) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-06)
- Meta’s Muse-fuelled rally: Stock jumps 36% in September as investors warm to its $140 billion AI bet (livemint.com, 2026-09-27)
- Meta Muse: Amazon's Block and the $35bn Broker Selloff (financefeeds.com, 2026-09-25)
What people are saying
Follow the EXPE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — EXPE trades within the Consumer Cyclical sector and maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict. This week, the DCF cross-check band shifted from fairly valued to overvalued, while the RSI zone moved from oversold to neutral territory. These indicator changes reflect evolving momentum and valuation dynamics in the stock's derived metrics.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — EXPE has experienced notable shifts in its technical positioning this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from an overvalued assessment to fairly valued, while the RSI zone transitioned from neutral to oversold territory. These changes occur within the context of the stock's current undervalued valuation verdict in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is EXPE stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), EXPE is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is EXPE's TickrTrends verdict?
EXPE's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does EXPE compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
EXPE ranks #35 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is EXPE overbought or oversold?
EXPE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does EXPE pay a dividend?
Yes. EXPE paid $1.84 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.67% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-27.
When does EXPE report earnings next?
EXPE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does EXPE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters EXPE beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about EXPE?
Of 39 analysts covering EXPE, 17 rate it a buy, 21 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $336 (+22.5% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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