Expedia Group, Inc. (EXPE) fair value analysis

S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Expedia Group, Inc. operates online travel platforms that enable customers to book flights, hotels, rental cars, and vacation packages. The company serves customers across multiple continents through various brands and websites that facilitate travel booking and related services worldwide.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Fairly valued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, EXPE is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.

EXPE currently ranks #39 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $298.04
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $212.78–$304.23

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for EXPE

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EXPE, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $212.78–$304.23.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EXPE
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent EXPE news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for EXPE is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

EXPE Looks 35.1% Overvalued on GF Value™ as New Vrbo Features Launch (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Expedia Group operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector where valuation assessments can shift based on operational developments and market conditions. The company's new Vrbo features represent potential revenue enhancement initiatives, though TickrTrends currently assigns a Fairly valued designation that contrasts with other valuation methodologies suggesting overvaluation. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should track whether new product features translate into measurable financial improvements that could justify current market pricing.
EXPE Looks 36.0% Overvalued on GF Value™ (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Expedia Group operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector and currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends assesses as fairly valued, suggesting limited upside or downside from current levels based on fundamental metrics. A recent valuation analysis indicates the stock may be trading at a significant premium to intrinsic value estimates, which creates a divergence worth monitoring for investors focused on valuation discipline. Readers tracking EXPE should note whether the stock's valuation multiple compresses toward fair value or whether fundamental improvements justify the current premium over time.
Expedia: Great Valuation As Bookings Improve Versus Peers (NASDAQ:EXPE) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Expedia's current TickrTrends assessment of fairly valued suggests the market has already priced in recent improvements in booking trends relative to competitors. For valuation-focused investors, the key metric to monitor will be whether booking growth can sustain momentum or accelerate further, as any material deceleration could pressure the current valuation multiple. Given the Consumer Cyclical sector's sensitivity to economic conditions, tracking both booking volume trends and consumer spending patterns will be important to determine if the fairly valued status remains justified going forward.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EXPE showed notable shifts this week. The momentum indicator declined from a B rating to none, while the sector discount rank improved from number 51 to number 39 among Consumer Cyclical stocks. The stock maintains a fairly valued assessment based on current valuation metrics.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is EXPE stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), EXPE is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is EXPE's TickrTrends verdict?

EXPE's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does EXPE compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

EXPE ranks #39 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is EXPE overbought or oversold?

EXPE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

EXPE vs ASO · EXPE vs AVY · EXPE vs AZO · EXPE vs COLM · EXPE vs DASH