National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
EYE price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedEYE is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $17.43
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $15.44–$29.46
- Market cap
- $1.38B
- From 52-week high
- -40.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 79.1M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #13 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
National Vision Holdings, Inc. operates a chain of optical retail stores that provide eye care services and sell eyeglasses, contact lenses, and related products to consumers. The company operates stores across the United States under various brand names including America's Best Contacts & Eyeglasses and Walmart Vision Centers.
EYE currently ranks #13 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.38B
- P/E (trailing)
- 21x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.03B
- Net margin
- 2.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.84
- Gross margin
- 58.2%
- Debt / equity
- 0.78
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 4.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 79.1M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 60 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $17.57
- 200-day average
- $21.82
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+88.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+4.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+156.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+40.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+28.6%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+9.7%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+12.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+100.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 9 buy · 3 hold · 0 sell (12 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $28.2
- Target vs last price
- +61.8%
What our data shows for EYE
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EYE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $15.44–$29.46.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 60.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EYE
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent EYE news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for EYE is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP Boosts National Vision Holdings Inc (EYE) Stake -- Shares Look 16% Undervalued on GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Dimensional Fund Advisors LP's increased position in National Vision Holdings Inc aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that EYE trades at a discount to its intrinsic value. As a Consumer Cyclical stock, EYE's valuation sensitivity means that shifts in consumer spending patterns and economic conditions will be key factors determining whether the undervaluation persists or narrows. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how the company's earnings trajectory and operational performance evolve relative to the current discount, as these fundamentals will ultimately determine whether the gap closes. - National Vision Holdings, Inc. at Barclays Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: National Vision Holdings operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, which typically faces valuation pressures during economic uncertainty given its sensitivity to consumer spending patterns. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for EYE, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's fundamentals relative to sector peers. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should observe whether management commentary from conferences translates into operational improvements that could justify or challenge the current undervalued assessment. - National Vision Holdings, Inc. (EYE) Presents at Barclays 19th Annual Global Consumer Staples Conference Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: National Vision Holdings operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector, where business performance can fluctuate with consumer spending patterns and economic conditions. TickrTrends currently derives an Undervalued verdict for EYE, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's earnings potential or growth prospects. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether management commentary at industry conferences provides evidence of operational improvements or market share gains that could justify a rerating from current levels.
More EYE news
- Is National Vision Holdings Inc (EYE) a Bargain After 4.3% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-28)
What people are saying
Follow the EYE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is EYE stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), EYE is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is EYE's TickrTrends verdict?
EYE's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does EYE compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
EYE ranks #13 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is EYE overbought or oversold?
EYE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does EYE report earnings next?
EYE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04, per the published earnings calendar.
Does EYE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters EYE beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about EYE?
Of 12 analysts covering EYE, 9 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $28.2 (+61.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Cyclical
Head-to-head comparisons
EYE vs APTV · EYE vs BKNG · EYE vs CMG · EYE vs DECK · EYE vs DPZ