Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
DECK price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedDECK is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $82.89
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $77.51–$120.94
- Market cap
- $11.3B
- From 52-week high
- -31.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 136M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #10 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories under brands including UGG, The North Face, Timberland, and Hoka. The company operates globally with a significant presence in North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific regions.
DECK currently ranks #10 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $11.3B
- P/E (trailing)
- 12x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $5.53B
- Net margin
- 18.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $7.05
- Gross margin
- 56.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.21
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -2.2%
- Shares outstanding
- 136M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 64 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $84.53
- 200-day average
- $100.33
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+6.8%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+15.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+20.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+15.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+36.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+65.1%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+15.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+28.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 13 buy · 11 hold · 3 sell (27 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $118
- Target vs last price
- +42.4%
What our data shows for DECK
- Our model validated 11 trailing price-to-earnings windows for DECK, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $77.51–$120.94.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 64.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for DECK
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent DECK news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for DECK is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: Deckers Outdoor Corporation reported Q2 2027 results, providing updated financial performance data relevant to evaluating its current market position. TickrTrends currently assesses DECK as undervalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's earnings power or growth prospects based on recent quarterly results. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor how the company's revenue trends, margin performance, and forward guidance from this earnings call compare to the assumptions embedded in DECK's current stock price. - Deckers Outdoor (DECK) Set to Report Q2 Earnings on October 22 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Deckers Outdoor is scheduled to report Q2 earnings on October 22, providing an opportunity for valuation-focused investors to assess whether the company's financial performance supports TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment. For a Consumer Cyclical sector company carrying an undervalued designation, earnings results will be critical in determining if current market pricing adequately reflects the company's operational strength and growth trajectory. Investors monitoring this valuation thesis should pay particular attention to revenue trends and margin performance as key indicators of whether the undervaluation narrative remains justified. - DECK Maintained by Evercore ISI Group -- Price Target Lowered to $90 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Evercore ISI Group's reduction of DECK's price target to $90 reflects analyst reassessment of the company's near-term prospects, creating a point of reference against TickrTrends' current undervalued designation. For valuation-focused readers, the gap between analyst price targets and the current market valuation warrants monitoring, particularly given DECK's Consumer Cyclical sector sensitivity to economic conditions. Any subsequent analyst moves or earnings reports that either validate or challenge the lowered price target could materially affect how the undervalued assessment holds up over coming quarters.
More DECK news
- Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Has Stronger Margins but a Lower Multiple. What Changed for Hoka? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-19)
- DECK Maintains Outperform Rating by Raymond James -- Price Target Lowered to $105 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- DECK Maintains Rating by Telsey Advisory Group -- Price Target at $105 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It (zacks.com, 2026-10-09)
- Michael Burry Initiates Position in Deckers Outdoor (DECK) Amid Q4 Tax-Loss Harvesting Strategy (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
- Michael Burry Initiates Stake in Deckers Outdoor Corp (DECK) via Proxy Swap with Lululemon (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
What people are saying
Follow the DECK conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DECK showed mixed movement this week within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The DCF cross-check band shifted from fairly valued to overvalued, while the quality grade improved from C to B. Despite these changes, the current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DECK show a positive shift this week, with the DCF cross-check band moving from an overvalued assessment to fairly valued. The stock's current valuation verdict remains undervalued according to the platform's analysis. This improvement in the DCF cross-check band suggests the company's fundamental value indicators have become more aligned with its market price.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is DECK stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), DECK is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is DECK's TickrTrends verdict?
DECK's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does DECK compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
DECK ranks #10 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is DECK overbought or oversold?
DECK's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does DECK usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters DECK beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about DECK?
Of 27 analysts covering DECK, 13 rate it a buy, 11 a hold and 3 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $118 (+42.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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Head-to-head comparisons
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