D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
DHI price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedDHI is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $134.88
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $132.53–$167.78
- Market cap
- $37.7B
- From 52-week high
- -19.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 280M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #65 of 85
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
D.R. Horton, Inc. is one of the largest homebuilders in the United States, engaged in the construction and sale of single-family homes. The company operates across multiple states throughout the country, serving various markets with homes at different price points.
DHI currently ranks #65 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $37.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $33.3B
- Net margin
- 9.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $10.51
- Gross margin
- 23.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.30
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -4.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 280M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 52 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $141.76
- 200-day average
- $147.91
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.80 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.33%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 12
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-06
- Last payment date
- 2026-08-13
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+7.0%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+5.7%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+5.7%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-7.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+15.9%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-4.4%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+10.6%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-5.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 4 buy · 13 hold · 1 sell (18 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $153
- Target vs last price
- +13.4%
What our data shows for DHI
- Our model validated 15 trailing price-to-earnings windows for DHI, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $132.53–$167.78.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 52.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for DHI
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent DHI news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for DHI is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- D.R. Horton Inc (DHI) Stock Up 3.6% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 93/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: D.R. Horton's recent price movement reflects positive market sentiment, yet TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued based on its comprehensive analysis. The high GF Score indicates strong fundamentals and quality metrics that merit investor attention, but valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the stock's price trajectory will eventually align with or diverge from TickrTrends' current assessment. For those tracking Consumer Cyclical sector valuations, this divergence between quality signals and valuation metrics presents an important case study in how homebuilder stocks can trade at premium levels despite strong operational performance. - ETFs Bought $12.5 Million of D.R. Horton (DHI) on Oct. 15 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Exchange-traded funds purchased approximately 12 million dollars worth of D.R. Horton shares on October 15, representing institutional appetite for the homebuilder despite its current overvalued status according to TickrTrends analysis. Given that DHI operates in the cyclical Consumer Cyclical sector, investors should monitor whether such ETF accumulation signals confidence in housing demand resilience or simply reflects passive index rebalancing. For valuation-conscious observers, sustained institutional buying at elevated valuations warrants scrutiny of underlying housing metrics and consumer confidence trends that might justify the premium pricing. - DHI Maintained by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $140 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's reduction of its price target for DHI to $140 aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock is overvalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, this analyst action reinforces the need to monitor whether the stock's market price converges toward fundamental value levels, particularly given the cyclical nature of homebuilder equities in the Consumer Cyclical sector. The maintained rating combined with a lowered target suggests analyst confidence in the company's operations while reflecting more cautious near-term valuation expectations.
More DHI news
- DHI Initiated Coverage On by StoneX -- Rating Set to Hold (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
- Is It Too Late to Buy D.R. Horton Inc (DHI) After 4.4% Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- Dream Finders Homes (DFH) Stock Surges 14% After Sharp Decline Amid Short Report Speculation (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- DHI Maintained by Citigroup -- Price Target Lowered to $150 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- DHI Maintained by Evercore ISI Group -- Price Target Lowered to $166 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-25)
- D.R. Horton Inc (DHI) Shares Surge 3.5% -- What GF Score of 90 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-22)
- D.R. Horton Stock: Is DHI Underperforming the Consumer Cyclical Sector? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-08)
What people are saying
Follow the DHI conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — # DHI Stock Research D.R. Horton Inc. (DHI) showed improvement in its quality grade this week, rising from F to D according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. Despite this upgrade in the quality assessment, the stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict within the Consumer Cyclical sector. The modest grade improvement suggests some positive movement in the company's fundamental metrics, though valuation concerns persist.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is DHI stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), DHI is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is DHI's TickrTrends verdict?
DHI's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does DHI compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
DHI ranks #65 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is DHI overbought or oversold?
DHI's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does DHI pay a dividend?
Yes. DHI paid $1.80 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.33% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 12 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-06.
When does DHI report earnings next?
DHI's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does DHI usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters DHI beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about DHI?
Of 18 analysts covering DHI, 4 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $153 (+13.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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