Carnival Corporation & plc (CCL) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Carnival Corporation & plc is a cruise line operator that owns and operates multiple cruise ship brands serving leisure travelers. The company operates ships that sail to destinations across the Caribbean, Mediterranean, Alaska, and other regions worldwide.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, CCL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

CCL currently ranks #16 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $23.51
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $23.23–$32.45

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: C
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: High
RSI zone: Oversold
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Overvalued

What our data shows for CCL

Our model validated 10 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CCL, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $23.23–$32.45.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 23.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CCL
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent CCL news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CCL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

CCL Looks 2.2% Undervalued on GF Value™ as Dividend Sustainability Shines (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Carnival Corporation trades in the Consumer Cyclical sector where valuation metrics can shift significantly with consumer spending patterns and travel demand. The company's dividend sustainability represents a key metric for income-focused investors to monitor, as cyclical businesses face periods where dividend coverage may tighten during downturns. TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment aligns with the GF Value indicator, suggesting that valuation-conscious investors may want to track whether the dividend remains supported by actual cash generation rather than relying on balance sheet deterioration.
Carnival Corporation: This Cruise Is Cheap Enough To Hop On (NYSE:CCL) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-28)
TickrTrends take: Carnival Corporation trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as undervalued within the Consumer Cyclical sector, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the company's fundamentals or recovery prospects. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the key consideration is whether the cruise operator's current stock price reflects the actual earning power and asset value of the business, or if market pessimism has created a gap between price and intrinsic worth. Monitoring the company's operational metrics, debt levels, and booking trends will be important to validate whether the undervalued assessment remains supported by underlying business performance.
Carnival Corporation (CCL) Gets A Price Target Increase At Wells Fargo (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-07-01)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's price target increase for Carnival Corporation suggests analyst confidence in the cruise operator's near-term prospects, which aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment of the Consumer Cyclical company. For valuation-focused investors monitoring CCL, this analyst action provides third-party support for the thesis that the stock may be trading below its intrinsic value potential. The timing of target increases from major financial institutions can serve as an important data point when evaluating whether undervaluation gaps are likely to narrow in coming periods.

What people are saying

Follow the CCL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CCL shifted this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from showing no valuation signal to indicating overvalued status. This change contrasts with the current valuation verdict that remains at undervalued. The divergence between the DCF cross-check band and the overall verdict suggests mixed signals in the valuation assessment for the Consumer Cyclical sector company.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CCL showed shifting signals this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from an overvalued classification to none, while the RSI zone transitioned from neutral to oversold territory. Despite these changes in technical positioning, the current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is CCL stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), CCL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CCL's TickrTrends verdict?

CCL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CCL compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

CCL ranks #16 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is CCL overbought or oversold?

CCL's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

CCL vs APTV · CCL vs BWA · CCL vs CMG · CCL vs DPZ · CCL vs ETSY