Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Bloomin' Brands, Inc. operates a portfolio of casual dining restaurant brands that serve food and beverages to customers across multiple concepts. The company operates restaurants throughout the United States and in select international markets.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, BLMN is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

BLMN currently ranks #73 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $9.04
Sector: Consumer Cyclical
12-month range: $5.48–$9.04

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Expanding
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The top quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Fairly Valued

What our data shows for BLMN

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BLMN, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $5.48–$9.04.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 34.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BLMN
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent BLMN news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BLMN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

A Look at Bloomin Brands Inc (BLMN) After 6.3% Decline -- GF Value $11.94 vs Price $10.44 (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-28)
TickrTrends take: Bloomin Brands Inc trades below its estimated intrinsic value, which presents a different picture than TickrTrends' overvalued assessment. The recent stock decline has narrowed the gap between market price and fundamental value estimates, creating a point of divergence that valuation-focused investors should monitor closely. This tension between different valuation methodologies suggests the market may be pricing in consumer cyclical sector headwinds more aggressively than some fundamental models account for.
Popular restaurant company continues closing locations (flipboard.com, 2026-08-20)
TickrTrends take: Bloomin' Brands operates in the Consumer Cyclical sector where TickrTrends currently assigns an Overvalued verdict. Store closures at a major restaurant operator typically pressure cash flow and reduce revenue-generating assets, which can make elevated valuations increasingly difficult to justify if the company cannot demonstrate improving profitability per location. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether management's restructuring efforts can offset the financial headwinds from the shrinking store base.
Chicken Salad Chick Names Drew Travis CFO (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-17)
TickrTrends take: Chicken Salad Chick's appointment of Drew Travis as CFO represents a leadership change that investors should monitor for its impact on operational efficiency and capital allocation decisions. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment of BLMN, how effectively the new CFO executes financial strategy will be particularly relevant to determining whether the company can justify its current valuation multiples. In the Consumer Cyclical sector, where margin management and cost control are critical during economic shifts, the CFO transition warrants attention to upcoming quarterly guidance and expense management commentary.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — BLMN, a Consumer Cyclical sector stock, shifted its DCF cross-check band indicator from undervalued to fairly valued this week. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued, suggesting a divergence between the DCF analysis and the overall valuation assessment. This change indicates that TickrTrends' fundamental value analysis has moved higher relative to the stock's price trajectory.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is BLMN stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), BLMN is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is BLMN's TickrTrends verdict?

BLMN's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does BLMN compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?

BLMN ranks #73 of 88 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is BLMN overbought or oversold?

BLMN's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Cyclical fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

BLMN vs BBWI · BLMN vs CVCO · BLMN vs DHI · BLMN vs F · BLMN vs MHK