Bloomin' Brands, Inc. (BLMN) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
BLMN price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedBLMN is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $9.95
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- 12-month range
- $5.26–$11.85
- Market cap
- $852M
- From 52-week high
- -16.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 85.6M
- Rank in Consumer Cyclical by discount to fair value
- #69 of 85
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Bloomin' Brands, Inc. operates a portfolio of casual dining restaurant brands that serve food and beverages to customers across multiple concepts. The company operates restaurants throughout the United States and in select international markets.
BLMN currently ranks #69 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 5 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $852M
- P/E (trailing)
- 8x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $3.98B
- Net margin
- 0.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.29
- Gross margin
- 14.0%
- Debt / equity
- 4.43
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -2.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 85.6M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Fairly Valued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 74 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $9.45
- 200-day average
- $7.73
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Dividend
- None in the last 12 months (last ex-date 2025-08-19)
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-05
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+39.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+17.5%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+76.9%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+13.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+1.8%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-39.7%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 8 hold · 1 sell (11 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $11.9
- Target vs last price
- +19.6%
What our data shows for BLMN
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BLMN, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $5.26–$11.85.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 74.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BLMN
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent BLMN news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BLMN is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP Adds to Bloomin Brands Inc (BLMN) Stake -- Shares Look 19% Undervalued on GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Dimensional Fund Advisors' recent addition to its Bloomin Brands position contrasts with TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment, presenting a divergence in valuation perspectives on the Consumer Cyclical stock. The 19% undervaluation signal from GF Value suggests potential disagreement among valuation methodologies, warranting attention from investors who track multiple valuation frameworks. For those monitoring BLMN, the competing signals underscore the importance of examining which valuation metrics and time horizons are driving each assessment. - BLMN Maintained by Freedom Capital Markets -- Price Target Stays at $15.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
TickrTrends take: Freedom Capital Markets has maintained its $15 price target for BLMN, which aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is fairly valued in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's fundamentals shift enough to warrant a move away from this fair value positioning, particularly given the cyclical nature of its business. Any significant earnings surprises or changes in consumer spending patterns could pressure the stock toward either undervalued or overvalued territory. - Bloomin' Brands (BLMN) Advances Outback Steakhouse Turnaround, Shares Rise on Strategic Shift (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
TickrTrends take: Bloomin' Brands is executing a strategic turnaround of its Outback Steakhouse brand, which has contributed to recent share price appreciation. Given TickrTrends' assessment that BLMN is fairly valued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether the turnaround efforts translate into sustained earnings growth that justifies the current price level. In the Consumer Cyclical sector where economic sensitivity is high, the success of this strategic shift will be critical to determining whether the stock remains appropriately priced.
More BLMN news
- BLMN Upgraded by JP Morgan -- Price Target Raised to $13.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
What people are saying
Follow the BLMN conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — BLMN's valuation indicators shifted this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from undervalued to fairly valued territory, while momentum metrics strengthened with the 50/200-day trend state transitioning from mixed to uptrend and the RSI zone moving into overbought conditions. The stock's sector discount rank declined from number 76 to number 83, indicating a weakening relative valuation position among Consumer Cyclical peers, though the current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for BLMN showed mixed directional changes this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from no verdict to undervalued, while the RSI zone shifted from oversold to neutral territory. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-05 — BLMN's position within the Consumer Cyclical sector has weakened this week, with its sector discount rank declining from 65 to 74, indicating reduced relative value compared to peers. The stock's valuation verdict has shifted from Fairly valued to Overvalued according to TickrTrends' derived indicators.
- 2026-09-28 — BLMN in the Consumer Cyclical sector moved from an uptrend to a mixed trend state in its 50/200-day analysis this week. The stock's sector discount rank improved to #65 from #81, indicating a relative strengthening of its valuation position within the sector. The valuation verdict shifted from Overvalued to Fairly valued.
- 2026-09-21 — BLMN's valuation assessment shifted this week as TickrTrends' DCF cross-check band moved from undervalued to none, indicating reduced confidence in the discounted cash flow model's ability to confirm valuation status. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued based on the derived indicators framework. This change suggests the fundamental value signals have become less clear compared to the prior week's assessment.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is BLMN stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), BLMN is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is BLMN's TickrTrends verdict?
BLMN's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does BLMN compare to other Consumer Cyclical stocks?
BLMN ranks #69 of 85 Consumer Cyclical stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is BLMN overbought or oversold?
BLMN's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does BLMN pay a dividend?
BLMN has paid no dividend in the last twelve months; its last ex-dividend date on file was 2025-08-19.
When does BLMN report earnings next?
BLMN's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-05, per the published earnings calendar.
Does BLMN usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters BLMN beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about BLMN?
Of 11 analysts covering BLMN, 2 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $11.9 (+19.6% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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