Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
AVO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedAVO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $12.20
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $10.11–$15.34
- Market cap
- $1.07B
- From 52-week high
- -20.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 87.7M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #15 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Mission Produce, Inc. is a company that grows, sources, and distributes avocados to retailers and foodservice customers. The company operates primarily in Mexico and the United States, serving markets across North America and internationally.
AVO currently ranks #15 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.07B
- P/E (trailing)
- 21x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.34B
- Net margin
- 0.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.58
- Gross margin
- 9.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.68
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 24.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 87.7M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 49 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $12.75
- 200-day average
- $12.90
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-07 ▲ beat (+60.0%)
2026-04 ▼ miss (-80.0%)
2026-01 ▲ beat (+42.9%)
2025-10 ▲ beat (+34.8%)
2025-07 ▲ beat (+85.7%)
2025-04 ▲ beat (+100.0%)
2025-01 ▲ beat (+233.3%)
2024-10 ▲ beat (+250.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 4 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (4 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $16.5
- Target vs last price
- +35.2%
What our data shows for AVO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AVO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $10.11–$15.34.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 49.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AVO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent AVO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AVO is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- A Look at Mission Produce Inc (AVO) After 3.1% Decline -- GF Value $12.45 vs Price $11.82 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Mission Produce Inc trades below its GuruFocus estimated fair value, which aligns with TickrTrends' undervalued assessment for the Consumer Defensive sector company. The recent price decline has widened the gap between current market valuation and the estimated intrinsic value, potentially presenting an opportunity for investors focused on valuation metrics. Readers tracking this stock should monitor whether the company's fundamentals support the fair value estimate or whether market pricing reflects concerns about future earnings power. - Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) Analyst/Investor Day Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: Mission Produce held an analyst and investor day, providing detailed operational and strategic information to market participants. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that AVO trades at an undervalued level, the company's disclosures about production capacity, market positioning, and financial outlook at this event represent substantive data points for evaluating whether current pricing reflects the company's true earnings potential. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the specific guidance and operational metrics shared during such events typically offer clarity on whether a defensive consumer staple like AVO justifies its current market price relative to fundamentals. - Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) Analyst/Investor Day - Slideshow (NASDAQ:AVO) 2026-10-08 (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-08)
TickrTrends take: Mission Produce held an analyst and investor day event, providing an opportunity for the market to reassess the company's growth prospects and strategic direction. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment of AVO, investors following the Consumer Defensive sector should monitor whether the company's guidance and operational updates support the case for repricing, particularly regarding margin sustainability and market position in avocado distribution. The timing of such events can be catalysts for valuation reappraisal if management demonstrates confidence in delivering previously communicated targets or raises expectations for future performance.
More AVO news
- Mission Produce (AVO) Raises Calavo Synergy Target Above $30 Million. Can Margins Recover? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-16)
What people are saying
Follow the AVO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for AVO show a shift in momentum this week as the Relative Strength Index moved from oversold territory into neutral zone, suggesting reduced selling pressure. The stock maintains an undervalued valuation verdict based on current metrics. This technical improvement could indicate stabilization after recent weakness in the Consumer Defensive sector holding.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for AVO show a shift toward oversold conditions this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral to oversold territory. The stock's sector discount rank improved to number 25 from number 34, indicating a stronger relative valuation position within the Consumer Defensive sector compared to the previous week. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-10-05 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for AVO shifted this week as the 50/200-day trend state moved from mixed to downtrend, reflecting weakening near-term momentum relative to longer-term price movement. Despite this technical deterioration, the stock maintains an undervalued verdict based on current valuation metrics. The downtrend development suggests investors should monitor the Consumer Defensive holding for further technical confirmation before assessing the durability of its valuation positioning.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators show AVO moving to a less favorable valuation position within the Consumer Defensive sector this week, with its sector discount rank declining from 28 to 35. Despite this shift downward in the ranking, AVO maintains an undervalued verdict based on current valuation metrics. The stock's relative standing among sector peers has weakened as measured by TickrTrends' discount assessment tools.
- 2026-09-21 — # AVO - TickrTrends Derived Indicators Summary TickrTrends indicators for AVO showed a shift in balance-sheet leverage this week, moving from a low band to a moderate band. Despite this increase in leverage, AVO maintains an undervalued current valuation verdict within the Consumer Defensive sector. The change reflects a shift in the company's capital structure relative to its equity base.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is AVO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), AVO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is AVO's TickrTrends verdict?
AVO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does AVO compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
AVO ranks #15 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is AVO overbought or oversold?
AVO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does AVO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters AVO beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about AVO?
Of 4 analysts covering AVO, 4 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $16.5 (+35.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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