Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Mission Produce, Inc. is a company that grows, sources, and distributes avocados to retailers and foodservice customers. The company operates primarily in Mexico and the United States, serving markets across North America and internationally.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, AVO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.

AVO currently ranks #21 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $12.83
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $10.89–$14.26

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Momentum grade: B
Leverage: Low
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The upper-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for AVO

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for AVO, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $10.89–$14.26.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 56.
3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for AVO
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent AVO news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for AVO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Mission Produce forecasts Q4 adjusted EBITDA of $52M-$55M as Calavo synergies target rises to more than $30M (NASDAQ:AVO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: Mission Produce's upward revision of synergy targets to more than 30 million dollars from the Calavo acquisition represents a meaningful increase in cost-saving potential that could improve operational margins going forward. TickrTrends currently rates AVO as undervalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, suggesting the market may not be fully pricing in the benefits of these synergies as they materialize. Investors focused on valuation should monitor how the company translates these synergy gains into actual earnings accretion over the coming quarters to assess whether the undervalued designation holds.
Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-09)
TickrTrends take: Mission Produce's Q3 2026 earnings results provide an opportunity to assess whether the company's operational performance aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued designation in the Consumer Defensive sector. Readers focused on valuation should monitor management's commentary on avocado supply dynamics, pricing trends, and margin sustainability, as these factors directly influence whether the discount reflected in the current valuation is justified or represents genuine upside potential. The earnings call transcript allows investors to evaluate whether recent company performance supports the undervalued thesis or signals headwinds that could explain the current market pricing.
Mission Produce, Inc. (AVO) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates (zacks.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: Mission Produce reported third quarter results that exceeded analyst expectations for both earnings and revenues, which typically supports higher valuation multiples for a company. Given that TickrTrends currently rates AVO as undervalued, this earnings beat suggests the market may not yet be fully pricing in the company's operational performance, particularly relevant for a Consumer Defensive sector company where consistent results often command premium valuations. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether this earnings strength leads to multiple expansion or if other factors are constraining the stock's current assessment.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is AVO stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), AVO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is AVO's TickrTrends verdict?

AVO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does AVO compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

AVO ranks #21 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is AVO overbought or oversold?

AVO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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