Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. (CALM) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
CALM price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedCALM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $63.65
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $62.70–$93.50
- Market cap
- $2.97B
- From 52-week high
- -31.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 46.7M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #61 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. is the largest producer and distributor of shell eggs in the United States. The company operates farms and production facilities across multiple states to supply eggs to retail, foodservice, and food manufacturing customers.
CALM currently ranks #61 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $2.97B
- P/E (trailing)
- 54x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $2.53B
- Net margin
- 2.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.18
- Gross margin
- 0.1%
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 1.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 46.7M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 28 · oversold
- 50-day average
- $73.90
- 200-day average
- $79.15
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.45 per share (3 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 3.84%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-04-29
- Last payment date
- 2026-05-14
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-08 ▼ miss (-65.8%)
2026-05 ▼ miss (-337.5%)
2026-02 ▲ beat (+35.9%)
2025-11 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
2025-08 ▲ beat (+47.6%)
2025-05 ▲ beat (+12.3%)
2025-02 ▼ miss (-3.3%)
2024-11 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 0 buy · 4 hold · 0 sell (4 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $68.3
- Target vs last price
- +7.3%
What our data shows for CALM
- Our model validated 8 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CALM, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $62.70–$93.50.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 28.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CALM
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent CALM news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CALM is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value (AVUV) Adds Sprouts, Lyft on Tuesday (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Sprouts Farmers Market operates in the Consumer Defensive sector alongside CALM, and its inclusion in the AVUV small cap value fund reflects investor interest in defensive stocks trading at attractive valuations. Given that TickrTrends currently assesses CALM as overvalued, the addition of another Consumer Defensive name to a value-focused fund underscores how valuations within this sector are being scrutinized by systematic value investors. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether CALM's current pricing reflects the same disciplined value criteria that drive small cap value fund selections, or whether it trades at a meaningful premium to comparable defensive alternatives. - Dimensional Fund Advisors LP Adds 179,092 Shares of Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Dimensional Fund Advisors LP's addition of 179,092 shares to its CALM position occurs within a market context where TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued. For valuation-focused investors monitoring the Consumer Defensive sector, this institutional buying activity presents a contrasting signal that warrants observation of whether fundamental metrics will support the current price or if overvaluation concerns may persist. The divergence between institutional accumulation and valuation assessment suggests tracking upcoming earnings reports and margin trends as key indicators for potential revaluation. - What Avantis U.S. Small Cap Value ETF (AVUV) Bought: LYFT Leads on Oct. 12 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: The headline indicates that LYFT was the top purchase for a value-focused small-cap ETF on October 12, reflecting investor interest in perceived bargains within that market segment. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that CALM is overvalued, value-oriented investors should monitor whether similar scrutiny applies across the Consumer Defensive sector, as value strategies typically seek stocks trading below fundamental metrics. The distinction between what value ETFs are actively buying and where TickrTrends identifies overvaluation may signal divergence in market pricing for defensive equities.
More CALM news
- Is Cal-Maine’s (CALM) Egg Slump Already Priced Into the Stock? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-04)
- Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) (Q1 2027) Earnings Call Highlights: Swing to $58.6 Million Net Loss as Conventional Egg Prices Collapse (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
- Cal-Maine Foods Inc (CALM) Shares Fall 3.3% -- GF Value Says Still Overvalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the CALM conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CALM showed a shift in the Relative Strength Index zone this week, moving from neutral to oversold territory. The stock maintains an overvalued current valuation verdict based on TickrTrends' analysis.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CALM shifted this week as the DCF cross-check band moved from undervalued to none, while the RSI zone transitioned from oversold to neutral. Despite these technical shifts, the current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-05 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CALM reflect a shift toward weakness this week. The 50/200-day trend state has moved from mixed to downtrend, signaling deteriorating momentum in the Consumer Defensive sector stock. Combined with the current overvalued verdict, these indicators suggest the technical picture has become less favorable.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CALM shifted this week as the Relative Strength Index moved from a neutral zone into oversold territory. The stock currently carries an overvalued valuation verdict. This combination of technical movement and valuation assessment reflects recent price action in the Consumer Defensive sector holding.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is CALM stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CALM is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is CALM's TickrTrends verdict?
CALM's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does CALM compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
CALM ranks #61 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is CALM overbought or oversold?
CALM's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does CALM pay a dividend?
Yes. CALM paid $2.45 per share over the last twelve months (3 payments), a 3.84% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-04-29.
Does CALM usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters CALM beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about CALM?
Of 4 analysts covering CALM, 0 rate it a buy, 4 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $68.3 (+7.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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