The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a distributor of specialty food products and equipment serving high-end restaurants, hotels, and other foodservice establishments. The company operates distribution centers across the United States to supply its customers with premium ingredients, artisanal products, and professional culinary equipment.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, CHEF is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

CHEF currently ranks #55 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $111.30
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $54.60–$111.30

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: D
Leverage: Moderate
RSI zone: Neutral
50/200-day trend: Uptrend
52-week position: The top quarter of its range

What our data shows for CHEF

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CHEF, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $54.60–$111.30.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 58.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CHEF
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent CHEF news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CHEF is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Insider Cuts Holdings of Growth Stock Following 78% Rally (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-22)
TickrTrends take: An insider reduction of holdings following a significant rally suggests potential skepticism about further upside from current levels, which aligns with TickrTrends' overvalued assessment of CHEF. For valuation-focused investors, the timing of insider selling after a 78% gain warrants attention to whether the stock's fundamentals support its elevated price or if mean reversion may occur. Given CHEF's Consumer Defensive classification, maintaining a margin of safety relative to intrinsic value becomes particularly important for assessing downside risk in a potential pullback.
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) Hits Fresh High: Is There Still Room to Run? (zacks.com, 2026-08-03)
TickrTrends take: The Chefs' Warehouse reaching a fresh high presents a valuation consideration for investors tracking the Consumer Defensive sector, where TickrTrends currently assigns an Overvalued designation to CHEF. Given this assessment, the stock's climb to new levels warrants scrutiny into whether fundamental improvements justify the valuation expansion or if the move reflects momentum ahead of earnings or market sentiment shifts. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether CHEF can demonstrate earnings growth sufficient to support its current price levels, particularly if the stock continues advancing from these highs.
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. 2026 Q2 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:CHEF) 2026-07-31 (seekingalpha.com, 2026-07-31)
TickrTrends take: The Chefs' Warehouse released its 2026 Q2 results as the stock carries an Overvalued designation from TickrTrends, suggesting current prices may not align with underlying fundamentals in the Consumer Defensive sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether upcoming earnings demonstrate sufficient earnings growth or margin expansion to justify the current market price. Given the Overvalued assessment, readers should pay particular attention to management's guidance and operational performance indicators that could either narrow or widen the gap between market valuation and intrinsic value.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is CHEF stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), CHEF is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is CHEF's TickrTrends verdict?

CHEF's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does CHEF compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

CHEF ranks #55 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is CHEF overbought or oversold?

CHEF's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

CHEF vs ADM · CHEF vs BG · CHEF vs CALM · CHEF vs CCEP · CHEF vs IMKTA