The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. (CHEF) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
CHEF price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedCHEF is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $113.57
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $57.27–$116.42
- Market cap
- $4.63B
- From 52-week high
- -2.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 40.8M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #44 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Chefs' Warehouse, Inc. is a distributor of specialty food products and equipment serving high-end restaurants, hotels, and other foodservice establishments. The company operates distribution centers across the United States to supply its customers with premium ingredients, artisanal products, and professional culinary equipment.
CHEF currently ranks #44 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.63B
- P/E (trailing)
- 48x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.39B
- Net margin
- 2.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.36
- Gross margin
- 25.1%
- Debt / equity
- 1.46
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 10.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 40.8M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 56 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $111.17
- 200-day average
- $84.66
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-28 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+21.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+60.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+9.7%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+19.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+13.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+31.6%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+5.9%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 7 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (8 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $124
- Target vs last price
- +9.2%
What our data shows for CHEF
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CHEF, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $57.27–$116.42.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 56.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CHEF
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent CHEF news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CHEF is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- The Chefs' Warehouse Stock: A Strong Track Record Of EPS Beats (NASDAQ:CHEF) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: The Chefs' Warehouse has demonstrated consistent ability to exceed earnings expectations, which typically supports stock valuations. However, TickrTrends currently assesses CHEF as overvalued despite this positive earnings track record, suggesting the market may have already priced in expectations of continued outperformance. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether future earnings beats can justify the current price level, particularly given the Consumer Defensive sector's typically stable but modest growth characteristics. - CHEF Maintained by Morgan Stanley -- Price Target Raised to $120 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Morgan Stanley's maintained rating alongside a raised price target to $120 provides a bullish signal from a major analyst, yet this occurs within TickrTrends' assessment that CHEF is currently overvalued. For a valuation-focused investor, the gap between analyst targets and current market pricing in a Consumer Defensive stock warrants careful examination of whether the raised target reflects new fundamental improvements or adjusts to existing overvaluation. The maintained rating suggests confidence in the company's prospects, but this must be weighed against TickrTrends' valuation verdict when evaluating entry points. - A Look at The Chefs' Warehouse Inc (CHEF) After 4.0% Decline -- GF Value $62.24 vs Price $109.78 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: The Chefs' Warehouse Inc trades at a significant premium to its GuruFocus estimated fair value, with the current price substantially above the derived valuation metric. TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, a designation that suggests the market price may not align with fundamental value estimates. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's operational performance and growth trajectory can justify the current premium, or whether a convergence toward the estimated fair value becomes more likely.
More CHEF news
- The Chefs' Warehouse Inc (CHEF) Stock Down 4.6% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 73/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
- The Chefs' Warehouse Inc (CHEF) Shares Surge 3.4% -- What GF Score of 71 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
What people are saying
Follow the CHEF conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is CHEF stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CHEF is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is CHEF's TickrTrends verdict?
CHEF's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does CHEF compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
CHEF ranks #44 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is CHEF overbought or oversold?
CHEF's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does CHEF report earnings next?
CHEF's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-28 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does CHEF usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters CHEF beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about CHEF?
Of 8 analysts covering CHEF, 7 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $124 (+9.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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