The Vita Coco Company, Inc. (COCO) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
COCO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedCOCO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $58.69
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $39.66–$84.02
- Market cap
- $3.4B
- From 52-week high
- -30.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 57.9M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #21 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Vita Coco Company, Inc. is a beverage company that produces and sells coconut water and other plant-based drinks. The company operates globally, distributing its products across North America, Europe, Asia, and other international markets.
COCO currently ranks #21 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $3.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 32x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $706M
- Net margin
- 15.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $1.84
- Gross margin
- 48.7%
- Debt / equity
- 0.04
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 18.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 57.9M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 56 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $58.77
- 200-day average
- $61.53
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+46.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+60.6%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-30.8%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+21.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+16.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+40.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+57.1%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+16.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 3 hold · 0 sell (11 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $78.6
- Target vs last price
- +33.9%
What our data shows for COCO
- Our model validated 16 trailing price-to-earnings windows for COCO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $39.66–$84.02.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 56.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for COCO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the COCO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for COCO show that the sector's discount rank has declined from number 24 to number 30 this week, indicating a shift in relative valuation positioning within the Consumer Defensive sector. Despite this change in ranking, COCO maintains an undervalued valuation verdict according to current assessments.
- 2026-10-05 — COCO's 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to downtrend this week, indicating weaker short-term momentum relative to longer-term direction. Despite this technical deterioration, the stock maintains an undervalued verdict based on TickrTrends' derived indicators. The downtrend development suggests investors should monitor whether this weakness persists or reverses in coming weeks.
- 2026-09-28 — # COCO Weekly Indicator Update TickrTrends' derived indicators for COCO show a shift in momentum this week as the RSI zone moved from oversold territory into neutral territory. The stock maintains an undervalued designation based on current valuation metrics. This improvement in the RSI suggests reduced downward pressure, though the security remains relatively attractive from a valuation perspective.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is COCO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), COCO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is COCO's TickrTrends verdict?
COCO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does COCO compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
COCO ranks #21 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is COCO overbought or oversold?
COCO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does COCO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters COCO beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about COCO?
Of 11 analysts covering COCO, 8 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $78.6 (+33.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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