The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
EL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedEL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $98.05
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $67.23–$119.61
- Market cap
- $37.9B
- From 52-week high
- -18.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 386M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #3 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of prestige skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products sold under numerous brand names. The company operates globally across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets through department stores, specialty retailers, e-commerce platforms, and company-owned stores.
EL currently ranks #3 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $37.9B
- P/E (trailing)
- 39x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $15B
- Net margin
- 1.2%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.51
- Gross margin
- 80.9%
- Debt / equity
- 2.43
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 0.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 386M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 65 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $96.58
- 200-day average
- $91.70
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
- Momentum score
- 85 · grade A
- Positive weeks (of 12)
- 3
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.40 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 1.43%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-31
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-15
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-02 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+21.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+40.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+7.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+77.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+8.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+109.7%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+93.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+40.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 14 buy · 15 hold · 1 sell (30 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $108
- Target vs last price
- +10.1%
What our data shows for EL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $67.23–$119.61.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 65.
- 3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent EL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for EL is currently mixed, computed from recent coverage.
- Estée Lauder at NYSE for Breast Cancer Awareness Month: NYSE Content Update (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-05)
TickrTrends take: Estée Lauder's participation in Breast Cancer Awareness Month highlights the company's engagement with cause-marketing initiatives that can strengthen brand loyalty within the Consumer Defensive sector. Given TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether such corporate social responsibility efforts contribute to sustained consumer demand and pricing power over coming quarters. The company's ability to maintain brand equity through these campaigns may be relevant to evaluating whether the current valuation discount appropriately reflects its competitive positioning in the beauty and personal care market. - Potential U.S.-China Tariff Relief Could Boost Estée Lauder (EL) Amid Fair Valuation (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
TickrTrends take: Estée Lauder's current undervalued designation by TickrTrends suggests the market may not be fully pricing in the potential benefits of tariff relief between the U.S. and China, a significant consideration given the company's exposure to both markets. Should tariff negotiations progress favorably, the cost pressures that have weighed on the company's margins could ease, potentially narrowing the gap between current valuation and intrinsic value. Valuation-focused investors should monitor developments in U.S.-China trade policy and how management discusses tariff impacts on upcoming earnings calls to assess whether the undervalued rating remains justified. - Estée Lauder (EL) Nominates Rolex CEO and Holley Chairman to Board of Directors (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-10)
TickrTrends take: Estée Lauder's addition of external leadership from luxury goods and corporate governance backgrounds may signal confidence in operational execution, which is relevant to investors monitoring whether the company can justify its current undervalued assessment. As a Consumer Defensive holding, EL's ability to attract experienced board members could support margin management and strategic positioning during consumer spending cycles. Valuation-focused readers should track whether these appointments correlate with improved operational metrics or strategic announcements that would validate the undervalued designation.
What people are saying
Follow the EL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for EL showed a shift in momentum this week, moving from a neutral position to an A rating. With the current valuation verdict holding at Undervalued, the stock's technical momentum has strengthened. This change reflects increased positive movement in EL's price action relative to its recent trading range.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — EL's momentum indicator downgraded from B to none this week, signaling a loss of positive price momentum in the Consumer Defensive sector. The quality grade deteriorated from D to F, indicating a weakening in fundamental business quality metrics. The stock remains at an undervalued current valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' assessment.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is EL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), EL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is EL's TickrTrends verdict?
EL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does EL compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
EL ranks #3 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is EL overbought or oversold?
EL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does EL pay a dividend?
Yes. EL paid $1.40 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 1.43% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-31.
When does EL report earnings next?
EL's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-02 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does EL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters EL beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about EL?
Of 30 analysts covering EL, 14 rate it a buy, 15 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $108 (+10.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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