The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. (EL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07
The Estée Lauder Companies Inc. is a multinational manufacturer and marketer of prestige skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products sold under numerous brand names. The company operates globally across North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and other international markets through department stores, specialty retailers, e-commerce platforms, and company-owned stores.
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedBased on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, EL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
EL currently ranks #9 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
- Last price
- $103.86
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $70.71–$118.76
Derived indicators
Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.
- Quality grade
- F
- Momentum grade
- A
- Leverage
- High
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- Revenue growth
- Declining
- RSI zone
- Neutral
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
What our data shows for EL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for EL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $70.71–$118.76.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 68.
- 3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for EL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
How Forward Fair Value works
TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.
Recent EL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for EL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- The Estée Lauder Companies Announces Expanded Roles for Brian Franz and Amber English (manilatimes.net, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: The Estée Lauder Companies announced expanded leadership roles for Brian Franz and Angela English, signaling management continuity and strategic confidence in key executives during a period of operational focus. Given TickrTrends' current assessment of EL as undervalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, investors monitoring the company should observe whether these expanded roles translate into improved operational execution and margin performance that could support valuation recovery. Leadership strengthening in consumer-facing businesses often precedes improved financial metrics, making execution on strategic initiatives a key factor for valuation re-rating potential. - Estée Lauder (EL)’s China Bet Just Paid Off. Its Makeup Business Still Hasn’t Caught Up (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-28)
TickrTrends take: Estée Lauder's recent success in China addresses a significant geographic growth driver that valuation models have tracked closely, particularly given the importance of Asian markets to the luxury beauty sector. The company's lagging makeup division represents an operational challenge that could affect margin expansion and earnings power going forward, making execution in this category important for validating any undervaluation thesis. Investors following the valuation context should monitor whether makeup segment improvements can materialize alongside the China momentum, as both factors would be necessary to justify moving from the current undervalued assessment. - EL Looks 15.4% Overvalued on GF Value™ as August Rally Peaks (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-28)
TickrTrends take: EL is trading at levels that GuruFocus's GF Value model suggests are significantly elevated, yet TickrTrends' analysis currently classifies the stock as undervalued. This divergence between the two valuation frameworks highlights the importance of monitoring which fundamental metrics are driving each assessment, particularly given the volatile trading activity noted in the August period. Investors focused on valuation should track whether EL's recent rally holds or reverts, as this will clarify which methodology better reflects the company's intrinsic worth in the Consumer Defensive sector.
What people are saying
Follow the EL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-06 — EL's Relative Strength Index moved from overbought territory into the neutral zone this week, indicating a moderation in price momentum. With the stock maintaining an undervalued valuation verdict, this shift in the RSI zone suggests the stock may be transitioning from elevated buying pressure to a more balanced technical position.
- 2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is EL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), EL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is EL's TickrTrends verdict?
EL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does EL compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
EL ranks #9 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.
Is EL overbought or oversold?
EL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
More in Consumer Defensive
Head-to-head comparisons
EL vs BF-B · EL vs CELH · EL vs CLX · EL vs FIZZ · EL vs GO