Hormel Foods Corporation (HRL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07
Hormel Foods Corporation is a food company that produces and distributes meat products, including branded items such as SPAM, bacon, and pepperoni, along with other food categories like shelf-stable meals, nutritional products, and specialty foods. The company operates manufacturing facilities and conducts business across the United States and internationally, serving retail customers, foodservice operators, and other food companies.
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedBased on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, HRL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
HRL currently ranks #11 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.
- Last price
- $21.54
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $21.33–$25.23
Derived indicators
Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.
- Quality grade
- F
- Leverage
- Low
- Margin trend
- Stable
- Revenue growth
- Declining
- RSI zone
- Oversold
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
What our data shows for HRL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HRL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $21.33–$25.23.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 24.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HRL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
How Forward Fair Value works
TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.
Recent HRL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for HRL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- 2 Big Food Dividends Were Just Cut. 3 More Quietly Stopped Growing. (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-05)
TickrTrends take: HRL Laboratories operates in the Consumer Defensive sector, which traditionally attracts investors seeking stable dividend income and defensive characteristics during economic uncertainty. Given TickrTrends' undervalued assessment, dividend policy changes in the food industry warrant close attention to whether HRL maintains its dividend growth trajectory or faces similar pressures that have affected competitors. For valuation-focused readers, the sustainability of HRL's payout relative to its earnings and cash flow generation will be critical to determining whether the undervalued designation reflects genuine opportunity or upcoming headwinds in the sector. - Hormel (HRL) Expanded Adjusted Operating Margin Despite a Volume Decline. Can Cost Savings Carry the Turnaround? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-04)
TickrTrends take: HRL's ability to expand adjusted operating margins while managing a volume decline demonstrates operational efficiency that could support its undervalued positioning within the Consumer Defensive sector. For valuation-focused investors, the sustainability of these cost savings becomes critical, as margin expansion without revenue growth has limits and may not justify valuation multiples if volume trends continue deteriorating. The key metric to monitor will be whether HRL can stabilize or reverse volume declines while maintaining its cost structure improvements, as this combination would provide a more durable foundation for the undervalued thesis.
What people are saying
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TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for HRL in the Consumer Defensive sector reflect a shift toward undervaluation this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from a fairly valued assessment to undervalued, supporting the current valuation verdict of undervalued.
- 2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is HRL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), HRL is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HRL's TickrTrends verdict?
HRL's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HRL compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
HRL ranks #11 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.
Is HRL overbought or oversold?
HRL's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
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