The Kraft Heinz Company (KHC) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
KHC price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedKHC is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $22.27
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $21.21–$27.62
- Market cap
- $26.4B
- From 52-week high
- -19.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.19B
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #59 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Kraft Heinz Company manufactures and markets food and beverage products including condiments, sauces, snacks, and meal products sold under brands such as Heinz, Kraft, Philadelphia, and Capri Sun. The company operates globally with a significant presence in North America, Europe, and other international markets.
KHC currently ranks #59 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 4 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $26.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 9x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $24.9B
- Net margin
- -13.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.42
- Gross margin
- 32.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.53
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -1.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.19B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 48 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $24.24
- 200-day average
- $23.85
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $1.60 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 7.18%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-04
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-25
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+5.7%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+16.0%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+9.8%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+5.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+7.8%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+7.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+1.4%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 14 hold · 4 sell (20 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $24.8
- Target vs last price
- +11.4%
What our data shows for KHC
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for KHC, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $21.21–$27.62.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 48.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for KHC
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent KHC news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for KHC is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Kraft Heinz: The Boring 2027 Long That Doesn’t Need A Rich Multiple (NYSE:KHC) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Kraft Heinz trades at a valuation that TickrTrends classifies as fairly valued, suggesting the market has already priced in the company's stable but unspectacular growth profile typical of the Consumer Defensive sector. The headline's emphasis on a long-term holding strategy without premium valuation multiples aligns with this assessment, indicating limited upside from multiple expansion as an investor driver. For valuation-conscious readers, the key variable to monitor would be whether earnings growth accelerates beyond current expectations, as the fairly valued status leaves little room for the multiple compression that could occur if growth disappoints. - This High-Yield Stock Pays Investors 7%+, but There’s a Catch (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Kraft Heinz's dividend yield exceeding 7 percent reflects investor compensation for holding a stock in the Consumer Defensive sector that TickrTrends currently assesses as fairly valued. A yield at this level typically signals either depressed share prices or a commitment to returning capital, both of which merit scrutiny into the company's underlying cash generation and payout sustainability. Investors evaluating this opportunity should monitor whether the company's earnings and free cash flow can reliably support distributions at current levels without requiring balance sheet drawdowns. - Kraft Heinz (KHC) Launches Ready-to-Eat Soups in Canada, Expanding Convenience Offerings (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Kraft Heinz's expansion of ready-to-eat soup offerings in Canada represents a product line extension within its existing Consumer Defensive portfolio, a sector typically characterized by stable demand and modest growth expectations. Given TickrTrends' assessment that KHC is fairly valued, investors should monitor whether this convenience-focused initiative can drive incremental revenue growth or margin expansion sufficient to justify any premium to the current valuation. The success of this Canadian launch will be relevant to tracking whether the company can achieve organic growth rates that support its present valuation multiple in a competitive packaged foods environment.
More KHC news
- Kraft Heinz Stock Looks Cheap. Here’s What Investors are Missing (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-08)
- Can New Flavors Actually Fix What’s Wrong at Kraft Heinz (KHC)? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-28)
- Kraft Heinz’s Bull Case Runs Into Its Own Recent Reversal (insidermonkey.com, 2026-09-22)
What people are saying
Follow the KHC conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for KHC shifted this week as the valuation verdict moved from Overvalued to Fairly valued, suggesting improved relative pricing within the Consumer Defensive sector. This change reflects a recalibration of the company's valuation metrics compared to its peer group and historical standards.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is KHC stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), KHC is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is KHC's TickrTrends verdict?
KHC's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does KHC compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
KHC ranks #59 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is KHC overbought or oversold?
KHC's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does KHC pay a dividend?
Yes. KHC paid $1.60 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 7.18% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-04.
When does KHC report earnings next?
KHC's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does KHC usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters KHC beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about KHC?
Of 20 analysts covering KHC, 2 rate it a buy, 14 a hold and 4 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $24.8 (+11.4% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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