Grand Canyon Education, Inc. (LOPE) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
LOPE price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedLOPE is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $161.58
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $136.72–$218.48
- Market cap
- $4.21B
- From 52-week high
- -26.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 26.1M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #17 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Grand Canyon Education, Inc. is an education services company that provides support and business services to Grand Canyon University, a private, for-profit institution of higher education. The company operates primarily in Arizona, where it manages administrative, financial, and operational functions for the university.
LOPE currently ranks #17 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $4.21B
- P/E (trailing)
- 17x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.14B
- Net margin
- 19.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $9.66
- Gross margin
- 49.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.16
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 26.1M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 64 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $151.27
- 200-day average
- $158.18
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
- Momentum score
- 79 · grade B
- Positive weeks (of 12)
- 3
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+7.1%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+2.9%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+0.6%)
2025-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+10.9%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+2.4%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+0.5%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+0.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 3 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (3 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $194
- Target vs last price
- +20.1%
What our data shows for LOPE
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for LOPE, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $136.72–$218.48.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 64.
- 3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for LOPE
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent LOPE news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for LOPE is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Andrew Left Appeals Securities Fraud Conviction Amid Insider Trading Probe; Impact on LOPE Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-18)
TickrTrends take: LOPE's undervalued status according to TickrTrends occurs against a backdrop of legal uncertainties involving prominent parties connected to the company, which could influence how the market prices consumer defensive stocks perceived as embattled. Valuation-focused investors should monitor whether ongoing legal proceedings affect investor confidence or operational stability, as such pressures sometimes create temporary disconnects between market price and intrinsic value. The combination of a defensive sector designation and undervalued assessment suggests the market may be overweighting near-term legal risks relative to the company's fundamental earnings power. - LOPE Maintained by BMO Capital -- Price Target Lowered to $182 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
TickrTrends take: BMO Capital's reduction of LOPE's price target to $182 occurs within a broader context where TickrTrends currently rates the stock as undervalued, suggesting the analyst adjustment may not fully align with the derived valuation assessment. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether this price target revision reflects changing fundamentals in the Consumer Defensive sector or represents a more conservative stance relative to the stock's current undervalued positioning. The maintenance of coverage alongside the lowered target warrants attention to whether additional analyst revisions may follow or if the stock's valuation case remains supported by other market participants. - Grand Canyon Education: Strong Fundamentals Quell AI Fears (NASDAQ:LOPE) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-22)
TickrTrends take: Grand Canyon Education operates in the Consumer Defensive sector and currently trades at an undervalued assessment according to TickrTrends. The headline's emphasis on strong fundamentals suggests the company may be positioned to weather concerns that could otherwise pressure valuations in its sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's operational strength continues to support the undervalued designation or whether market sentiment shifts the assessment.
More LOPE news
- Grand Canyon Education (LOPE): A Steady Cash-Generating Business Ignored in a Speculative Market (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-09-01)
What people are saying
Follow the LOPE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' momentum indicator for LOPE improved this week, moving from a D rating to a B rating. The stock operates in the Consumer Defensive sector and currently carries an undervalued verdict according to the service's valuation assessment. This positive shift in momentum represents a notable week-over-week change in the derived indicators for the security.
- 2026-10-05 — LOPE's technical trend state shifted from downtrend to mixed this week based on its 50/200-day moving average positioning. The stock's sector discount ranking declined to number 25 from number 18, indicating it has become relatively less discounted compared to other Consumer Defensive stocks. Despite this change in relative valuation ranking, the current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-09-28 — # LOPE Weekly Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for LOPE shifted this week as the 50/200-day trend state moved from mixed to downtrend. The stock remains assessed as undervalued according to current valuation metrics. The downtrend development represents a change in the technical momentum picture for this Consumer Defensive sector holding.
- 2026-09-21 — # LOPE Weekly Summary TickrTrends' momentum indicator for LOPE declined from a C rating to a D rating this week, signaling a deterioration in the stock's price momentum within the Consumer Defensive sector. Despite this downward shift in momentum, LOPE maintains an Undervalued valuation verdict according to the derived indicators.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is LOPE stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), LOPE is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is LOPE's TickrTrends verdict?
LOPE's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does LOPE compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
LOPE ranks #17 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is LOPE overbought or oversold?
LOPE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does LOPE report earnings next?
LOPE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does LOPE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters LOPE beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about LOPE?
Of 3 analysts covering LOPE, 3 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $194 (+20.1% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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