Altria Group, Inc. (MO) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
MO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedMO is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $71.68
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $54.72–$75.11
- Market cap
- $120B
- From 52-week high
- -4.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.67B
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #47 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Altria Group, Inc. is a tobacco company that manufactures and markets cigarettes, smokeless tobacco, and oral nicotine products. The company operates primarily in the United States.
MO currently ranks #47 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $120B
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $21.9B
- Net margin
- 36.5%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.55
- Gross margin
- 74.9%
- Debt / equity
- 0.00
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 5.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.67B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Undervalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 75 · overbought
- 50-day average
- $68.63
- 200-day average
- $68.01
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.29 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 5.98%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 16
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-15
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-09
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-1.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+5.6%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-1.5%)
2025-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+3.4%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+0.8%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+2.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 4 buy · 8 hold · 2 sell (14 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $70
- Target vs last price
- -2.3%
What our data shows for MO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for MO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $54.72–$75.11.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 75.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for MO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent MO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for MO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Altria Group’s 6.2% Dividend Yield: Is the Stock Worth Buying Now? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Altria Group currently trades at a valuation that TickrTrends identifies as overvalued within the Consumer Defensive sector, which suggests investors may be paying a premium relative to fundamental metrics. The company's elevated dividend yield, while attractive to income-focused investors, should be contextualized against this valuation assessment, as high yields can sometimes reflect market concerns about sustainability or growth prospects. A valuation-focused reader should monitor whether Altria's earnings growth and cash flow generation can justify its current market price, rather than relying solely on the dividend yield as an indicator of value. - Altria: Still In Danger Of Getting Stubbed - Strong Sell (NYSE:MO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Altria faces ongoing operational and market pressures that the current valuation may not adequately reflect, particularly given TickrTrends' overvalued assessment of the stock. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's dividend sustainability and cash generation remain sufficient to justify its current price relative to peers in the Consumer Defensive sector. The "strong sell" characterization suggests fundamental concerns beyond typical cyclical fluctuations, warranting close attention to upcoming earnings reports and guidance revisions. - Altria Stock: The Rally Looks Ahead Of Underlying Earnings Growth (NYSE:MO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-13)
TickrTrends take: Altria's recent stock appreciation appears to have outpaced the company's fundamental earnings trajectory, which aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is overvalued. For investors focused on valuation metrics, the key consideration is whether upcoming earnings reports will justify the current price level or whether a convergence back toward fundamentals in the Consumer Defensive sector may occur. Monitoring the pace of earnings growth relative to stock performance will be critical to determining if the current valuation premium is sustainable.
More MO news
- Altria Group Still Has A Long Way To Go (NYSE:MO) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-12)
What people are saying
Follow the MO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — MO's quality grade improved from D to B this week, while its RSI zone shifted from neutral to overbought territory. Despite these positive developments in the underlying indicators, the stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict. The overbought RSI reading suggests the stock has experienced significant upward momentum recently.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is MO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), MO is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is MO's TickrTrends verdict?
MO's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does MO compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
MO ranks #47 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is MO overbought or oversold?
MO's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does MO pay a dividend?
Yes. MO paid $4.29 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 5.98% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 16 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-15.
When does MO report earnings next?
MO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does MO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters MO beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about MO?
Of 14 analysts covering MO, 4 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 2 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $70 (-2.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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