John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. (JBSS) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
JBSS price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedJBSS is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $66.76
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $59.50–$90.60
- Market cap
- $781M
- From 52-week high
- -26.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 11.7M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #35 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
John B. Sanfilippo & Son, Inc. is a snack food company that processes and distributes nuts and other snack products. The company operates primarily in North America, serving retail, foodservice, and other distribution channels.
JBSS currently ranks #35 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 6 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $781M
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.18B
- Net margin
- 5.3%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.26
- Gross margin
- 15.7%
- Debt / equity
- 0.29
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.6%
- Shares outstanding
- 11.7M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 47 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $72.32
- 200-day average
- $77.38
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $4.50 per share (3 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 6.74%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 0 (no streak on complete calendar years)
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-08-17
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-09
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-45.4%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+23.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+12.5%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+24.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat
2024-12 ▼ miss (-19.4%)
2024-09 ▼ miss (-26.8%)
2024-06 ▼ miss (-7.1%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 2 buy · 0 hold · 0 sell (2 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $100
- Target vs last price
- +49.8%
What our data shows for JBSS
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for JBSS, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $59.50–$90.60.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 47.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for JBSS
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent JBSS news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for JBSS is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- JBSS Maintained by BWS Financial -- Price Target Stays at $109 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
TickrTrends take: BWS Financial's maintenance of JBSS's price target at 109 dollars aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock is fairly valued, suggesting analyst conviction in the current pricing relative to fundamentals. For valuation-focused investors in the Consumer Defensive sector, this stability in the price target indicates limited upside or downside expectations from current levels, making the focus shift toward monitoring whether earnings or operational metrics justify holding at these valuations. Investors should watch for any deviation in JBSS's performance metrics that might prompt analyst target revisions in either direction. - John B. Sanfilippo Eyes $300M Bar Growth as CEO Transition Nears (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-29)
TickrTrends take: John B. Sanfilippo and Son Inc. is currently trading at an Overvalued assessment according to TickrTrends, which makes the company's stated ambitions for $300M in bar growth a significant metric for investors to monitor as leadership transitions. A Consumer Defensive sector company pursuing aggressive expansion targets may face pressure to demonstrate that such growth can be achieved at valuations justified by actual earnings and cash flow generation rather than growth projections alone. As the CEO transition approaches, valuation-focused observers should track whether management can narrow the gap between JBSS's current market price and its fundamental earnings power.
What people are saying
Follow the JBSS conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — JBSS, a consumer defensive stock, showed movement in its technical indicators this week as the relative strength index shifted from oversold territory into neutral range. The company maintains a fairly valued valuation verdict according to TickrTrends' derived indicators. This change in the RSI zone reflects a moderate adjustment in the stock's momentum positioning.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for JBSS show a shift in the valuation assessment this week, moving from an overvalued status to a fairly valued classification. This change reflects a recalibration of the company's valuation metrics relative to its fundamental performance within the Consumer Defensive sector. The stock's pricing now appears more aligned with its underlying business metrics according to the updated analysis.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is JBSS stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), JBSS is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is JBSS's TickrTrends verdict?
JBSS's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does JBSS compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
JBSS ranks #35 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is JBSS overbought or oversold?
JBSS's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does JBSS pay a dividend?
Yes. JBSS paid $4.50 per share over the last twelve months (3 payments), a 6.74% yield on TickrTrends' last price. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-08-17.
When does JBSS report earnings next?
JBSS's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04, per the published earnings calendar.
Does JBSS usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters JBSS beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about JBSS?
Of 2 analysts covering JBSS, 2 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $100 (+49.8% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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