Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. (KDP) fair value analysis
S&P 500 & Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
KDP price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedKDP is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $31.76
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $25.31–$34.62
- Market cap
- $43.2B
- From 52-week high
- -8.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.36B
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #11 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Keurig Dr Pepper Inc. is a beverage company that manufactures and distributes a portfolio of coffee systems, coffee pods, and carbonated and non-carbonated drinks. The company operates across North America, serving consumers through retail channels, foodservice outlets, and direct-to-consumer platforms.
KDP currently ranks #11 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $43.2B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $20.1B
- Net margin
- 7.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $2.10
- Gross margin
- 41.9%
- Debt / equity
- 1.37
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 30.7%
- Shares outstanding
- 1.36B
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 69 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $31.54
- 200-day average
- $29.64
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
- Momentum score
- 92 · grade A
- Positive weeks (of 12)
- 3
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.92 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.90%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 5
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-09-28
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-09
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+5.4%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+1.9%)
2025-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+20.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+1.8%)
2024-09 ▬ met (0.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 13 buy · 5 hold · 0 sell (18 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $36.2
- Target vs last price
- +14.0%
What our data shows for KDP
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for KDP, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $25.31–$34.62.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 69.
- 3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for KDP
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent KDP news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for KDP is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) vs. KO and PEP: Can the JDE Peet’s Acquisition and Planned Split Unlock Value Despite Rising Debt? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-22)
- Is It Too Late to Buy Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) After 3.2% Rally? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Keurig Dr Pepper's recent rally aligns with TickrTrends' assessment that the stock remains undervalued based on fundamental metrics. For investors focused on valuation, the relevance of any short-term price movement depends on whether the company's underlying business fundamentals and cash generation have changed, which would affect how much further the stock could appreciate toward fair value. As a Consumer Defensive company, KDP's valuation positioning should be evaluated against its ability to maintain stable revenues and margins rather than momentum alone. - Keurig Dr Pepper’s 2.8% Dividend Yield Raises an Interesting Question (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-15)
TickrTrends take: Keurig Dr Pepper currently trades at a valuation level that TickrTrends considers undervalued for a Consumer Defensive company, which adds relevance to its dividend yield profile. A reader focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the current yield compensates appropriately for the company's risk profile or whether it signals market underappreciation of the business. For dividend-focused investors in defensive sectors, the interplay between the company's yield level and its undervaluation status warrants continued observation of both earnings trends and capital allocation decisions.
More KDP news
- Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Stock Rises 1.1% After Piper Sandler Upgrade to Overweight (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP) Stock Up 3.1% and Still Undervalued -- GF Score: 79/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- Keurig Dr Pepper (KDP) Unveils Nostalgic Beverage Lineup and Energy Drink Expansion for 2027 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-06)
- JDE Peet’s shareholders can voluntarily transfer their shares to KDP before 16 October 2026, 15:00 CET (manilatimes.net, 2026-10-05)
What people are saying
Follow the KDP conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — KDP's momentum indicator improved this week, moving from none to A, reflecting stronger upward price movement in the Consumer Defensive sector stock. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued, suggesting the stock may be trading below its assessed intrinsic value.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — KDP's derived indicators shifted this week as its 50/200-day trend state moved from uptrend to mixed, though the stock improved its position within the Consumer Defensive sector by moving from the 22nd to 16th best-valued ranking. Despite the trend change, KDP remains classified as undervalued according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for KDP show mixed signals this week as the stock's 50/200-day trend state shifted from an uptrend to a mixed state, suggesting reduced directional clarity. Additionally, momentum declined from a B rating to none, indicating weakened price momentum. Despite these near-term technical deteriorations, KDP's current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is KDP stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), KDP is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is KDP's TickrTrends verdict?
KDP's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does KDP compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
KDP ranks #11 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is KDP overbought or oversold?
KDP's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does KDP pay a dividend?
Yes. KDP paid $0.92 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.90% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 5 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-09-28.
When does KDP report earnings next?
KDP's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does KDP usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters KDP beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about KDP?
Of 18 analysts covering KDP, 13 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $36.2 (+14.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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