The Honest Company, Inc. (HNST) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
HNST price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedHNST is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $5.00
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $2.10–$5.95
- Market cap
- $536M
- From 52-week high
- -16.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 107M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #48 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
The Honest Company, Inc. manufactures and sells consumer products including diapers, wipes, personal care items, and household cleaning supplies under the Honest brand name. The company operates primarily in the United States and sells its products through direct-to-consumer channels, retail partners, and online platforms.
HNST currently ranks #48 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 11 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $536M
- P/E (trailing)
- 76x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $342M
- Net margin
- -3.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.07
- Gross margin
- 48.4%
- Debt / equity
- 0.06
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -1.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 107M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 40 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $5.28
- 200-day average
- $3.67
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-04
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+100.0%)
2026-03 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-77.2%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+200.0%)
2025-06 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+100.0%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+551.6%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+180.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 3 buy · 3 hold · 1 sell (7 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $5.2
- Target vs last price
- +4.0%
What our data shows for HNST
- Our model validated 6 trailing price-to-earnings windows for HNST, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $2.10–$5.95.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 40.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for HNST
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the HNST conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for HNST showed a shift in trend this week, with the 50/200-day trend state moving from uptrend to mixed. Despite this change in momentum indicators, the stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict based on current metrics.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is HNST stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), HNST is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is HNST's TickrTrends verdict?
HNST's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does HNST compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
HNST ranks #48 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is HNST overbought or oversold?
HNST's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does HNST report earnings next?
HNST's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-04, per the published earnings calendar.
Does HNST usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters HNST beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about HNST?
Of 7 analysts covering HNST, 3 rate it a buy, 3 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $5.2 (+4.0% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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