Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
GO price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
UndervaluedGO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $12.87
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $5.79–$15.14
- Market cap
- $1.28B
- From 52-week high
- -15.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 99.1M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #55 of 61
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates a chain of discount grocery stores that offer brand-name products at reduced prices through an independent operator model. The company conducts business primarily across the United States, with stores concentrated in the western regions as well as expanding presence in other parts of the country.
GO currently ranks #55 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Undervalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $1.28B
- P/E (trailing)
- 21x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.74B
- Net margin
- -8.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $0.62
- Gross margin
- 30.2%
- Debt / equity
- 2.27
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 6.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 99.1M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The top quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 65 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $11.53
- 200-day average
- $9.39
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
- Momentum score
- 95 · grade A
- Positive weeks (of 12)
- 3
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-03
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+88.9%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+150.0%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-10.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+10.5%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+35.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+85.7%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-10.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+3.7%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 0 buy · 13 hold · 1 sell (14 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $10.9
- Target vs last price
- -15.3%
What our data shows for GO
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GO, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $5.79–$15.14.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 65.
- 3 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GO
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent GO news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Shares Surge 3.5% -- What GF Score of 73 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Grocery Outlet Holding Corp trades in the Consumer Defensive sector, where stable cash flows and defensive characteristics typically support consistent valuations. The company's GF Score of 73 indicates solid fundamental quality, which aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that GO shares are undervalued. For valuation-focused investors, monitoring whether this quality score sustains while the stock trades at its current undervalued levels may provide insight into whether the recent price movement reflects a market correction toward fair value or represents an opportunity in a defensive holding. - GO Upgraded by B of A Securities -- Price Target Raised to $15.0 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
TickrTrends take: Bank of America Securities has raised its price target for GO, suggesting the analyst sees upside from current levels in the Consumer Defensive sector stock. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that GO is undervalued, the upgraded price target from a major institution aligns with the possibility of valuation correction as the market reprices the stock. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the market moves toward the new target or whether the undervalued designation persists despite analyst upgrade activity. - Fund 1 Investments, LLC Adds Funko Inc (FNKO) Shares -- Stock Looks 11% Overvalued on GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-29)
TickrTrends take: I appreciate your request, but I need to point out an inconsistency: the headline discusses Funko Inc (FNKO) and its valuation, while you've asked me to relate this news to GO's TickrTrends valuation context. These appear to be different companies. Could you clarify whether the news is about GO or FNKO, or provide additional context about how these two stocks are connected?
What people are saying
Follow the GO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for GO in the Consumer Defensive sector show a shift in momentum from none to A this week, while the current valuation verdict remains Undervalued. This momentum improvement suggests increased positive price movement or technical strength in the stock relative to the previous week's assessment.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for GO in the Consumer Defensive sector showed a shift this week, with the momentum indicator moving from an A rating to none. The current valuation verdict remains Undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is GO stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), GO is trading at a 10–25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is GO's TickrTrends verdict?
GO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does GO compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
GO ranks #55 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is GO overbought or oversold?
GO's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does GO report earnings next?
GO's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-03, per the published earnings calendar.
Does GO usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters GO beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about GO?
Of 14 analysts covering GO, 0 rate it a buy, 13 a hold and 1 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $10.9 (-15.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
More in Consumer Defensive
Head-to-head comparisons
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