Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. (GO) fair value analysis

Nasdaq · Updated 2026-09-07

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp. operates a chain of discount grocery stores that offer brand-name products at reduced prices through an independent operator model. The company conducts business primarily across the United States, with stores concentrated in the western regions as well as expanding presence in other parts of the country.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Undervalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, GO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value.

GO currently ranks #5 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Undervalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $9.75
Sector: Consumer Defensive
12-month range: $6.89–$16.20

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Momentum grade: A
Leverage: High
Margin trend: Stable
Revenue growth: Modest
RSI zone: Overbought
50/200-day trend: Mixed
52-week position: The lower-middle quarter of its range

What our data shows for GO

Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for GO, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $6.89–$16.20.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at an overbought 71.
4 of the last 12 weekly snapshots showed positive price momentum.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for GO
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent GO news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for GO is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

Fund 1 Investments, LLC Buys Xponential Fitness Inc (XPOF) -- Shares Look 34% Undervalued on GF Value (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: Xponential Fitness has attracted institutional interest through Fund 1 Investments' purchase, signaling confidence from a fund with valuation discipline. The GF Value assessment showing 34% undervaluation aligns with TickrTrends' current Undervalued designation for GO, suggesting that value-oriented investors may find appeal in fitness and wellness assets trading at discounts to intrinsic estimates. Readers focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether such institutional buying patterns precede broader market recognition of underpriced positions in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO) Stock Down 4.2% -- Now Undervalued? GF Score: 68/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-08-28)
TickrTrends take: Grocery Outlet's recent decline aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades below its intrinsic value, presenting a potential opportunity for investors focused on valuation metrics. The GF Score of 68 suggests moderate fundamental quality within the Consumer Defensive sector, which typically attracts investors seeking stability over growth. Valuation-focused readers should monitor whether the stock's undervalued status persists or whether fundamental improvements justify further price appreciation.
A Grocery Outlet Insider Purchases 8,000 Shares Amid a 40% Stock Decline (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-23)
TickrTrends take: An insider purchase of this magnitude at a significant stock discount may suggest confidence in the company's underlying value, which aligns with TickrTrends' current undervalued assessment of GO. For valuation-focused investors, the key consideration is whether this insider conviction will translate into operational improvements or margin recovery that justify the current market discount in the Consumer Defensive sector. Monitoring subsequent insider trading activity and quarterly earnings will be critical to validate whether the current valuation represents a genuine opportunity or reflects deeper structural challenges.

What people are saying

Follow the GO conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X

TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is GO stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), GO is trading at more than a 25% discount to estimated fair value and screens as undervalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is GO's TickrTrends verdict?

GO's current verdict is Undervalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does GO compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?

GO ranks #5 of 64 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is GO overbought or oversold?

GO's 14-day RSI is in the overbought zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.

All Consumer Defensive fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

GO vs CELH · GO vs CLX · GO vs EL · GO vs HRL · GO vs JJSF