Bunge Global SA (BG) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
BG price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedBG is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $102.73
- Sector
- Consumer Defensive
- 12-month range
- $88.55–$131.41
- Market cap
- $19.7B
- From 52-week high
- -21.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 192M
- Rank in Consumer Defensive by discount to fair value
- #42 of 61
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Bunge Global SA is an agriculture company that processes, trades, and distributes oilseeds, grains, and related products for food, animal feed, and industrial uses. The company operates facilities and conducts business across North America, South America, Europe, Asia, and Africa.
BG currently ranks #42 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $19.7B
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $91.8B
- Net margin
- 1.1%
- EPS (TTM)
- $8.09
- Gross margin
- 7.0%
- Debt / equity
- 1.05
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 23.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 192M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 33 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $112.99
- 200-day average
- $116.96
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $2.84 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.76%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 3
- Next ex-dividend date
- 2026-11-17
- Last payment date
- 2026-09-01
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 2 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-1.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+110.3%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+9.3%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+1.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+21.3%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+38.2%)
2024-12 ▼ miss (-5.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+6.5%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 8 buy · 1 hold · 0 sell (9 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $141
- Target vs last price
- +37.3%
What our data shows for BG
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BG, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $88.55–$131.41.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 33.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BG
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent BG news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BG is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Bunge (NYSE:BG) -- Navigating Supply Chain Challenges | Capicraft Investment Partners Q3 2026 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Bunge faces ongoing supply chain challenges that could pressure margins and operational efficiency, factors particularly relevant given TickrTrends' overvalued assessment of the company. For investors focused on valuation, monitoring whether management can maintain pricing power and cost control during these disruptions will be critical to determining if the current valuation levels remain justified. The Consumer Defensive sector typically commands premium valuations during economic uncertainty, but supply chain headwinds may limit BG's ability to sustain the operational performance that such valuations assume. - Bunge Global Stock: A Mispricing Appears (NYSE:BG) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-09-24)
TickrTrends take: BG trades in the Consumer Defensive sector where stable cash flows and predictable earnings typically support higher valuation multiples, yet TickrTrends currently identifies the stock as overvalued. An analyst perspective suggesting mispricing creates a tension with this overvaluation assessment that investors focused on valuation should monitor closely. Readers tracking BG's valuation should watch whether earnings revisions, margin trends, or sector comparables shift to reconcile the current overvalued status with any emerging pricing inefficiencies. - BG Looks 0.9% Undervalued on GF Value™ Despite Challenging Fundamentals (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-01)
TickrTrends take: BG trades at a modest discount according to GF Value™ analysis, which presents a technical counterpoint to TickrTrends' current overvalued assessment of the stock. The disconnect between these valuation signals reflects differing methodologies and criteria, suggesting investors should monitor whether BG's fundamentals in the Consumer Defensive sector stabilize or continue to deteriorate. A valuation-focused reader should track whether the GF Value™ discount persists and whether challenging fundamentals eventually align the two assessments, as either outcome could signal a shift in the stock's risk profile.
More BG news
- Why Bunge Is A Buy On The Pullback Due To Global Agriculture Demand (Upgrade) (NYSE:BG) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-08-28)
What people are saying
Follow the BG conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for BG showed a shift in momentum this week, with the RSI zone moving from oversold to neutral territory. The stock maintains an overvalued valuation verdict as of the current assessment period.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for BG show a shift in momentum this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral to oversold territory. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued. This movement suggests increased selling pressure in the Consumer Defensive sector stock.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is BG stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), BG is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is BG's TickrTrends verdict?
BG's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does BG compare to other Consumer Defensive stocks?
BG ranks #42 of 61 Consumer Defensive stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is BG overbought or oversold?
BG's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does BG pay a dividend?
Yes. BG paid $2.84 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.76% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 3 consecutive years. The next ex-dividend date on file is 2026-11-17.
When does BG report earnings next?
BG's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does BG usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters BG beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 2 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about BG?
Of 9 analysts covering BG, 8 rate it a buy, 1 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $141 (+37.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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