Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
BLDR price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedBLDR is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $57.35
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $57.35–$128.96
- Market cap
- $6.23B
- From 52-week high
- -55.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 109M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #104 of 106
Last price is the 2026-10-01 month-start close, the freshest stored price; the chart runs through 2026-09-18.
Builders FirstSource, Inc. is a distributor and supplier of building materials and related products used in residential construction and light commercial projects. The company operates through a network of distribution centers and branches across the United States.
BLDR currently ranks #104 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $6.23B
- P/E (trailing)
- 13x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $14.4B
- Net margin
- 0.7%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.44
- Gross margin
- 28.1%
- Debt / equity
- 1.31
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- -4.9%
- Shares outstanding
- 109M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- F
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The bottom quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 22 · oversold
- 50-day average
- $68.97
- 200-day average
- $88.13
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price below both averages
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 5 beat, 3 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▼ miss (-9.3%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-27.0%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-11.8%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+9.3%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+1.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+6.3%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+4.7%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+3.0%)
What our data shows for BLDR
- Our model validated 14 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BLDR, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $57.35–$128.96.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at an oversold 22.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BLDR
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent BLDR news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BLDR is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Is Builders FirstSource Inc (BLDR) a Bargain After 3.1% Drop? GF Value Says Undervalued (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: TickrTrends currently rates BLDR as overvalued, which contrasts with the GF Value assessment cited in the headline that suggests the stock is undervalued following its recent decline. A reader focused on valuation should note this discrepancy between different valuation methodologies and monitor whether BLDR's fundamental metrics shift to support either perspective. For an industrials sector company like Builders FirstSource, tracking earnings trends and capital efficiency will be important to understanding whether recent price weakness has created a genuine value opportunity or confirms existing overvaluation concerns. - BLDR Maintained by Oppenheimer -- Price Target Lowered to $78.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Oppenheimer's reduction of BLDR's price target to $78 aligns with TickrTrends' current assessment that the stock trades at overvalued levels within the Industrials sector. For valuation-focused investors, this analyst adjustment reinforces the importance of monitoring whether the company's fundamentals can justify current market pricing, or whether further downward pressure may develop. The maintained rating paired with a lowered target suggests analyst caution rather than outright bearish sentiment, warranting attention to upcoming earnings reports and operational metrics that could influence near-term valuation dynamics. - BLDR Maintained by Wells Fargo -- Price Target Lowered to $55.00 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-16)
TickrTrends take: Wells Fargo's reduction of its price target for BLDR to $55 reflects analyst reassessment of the company's near-term prospects within the industrials sector. Given TickrTrends' current overvalued designation, this analyst action underscores the disconnect between market pricing and fundamental value metrics that valuation-focused investors should monitor closely. Investors watching this name should track whether the analyst community continues to adjust expectations downward or whether operational improvements narrow the gap between current valuation levels and intrinsic worth.
More BLDR news
- Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know (zacks.com, 2026-10-13)
- Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) Is a Trending Stock: Facts to Know Before Betting on It (zacks.com, 2026-10-02)
- BLDR Maintained by StoneX -- Price Target Lowered to $85 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-01)
What people are saying
Follow the BLDR conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for BLDR showed a shift in valuation assessment this week. The DCF cross-check band moved from an overvalued designation to none, representing a change in the model's confidence level regarding the stock's valuation relative to intrinsic value estimates. BLDR remains classified as overvalued according to the current valuation verdict.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends' derived indicators show BLDR moving further into overvalued territory this week, with the stock's sector discount rank declining from 84 to 91 among Industrials companies. This shift indicates that BLDR has become less attractively valued relative to other stocks in its sector during the weekly period.
- 2026-09-21 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for BLDR showed a shift in momentum this week, with the RSI zone moving from neutral into oversold territory. The current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is BLDR stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), BLDR is trading at a 10–25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is BLDR's TickrTrends verdict?
BLDR's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does BLDR compare to other Industrials stocks?
BLDR ranks #104 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is BLDR overbought or oversold?
BLDR's 14-day RSI is in the oversold zone on TickrTrends' latest weekly data.
Does BLDR usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters BLDR beat the consensus estimate 5 times and missed 3 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
More in Industrials
Head-to-head comparisons
BLDR vs CMI · BLDR vs CSX · BLDR vs EMR · BLDR vs ENVX · BLDR vs GWW