Builders FirstSource, Inc. (BLDR) fair value analysis

S&P 500 · Updated 2026-09-07

Builders FirstSource, Inc. is a distributor and supplier of building materials and related products used in residential construction and light commercial projects. The company operates through a network of distribution centers and branches across the United States.

Forward Fair Value verdict

Overvalued

Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model, BLDR is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.

BLDR currently ranks #91 of 107 Industrials stocks by discount to Forward Fair Value. It has screened as Overvalued for 3 consecutive weekly runs.

Last price: $65.79
Sector: Industrials
12-month range: $62.79–$116.17

Derived indicators

Coarse bands from TickrTrends' weekly models; exact figures are part of the full report.

Quality grade: F
Leverage: Moderate
Margin trend: Contracting
Revenue growth: Declining
RSI zone: Neutral
52-week position: The bottom quarter of its range
DCF cross-check: Undervalued

What our data shows for BLDR

Our model validated 14 trailing price-to-earnings windows for BLDR, built from quarterly earnings records.
Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $62.79–$116.17.
The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 39.

The exact numbers are one step away

The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for BLDR
Exact discount / premium to today's price
The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes

See the exact fair value →

How Forward Fair Value works

TickrTrends computes a Forward Fair Value for every covered stock each week: a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple is applied to the analyst-consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year. Every input window is validated for continuity and every result is screened for plausibility before publication.

Recent BLDR news

TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for BLDR is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.

S&P 100 Swaps Nike for Dell, SanDisk, Arista, Palo Alto (financefeeds.com, 2026-09-08)
TickrTrends take: BLDR is not mentioned in this index reconstitution announcement involving Nike and technology companies, so there is no direct connection to report. However, the shift in S&P 100 composition toward semiconductor and software businesses may influence sector rotation patterns that could affect industrial stocks like BLDR. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that BLDR is overvalued, investors focused on valuation should monitor whether industrial sector money flows shift as a result of the index changes.
Are Wall Street Analysts Predicting Builders FirstSource Stock Will Climb or Sink? (finance.yahoo.com, 2026-08-14)
TickrTrends take: Builders FirstSource operates in the Industrials sector, where TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued, suggesting the market price may not align with fundamental metrics. Given this valuation context, investors monitoring analyst predictions should consider whether upcoming earnings or guidance could justify the current price level or whether the stock faces pressure to realign with intrinsic value. The divergence between analyst sentiment and valuation metrics represents a key tension point for fundamental investors evaluating BLDR.
US stock market today: Wall Street moves towards all-time high as inflation moderates and oil prices drop (timesofindia.indiatimes.com, 2026-08-13)
TickrTrends take: BLDR operates in the Industrials sector, which typically benefits when economic conditions support moderate growth without excessive inflation pressures. While the broader market moves toward all-time highs on moderating inflation and lower oil prices, TickrTrends currently rates BLDR as overvalued, suggesting that positive macroeconomic tailwinds may already be reflected in the stock's current price. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether industrial stocks in general can sustain recent gains or whether valuations in the sector compress as market enthusiasm stabilizes.

What people are saying

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TickrTrends weekly updates

2026-09-07 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
2026-09-06 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for BLDR showed notable shifts this week within the Industrials sector. The DCF cross-check band moved from an overvalued assessment to an undervalued one, suggesting improved valuation metrics based on discounted cash flow analysis. Additionally, momentum indicators declined from a B rating to none, indicating a reduction in upward price momentum this week.
2026-08-31 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.

Frequently asked questions

Is BLDR stock undervalued?

Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-09-07), BLDR is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.

What is BLDR's TickrTrends verdict?

BLDR's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.

How does BLDR compare to other Industrials stocks?

BLDR ranks #91 of 107 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage when sorted by discount to Forward Fair Value.

Is BLDR overbought or oversold?

BLDR's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.

All Industrials fair-value coverage →

Head-to-head comparisons

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