Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
CVLT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
Fairly valuedCVLT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $149.11
- Sector
- Technology
- 12-month range
- $75.18–$174.15
- Market cap
- $6.18B
- From 52-week high
- -14.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 41.4M
- Rank in Technology by discount to fair value
- #87 of 181
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Commvault Systems, Inc. develops and provides software solutions for data management, backup, recovery, and archiving across various computing environments. The company serves customers globally through operations in multiple regions and countries around the world.
CVLT currently ranks #87 of 181 Technology stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Fairly valued for 5 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $6.18B
- P/E (trailing)
- 36x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $1.22B
- Net margin
- 5.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $4.09
- Gross margin
- 81.7%
- Debt / equity
- 17.63
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 18.8%
- Shares outstanding
- 41.4M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- A
- Margin trend
- Contracting
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 48 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $143.22
- 200-day average
- $116.94
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price above both averages
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-27 (pre-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 7 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+19.7%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+17.4%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+19.4%)
2025-09 ▼ miss (-3.2%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+4.1%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+10.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+8.0%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+9.2%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 11 buy · 8 hold · 0 sell (19 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $163
- Target vs last price
- +9.3%
What our data shows for CVLT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for CVLT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $75.18–$174.15.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 48.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for CVLT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent CVLT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for CVLT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Commvault Stock: Cloud And Cash Growth Warrant A 'Buy' Upgrade (NASDAQ:CVLT) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-23)
TickrTrends take: Commvault's cloud and cash growth trajectory appears to support its current fairly valued assessment according to TickrTrends, suggesting the company has aligned its financial performance with market expectations in the Technology sector. Investors focusing on valuation should monitor whether the company's cash generation accelerates beyond current levels, as sustained improvement in this area could justify upward valuation adjustments. The fairly valued designation indicates limited margin of safety at present prices, making execution on cloud initiatives a key metric to track for potential valuation shifts. - CommVault Systems Inc (CVLT) Shares Surge 4.9% -- What GF Score of 82 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: CommVault Systems trades in the Technology sector where TickrTrends currently assesses it as fairly valued. The recent share movement reflects investor response to the company's GF Score of 82, a metric that suggests quality fundamentals warrant monitoring. For valuation-focused readers, the fairly valued rating indicates the current price may already reflect the company's operational strengths, making future catalysts and earnings performance key factors to watch for potential mispricing opportunities. - Commvault Systems Stock: Buy The Business, Respect The Print (NASDAQ:CVLT) (seekingalpha.com, 2026-10-19)
TickrTrends take: Commvault Systems operates in the Technology sector and currently carries a Fairly valued assessment according to TickrTrends' valuation analysis. Given this balanced valuation standing, investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether the company's financial performance justifies its current pricing, particularly regarding earnings growth relative to sector peers. The Fairly valued designation suggests the stock is neither significantly discounted nor premium-priced, making operational execution and revenue trajectory key indicators to watch for potential valuation shifts.
More CVLT news
- CommVault Systems Inc (CVLT) Shares Fall 6.2% -- What GF Score of 82 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-17)
- CVLT Maintained by Mizuho -- Price Target Raised to $185 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- CVLT Maintained by RBC Capital -- Price Target Raised to $160 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
- CVLT Maintained by Scotiabank -- Price Target Raised to $160 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-05)
- JPMorgan BetaBuilders US Small Cap ETF (BBSC) Adds Corcept, Elastic on Sept. 28 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the CVLT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for CVLT showed shifts this week within the Technology sector. The Relative Strength Index zone moved from overbought to neutral, while the company's sector discount rank declined from #113 to #118. The stock maintains a fairly valued status according to current valuation metrics.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — CVLT's technical position has shifted this week, with its relative strength index moving from the neutral zone into overbought territory, suggesting the stock may have experienced notable upward momentum. Simultaneously, the stock's sector discount ranking declined from 106th to 113th position among Technology sector peers, indicating a relative weakening in its valuation appeal compared to other companies in the industry. The stock remains assessed as fairly valued overall.
- 2026-10-05 — # CVLT Weekly Summary TickrTrends' derived indicators for CVLT, a Technology sector company, shifted this week as the valuation verdict moved from Undervalued to Fairly valued. This change reflects an adjustment in how the company's current market price aligns with its assessed intrinsic value based on the latest analytical data. The stock's valuation assessment now suggests the market price is appropriately positioned relative to fundamental indicators.
- 2026-09-28 — CVLT's technical positioning improved this week as the 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to uptrend. The stock's sector discount rank moved from 89 to 108, indicating it has become less discounted relative to other technology sector companies. The current valuation verdict remains undervalued.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is CVLT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), CVLT is trading at within about 10% of estimated fair value and screens as fairly valued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is CVLT's TickrTrends verdict?
CVLT's current verdict is Fairly valued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does CVLT compare to other Technology stocks?
CVLT ranks #87 of 181 Technology stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is CVLT overbought or oversold?
CVLT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
When does CVLT report earnings next?
CVLT's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-27 (pre-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does CVLT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters CVLT beat the consensus estimate 7 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about CVLT?
Of 19 analysts covering CVLT, 11 rate it a buy, 8 a hold and 0 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $163 (+9.3% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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