Delta Air Lines, Inc. (DAL) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
DAL price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedDAL is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $82.17
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $55.65–$93.66
- Market cap
- $54.1B
- From 52-week high
- -12.3%
- Shares outstanding
- 658M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #87 of 106
Last price is our 2026-10-19 weekly price; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Delta Air Lines, Inc. is a major airline that provides passenger air transportation services, including domestic and international flights, as well as cargo services. The company operates flights across North America, Europe, Asia, and other regions worldwide from hub cities including Atlanta, Detroit, Minneapolis, and Salt Lake City.
DAL currently ranks #87 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $54.1B
- P/E (trailing)
- 15x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $71.8B
- Net margin
- 4.6%
- EPS (TTM)
- $5.47
- Gross margin
- 33.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.61
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 14.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 658M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- D
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
- DCF cross-check
- Overvalued
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 39 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $82.30
- 200-day average
- $76.29
- Moving-average state
- 50-day above 200-day (golden cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $0.80 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.98%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 2
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-15
- Last payment date
- 2026-11-05
Earnings how computed
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 6 beat, 1 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-09 ▼ miss (-4.4%)
2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.3%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+12.3%)
2025-12 ▬ met (0.0%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+11.8%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+1.9%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+17.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+6.3%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 24 buy · 0 hold · 1 sell (25 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Buy-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $101
- Target vs last price
- +22.9%
What our data shows for DAL
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for DAL, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the upper third of their 12-month price range of $55.65–$93.66.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 39.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for DAL
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent DAL news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for DAL is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL) Stock Down 3.7% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 84/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
TickrTrends take: Delta Air Lines trades in the Industrials sector where valuation metrics carry particular weight given the capital-intensive nature of airline operations. TickrTrends currently marks DAL as overvalued despite the recent stock decline, suggesting that the recent price movement has not yet brought the company into alignment with its fundamental worth. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether further weakness in the stock price eventually reconciles the current overvaluation assessment or if the underlying valuation concern persists independent of near-term price fluctuations. - Delta Air Lines (DAL) Reports Record Revenue but Cuts Earnings Guidance. Can Profits Recover? (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: Delta Air Lines reported record revenue while simultaneously reducing its earnings guidance, suggesting that top-line growth has not translated into improved profitability. Given TickrTrends' current assessment that DAL is overvalued, the combination of strong revenue alongside weaker profit expectations raises questions about whether the company can improve margins going forward. Investors focused on valuation should monitor whether management can reverse the earnings headwinds or if the company's cost structure will continue to pressure returns relative to its current stock price. - DAL Maintained by BMO Capital -- Price Target Raised to $105 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
TickrTrends take: Delta Air Lines' price target increase to $105 from BMO Capital reflects analyst confidence in the airline's operational fundamentals, yet TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued within the Industrials sector. Investors focused on valuation metrics should monitor whether DAL's trading price converges with intrinsic value estimates or continues trading above levels supported by current earnings power. The gap between analyst optimism and valuation indicators represents a key tension point for value-conscious shareholders to evaluate.
More DAL news
- Delta Air Lines (DAL) Target Price Cut by UBS Amid Cost Concerns (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-12)
What people are saying
Follow the DAL conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DAL in the Industrials sector show movement toward positive momentum this week. The gross-margin trend shifted from stable to expanding, while revenue growth accelerated from the modest band into the strong band. Despite these operational improvements, the current valuation verdict remains overvalued.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for DAL show movement this week with the quality grade improving from F to D. The stock remains classified as overvalued according to current valuation metrics. This shift in quality assessment represents a modest upgrade in the underlying fundamentals tracked by the service's indicators.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is DAL stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), DAL is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is DAL's TickrTrends verdict?
DAL's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does DAL compare to other Industrials stocks?
DAL ranks #87 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is DAL overbought or oversold?
DAL's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does DAL pay a dividend?
Yes. DAL paid $0.80 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.98% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 2 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-15.
Does DAL usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters DAL beat the consensus estimate 6 times and missed 1 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about DAL?
Of 25 analysts covering DAL, 24 rate it a buy, 0 a hold and 1 a sell - buy-leaning, with a consensus price target of $101 (+22.9% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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