Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) fair value analysis
S&P 500 · Updated 2026-10-19
ERIE price how computed
Valuation status
No fair-value estimate yetERIE has no usable analyst consensus for next fiscal year's earnings, or too few reported quarters for our trailing P/E history.
Forward Fair Value needs both, so TickrTrends publishes no verdict for ERIE yet. We re-check every week; the price, fundamentals, technicals and earnings data below are unaffected.
- Last price
- $243.71
- Sector
- Financial Services
- 12-month range
- $207.24–$329.97
- Market cap
- $11.3B
- From 52-week high
- -26.1%
- Shares outstanding
- 46.2M
- Rank in Financial Services by quality score
- #128 of 207
Last price is the 2026-10-16 close; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Erie Indemnity Company is an insurance holding company that provides property and casualty insurance products, primarily homeowners and auto insurance, through its subsidiaries. The company operates primarily in the United States, serving customers across multiple states through its distribution network.
ERIE currently ranks #128 of 207 Financial Services stocks by quality score.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $11.3B
- P/E (trailing)
- 19x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $4.12B
- Net margin
- 14.0%
- EPS (TTM)
- $12.60
- Gross margin
- 18.7%
- Debt / equity
- 0.03
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 9.0%
- Shares outstanding
- 46.2M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- C
- Margin trend
- Stable
- 52-week position
- The lower-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 56 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $242.92
- 200-day average
- $246.08
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $5.85 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 2.40%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 4
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-05
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-20
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-10-29 (post-market)
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 4 beat, 4 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+3.0%)
2026-03 ▼ miss (-5.2%)
2025-12 ▼ miss (-10.6%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+3.6%)
2025-06 ▼ miss (-5.9%)
2025-03 ▼ miss (-16.9%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+0.3%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+1.0%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Consensus price target
- $115
- Target vs last price
- -52.8%
What our data shows for ERIE
- Shares are trading in the lower third of their 12-month price range of $207.24–$329.97.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 56.
What subscribers see
- Every published Forward Fair Value with its exact discount or premium
- The normalized P/E and quarter count behind each estimate
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
- ERIE's own verdict the week it qualifies, published automatically
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
What people are saying
Follow the ERIE conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — TickrTrends' derived indicators for ERIE showed movement in the Relative Strength Index this week, with the RSI zone shifting from oversold conditions to neutral territory. The stock's valuation assessment remains awaiting full valuation as of the current reporting period.
- 2026-10-06 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-28 — TickrTrends initiated weekly Forward Fair Value coverage of this stock.
Frequently asked questions
Is ERIE stock undervalued?
TickrTrends has no fair-value estimate for ERIE yet: there is no usable analyst consensus for next fiscal year's earnings, or too few reported quarters for a trailing P/E history. It is re-checked every week.
What is ERIE's TickrTrends verdict?
ERIE is currently marked 'No fair-value estimate yet' - a verdict publishes automatically once a forward earnings consensus and enough reported quarters are available.
How does ERIE compare to other Financial Services stocks?
ERIE ranks #128 of 207 Financial Services stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by quality score. It carries no fair-value verdict yet, so it is not ranked by discount.
Is ERIE overbought or oversold?
ERIE's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ERIE pay a dividend?
Yes. ERIE paid $5.85 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 2.40% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 4 consecutive years. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-05.
When does ERIE report earnings next?
ERIE's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-10-29 (post-market), per the published earnings calendar.
Does ERIE usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ERIE beat the consensus estimate 4 times and missed 4 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.