Elbit Systems Ltd. (ESLT) fair value analysis
Nasdaq · Updated 2026-10-19
ESLT price how computed
Forward Fair Value verdict
OvervaluedESLT is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value.
Based on TickrTrends' weekly Forward Fair Value model.
- Last price
- $755.43
- Sector
- Industrials
- 12-month range
- $454.95–$1,014.33
- Market cap
- $35.4B
- From 52-week high
- -25.5%
- Shares outstanding
- 46.9M
- Rank in Industrials by discount to fair value
- #86 of 106
Last price is our stored weekly price from 2026-10-16, older than the 2026-10-19 run that built this page; the chart runs through 2026-10-16.
Elbit Systems Ltd. is a defense and aerospace company that designs, develops, manufactures, and supplies a wide range of military products and systems including avionics, unmanned aircraft, electro-optics, and command and control solutions. The company operates globally with facilities and operations in Israel, the United States, Europe, and other international markets, serving defense ministries and government agencies worldwide.
ESLT currently ranks #86 of 106 Industrials stocks by discount to fair value. It has screened as Overvalued for 14 consecutive weekly runs.
Fundamentals (4 quarters) how computed
- Market cap
- $35.4B
- P/E (trailing)
- 51x
- Revenue (TTM)
- $8.55B
- Net margin
- 7.4%
- EPS (TTM)
- $14.76
- Gross margin
- 25.3%
- Debt / equity
- 0.19
- Revenue growth (3-yr avg)
- 17.4%
- Shares outstanding
- 46.9M
Derived indicators how computed
- Quality grade
- B
- Margin trend
- Expanding
- 52-week position
- The upper-middle quarter of its range
Technicals how computed
- RSI (14-day)
- 59 · neutral
- 50-day average
- $728.63
- 200-day average
- $780.18
- Moving-average state
- 50-day below 200-day (death cross state); price between the averages
Dividends how computed
- Paid, last 12 months
- $3.75 per share (4 payments)
- Yield on last price
- 0.50%
- Consecutive years of increases
- 1
- Last ex-dividend date
- 2026-10-13
- Last payment date
- 2026-10-26
Earnings how computed
- Next earnings report
- 2026-11-17
- Last 8 quarters vs consensus
- 8 beat, 0 missed
- Quarter by quarter
- 2026-06 ▲ beat (+11.5%)
2026-03 ▲ beat (+16.2%)
2025-12 ▲ beat (+26.7%)
2025-09 ▲ beat (+22.7%)
2025-06 ▲ beat (+25.7%)
2025-03 ▲ beat (+24.8%)
2024-12 ▲ beat (+36.4%)
2024-09 ▲ beat (+18.8%)
Analyst consensus how computed
This is not TickrTrends' verdict.
- Analyst ratings
- 1 buy · 5 hold · 0 sell (6 analysts)
- Consensus lean
- Hold-leaning
- Consensus price target
- $802
- Target vs last price
- +6.2%
What our data shows for ESLT
- Our model validated 17 trailing price-to-earnings windows for ESLT, built from quarterly earnings records.
- Shares are trading in the middle of their 12-month price range of $454.95–$1,014.33.
- The 14-day relative strength index sits at a neutral 59.
The exact numbers are one step away
- The precise Forward Fair Value dollar figure for ESLT
- Exact discount / premium to today's price
- The normalized historical P/E behind the estimate, and how many quarters support it
- Forward EPS input and fiscal-year basis
- Screeners and rankings across the full S&P 500 and Nasdaq universes
Forward Fair Value applies a conservatively normalized historical price-to-earnings multiple to the consensus earnings estimate for the next full fiscal year; how TickrTrends computes it.
Recent ESLT news
TickrTrends' derived news-sentiment signal for ESLT is currently leaning positive, computed from recent coverage.
- Elbit Systems (ESLT) Gains Over 20% in 2026 as Aerospace Weakness Tests Its Premium Valuation (insidermonkey.com, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: Elbit Systems has appreciated substantially in 2026, yet TickrTrends currently assesses the stock as overvalued despite the aerospace sector facing headwinds that could pressure defense contractors. For valuation-focused investors, the disconnect between the stock's strong price performance and its overvalued rating suggests monitoring whether the company's fundamentals can justify its current market price or whether weakness in aerospace markets will eventually force a valuation reset. The premium valuation designation indicates the stock may offer limited margin of safety at present levels, making near-term catalysts in defense spending or operational efficiency critical to watch. - Wed: Mega Or stands out on flat TASE (en.globes.co.il, 2026-10-21)
TickrTrends take: ESLT trades at a valuation that TickrTrends currently assesses as overvalued, which means the stock's price may not align with its fundamental value metrics relative to peers in the Industrials sector. In the context of a flat trading environment on the TASE, this overvaluation assessment suggests that valuation-focused investors should monitor whether the stock's premium pricing can be justified by upcoming earnings or operational performance. Given the sector backdrop, investors watching ESLT should track whether the company can deliver growth substantial enough to support its current market valuation. - Elbit Systems buys International Submarine Engineering (en.globes.co.il, 2026-10-20)
TickrTrends take: Elbit Systems' acquisition of International Submarine Engineering represents an expansion of its capabilities in undersea defense systems at a time when TickrTrends indicates the stock is trading at overvalued levels. Investors monitoring valuation metrics should consider whether this strategic acquisition justifies current pricing or if integration costs and execution risks present headwinds during the coming quarters. The addition of submarine engineering expertise could enhance long-term competitive positioning in the Industrials sector, though near-term financial impacts warrant close attention given the existing valuation premium.
More ESLT news
- Mon: TASE slips as Elbit bucks market (en.globes.co.il, 2026-10-19)
- Elbit Systems Secures $235M Rocket Systems Contract, Ticker ESLT Reacts (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-19)
- Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT) Shares Surge 5.7% -- What GF Score of 77 Tells Investors (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-15)
- A Look at Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT) After 5.0% Gain -- GF Value $386.44 vs Price $701.38 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-14)
- ETF Activity: SPY Leads With $6.74 Billion Inflow on Sept. 30 (gurufocus.com, 2026-10-02)
- Thu: Palo Alto’s market cap exceeds NIS 1 trillion (en.globes.co.il, 2026-10-01)
- Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT) Stock Down 3.0% but Still Overvalued -- GF Score: 77/100 (gurufocus.com, 2026-09-30)
What people are saying
Follow the ESLT conversation: Stocktwits · Reddit · X
TickrTrends weekly updates
- 2026-10-19 — ESLT's trend indicators showed improvement this week as the 50/200-day trend state shifted from mixed to uptrend. The company's sector discount rank declined from 90th to 98th position among industrials stocks. Despite the positive momentum signal, ESLT remains assessed as overvalued at current levels.
- 2026-10-12 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-11 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-10 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-10-05 — ESLT, an industrials sector company currently trading at overvalued levels, experienced a shift in its trend momentum this week. The stock's 50/200-day moving average relationship transitioned from an uptrend to a mixed state, suggesting recent price action has become less clearly directional compared to the prior week's assessment.
- 2026-09-28 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-21 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
- 2026-09-17 — No material change this week: the verdict, bands and grades all held steady.
Frequently asked questions
Is ESLT stock undervalued?
Based on TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value model (updated 2026-10-19), ESLT is trading at more than a 25% premium to estimated fair value and screens as overvalued. The exact fair value and discount are available to subscribers.
What is ESLT's TickrTrends verdict?
ESLT's current verdict is Overvalued, refreshed with every weekly Forward Fair Value run.
How does ESLT compare to other Industrials stocks?
ESLT ranks #86 of 106 Industrials stocks in TickrTrends' coverage by discount to fair value.
Is ESLT overbought or oversold?
ESLT's 14-day RSI is in neutral territory - neither overbought nor oversold.
Does ESLT pay a dividend?
Yes. ESLT paid $3.75 per share over the last twelve months (4 payments), a 0.50% yield on TickrTrends' last price, and has raised the annual total for 1 consecutive year. The last ex-dividend date was 2026-10-13.
When does ESLT report earnings next?
ESLT's next earnings report is scheduled for 2026-11-17, per the published earnings calendar.
Does ESLT usually beat earnings estimates?
Over its last 8 reported quarters ESLT beat the consensus estimate 8 times and missed 0 times, by TickrTrends' comparison of reported and estimated EPS.
What do analysts say about ESLT?
Of 6 analysts covering ESLT, 1 rate it a buy, 5 a hold and 0 a sell - hold-leaning, with a consensus price target of $802 (+6.2% versus TickrTrends' last price). This is the analyst consensus, not TickrTrends' Forward Fair Value verdict.
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